Doinko Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: The analogs keep saying we are in a better place than we could be given the Nino. Still a lot of good year sin the mix, including good Nino winters. Not a single bad one in the 6-10 day list 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 The 00z RGEM/RDPS is not backing down with showing ice and snow tomorrow for some locations west of the Cascades. It looks like the layer of cold air will be deeper around PDX Metro to support snow down to the Valley floor. 4 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 38/29* and currently 35* Just a bit chilly 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Sorry I'm late. I just got back from Wallymart, after going to Bi Mart, then back to Bi Mart, and yeah. Fun stuff. Let's see how wet the next 5 to 7 days are. Do we get nailed by one AR(atmospheric river)? or two? Might we see a deep low spin up somewhat close to us for Sunday? No idea. 00z GFS Day 1 (4-run trend) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Day 2 (4-run trend) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Day 3 (4-run trend) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Day 4 (4-run trend) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Day 5 (4-run trend) 5 Day Rainfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Day 6 (4-run trend) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Day 7 (4-run trend) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 7 Day Rainfall totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Guys…I think it’s gonna rain 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 4 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 9'er I think I like the look of that ridge if the Kona low doesn't muck it up. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Snoqualmie river already projected to get to moderate flood stage next week. 3 2 Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 11 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said: I think I like the look of that ridge if the Kona low doesn't muck it up. I think that’s too far west. -WPO and IPWP MJO in a strong niño typically doesn’t work because tropical forcing has usually propagated into the Pacific by the time the pieces come together over the NPAC. End result is usually a major +EPO followed by +PNA a few weeks later. 4 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 00z GFS re-cap. 10 Day GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly, 850mb Temps, 1000-500mb Thickness/MSLP/ 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Also if Scandinavia ridge develops in a couple weeks as suggested by guidance, we don’t want the -WPO/AR present because it neuters WAFz thru NPAC, reducing the effectiveness of the Scandinavia ridge in dropping the NAM. -WPO is a very promising sign for PNW/W-Canada in Niña/+QBO years. But this year is Niño/-QBO, in which case +WPO/-EPO dipole is the most favorable loading pattern. 4 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Waste of a scandi ridge on the 00z GFS. -WPO effectively torpedoes vertical wave activity fluxes from NW-Pacific. Zzzzzz. 00z Canadian is much more promising. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffMassYelledAtMe Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 There should be some kind of law that a restaurant closing has to be publicly reported 30 days in advance. Why am I hearing about the old Triple XXX Root Beer Drive-In in Issaquah closing tonight because they sold the property 30 minutes after they closed? Would have liked to have gotten one more frosty root beer even if it is frosty outside. My kids are very sad. Used to go there to celebrate the last day of school. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthBend RainEnthusiast Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Lightly snowing! 8 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 minute ago, NorthBend RainEnthusiast said: Lightly snowing! My weather app claims it’s light snow. I don’t see anything 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 7 minutes ago, NorthBend RainEnthusiast said: Lightly snowing! There’s some echoes returning on radar. I wonder if other places are getting snow. Not snowing here. 1 1 Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Reports coming in around Federal Way….!!! Lol, I will check the reliable street lamp Denied…nothing falling from the sky 35* 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 That looks like a weak CZ. Don't recall that being modeled. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffMassYelledAtMe Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 Radar shows light snow, mix, or plain rain all over the place but I can't tell from any traffic cams if anything is reaching the ground. Still, first visit to traffic cam snow watch of the season! And unexpected too!! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 5 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 EVERYONE, RUN OUTSIDE AND LOOK AT YOUR STREET LAMPS!! 4 3 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffMassYelledAtMe Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said: That looks like a weak CZ. Don't recall that being modeled. Yeah I think I saw something about a convergence zone near Everett but thought it was for late Thurs/early Friday rather than tonight. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 17 minutes ago, NorthBend RainEnthusiast said: Lightly snowing! 1 minute ago, Jbolin said: Here we go! This bodes well for tomorrow! Models are too warm it seems, except for the RGEM. 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: EVERYONE, RUN OUTSIDE AND LOOK AT YOUR STREET LAMPS!! Nothing. I’m always getting skunked. 1 2 1 1 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said: Radar shows light snow, mix, or plain rain all over the place but I can't tell from any traffic cams if anything is reaching the ground. Still, first visit to traffic cam snow watch of the season! And unexpected too!! Your right! Need to take this moment in as I did the first death stare into the Streetlamp! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 18 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: My weather app claims it’s light snow. I don’t see anything It's very light but can confirm here. Not readily apparent but when I looked really closely I did see a couple tiny flakes. 3 1 4 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: It's very light but can confirm here. Not readily apparent but when I looked really closely I did see a couple tiny flakes. Go build a Flurry Man, Tim! 00z ECMWF in 7 minutes This run can't possibly be as crazy wet as the 12z deluge this morning, right? 8"+ of rain. No way. I mean maybe. Let's find out... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted November 30, 2023 Report Share Posted November 30, 2023 We've had 35 degree rain all evening. Guess it's better than 33 degree rain. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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