April 2024 Weather in the PNW

[TT-SEA]

North wind has been gusting to 30 mph at SEA this afternoon.    Almost no wind out here... North Bend got up to 68.   The difference in what this afternoon felt like between SEA and NB had to be pretty significant.   68 with almost no wind feels quite warm.   64 with a north wind gusting to 30 mph likely feels quite chilly.    Being blocked from the north wind out here is really nice because that is predominant direction on our really nice days.  

[Groundhog]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

North wind has been gusting to 30 mph at SEA this afternoon.    Almost no wind out here... North Bend got up to 68.   The difference in what this afternoon felt like between SEA and NB had to be pretty significant.   68 with almost no wind feels quite warm.   64 with a north wind gusting to 30 mph likely feels quite chilly.    Being blocked from the north wind out here is really nice because that is predominant direction on our really nice days.  

Here in the Fraser Valley we woke up to a stiff outflow that’s still blowing. That’s likely the source of the N wind.  Beautiful here in Mission: sunny, 64F with a dewpoint of 19F with the outflow. 

[T-Town]

6 minutes ago, Groundhog said:

Here in the Fraser Valley we woke up to a stiff outflow that’s still blowing. That’s likely the source of the N wind.  Beautiful here in Mission: sunny, 64F with a dewpoint of 19F with the outflow. 

Gusty here as well. We have a wind break that blocks the north wind on the deck and it feels really nice at 62 degrees. 

[MossMan]

North wind is blowing and a DP of 33 and a RH of 35%
Still a dry arctic blast! 

[Meatyorologist]

Snowing at a rate of around 0"/hr here

[T-Town]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

Snowing at a rate of around 0"/hr here

Sticking or no?

[Phishy Wx]

3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Not sure what NOAA is seeing... 

they're smarter than you, don't take it personally

[GHweatherChris]

3 mornings with frost here in a row, lows were 32, 31 and 28 respectively, had a gross +43 spread today though.

[TT-SEA]

12 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

they're smarter than you, don't take it personally

I hope so!  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I hope so!  

Has to be tough seeing a Nina coming. 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Has to be tough seeing a Nina coming. 

Yes... Nina summers have been so horrible lately.  And Nina winters are often as good if not better than Ninos.   Doesn't seem to matter much.   

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Getting absolutely eaten alive by the mosquitoes tonight!

[Phil]

8 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

Funny enough, the last few big snowpack years in CA were all  *drumroll... Niñas!

2010-11, 2016-17, 2022-23.

La Niña truly brings the nourishing juices of life to all. Particularly to the Mid Atlantic states, where it allows the newly-native flora to thrive as it works to further expedite the transfer of the humid subtropical climate/bioregion into your neck of the woods.

16/17 was full blown niño-costero by Feb. Calling that winter a niña borders on criminal.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

16/17 was full blown niño-costero by Feb. Calling that winter a niña borders on criminal.

Whatever 

[Christensen87]

Great sunset tonight. Cheers from Cashmere! 

[Phil]

4 hours ago, Cold Snap said:

Yeah they are even saying May is probably going to torch for us. I feel like this isn’t going to be as hot as last May though.

NOAA has been having a rough time lately. Horrible busts last winter on both the seasonal and subseasonal scales. Idk what their methodology is but it’s been failing them since the niño established.

IIRC they rely heavily on the IRI which is notoriously bad when seasonal/LF forcing components destructively interfere w/ canonical EOFs (example: strong niño in tandem with -PMM). 

[Phil]

12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Whatever 

This is what 2017 looked like on this date.

LA NINA!  

[Phil]

7 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Man it's gorgeous out.   Piercing blue sky and pleasant temp.   Perfect April weather.

A week ago Phil was talking about this period being a Jesse-tastic pattern.    Turns out it's a pattern almost everyone loves.

Huh? No I wasn’t. Unless it was an in-jest comment about a single long range model run.  

[Phil]

5 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Not sure what NOAA is seeing... 

Where they have “equal chances” is probably where the warmest anomalies will end up. Lmao.

[Phil]

4 hours ago, ChrisEl Elyon said:

Been saying this for awhile. 2024 will probably be the hottest summer on record for the lower-48. All forcing components are lining up in the worst way possible.

[TT-SEA]

48 minutes ago, Phil said:

Huh? No I wasn’t. Unless it was an in-jest comment about a single long range model run.  

It was just one comment and not exactly long range... it was a week out.   Just to troll us.   

[The Blob]

9 hours ago, ShawniganLake said:

Should be a drought buster in BC.  

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/dry-nechako-riverbed-in-prince-george-1.7159123
 

Get the metal detectors out!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

Been saying this for awhile. 2024 will probably be the hottest summer on record for the lower-48. All forcing components are lining up in the worst way possible.

Probably our most pleasant summer in a decade.

[ShawniganLake]

36 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Get the metal detectors out!

That was my thought.  Probably some cool finds. 

[Phil]

The 00z CMC and GEFS both have that zonal/onshore flow pattern establishing during week-2. A J***e delight.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Gorgeous day with a 69/36 spread here. Light morning frost then gusty east winds, low DPs and crystal clear skies this afternoon.

[The Blob]

13 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Gorgeous day with a 69/36 spread here. Light morning frost then gusty east winds, low DPs and crystal clear skies this afternoon.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Great looking Euro run tonight.

[Phishy Wx]

Timberline lodge is on fire?

[Meatyorologist]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

The 00z CMC and GEFS both have that zonal/onshore flow pattern establishing during week-2. A J***e delight.

Beautiful pattern here. Looks whet.

[The Blob]

2 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

Timberline lodge is on fire?

Yes, they think it started in the attic or from embers from the chimney.

[Phil]

5 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Beautiful pattern here. Looks whet.

Maybe if we get this pattern out of the way in spring it’ll reverse during the summer.  

[Phil]

I can smell the ocean. Immediately knew a PNW-style backdoor marine push had moved thru overnight.

[Groundhog]

The warm, dry outflow allowed some time for the kids to ride bikes and explore the creek beside our place

[TT-SEA]

Hello Friday... going to be a spectacular day.

[Phil]

Heading out to appalachia for a bachelor party. Will do my very best not to drunk-post this weekend but make no promises.  

[Phil]

Honestly I wish the operational GFS didn’t exist. Always shows the most amazing, enjoyable solutions but it never happens. Especially in the spring.

06z has a sexy-af tropopause fold/TPV lobe swinging thru next week but not a single GEFS/EPS/GEPS member has it. Idk how it strays so far off the reservation, but it be trollolololin’.

[YahRaEl]

Interesting View from Eric Snodgrass 

https://youtu.be/UjOA_iTnfP0?feature=shared

[T-Town]

37 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Hello Friday... going to be a spectacular day.

Pretty good chance that I will stop working before the end of the work day today. 

[YahRaEl]

Eric thinking a Summer quite similar to 2020