Tyler Mode Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 Today is why I love October. 37 this morning, 61 now. Not a cloud in the sky, fresh snow in the mountains. Only thing I could ask is the colors be further along. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said: Today is why I love October. 37 this morning, 61 now. Not a cloud in the sky, fresh snow in the mountains. Only thing I could ask is the colors be further along. Mostly cloudy up here and 56. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 Last January was a major model fail, but the signs were there. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 15, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 Up to 61F after a low of 43F. We might actually pull off our first below-average day of the month. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 15, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Last January was a major model fail, but the signs were there. Wasn't that like a 6-day rug-pull? There have been worse I'm sure. But last winter was the worst one since I moved to Oregon in 1989. Not a single day in winter had a sub-40 high. Only time that's ever happened. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Last January was a major model fail, but the signs were there. It wasn’t that bad this far north, but the further south you were, the more it sucked, and it sucked particularly badly for those south of Seattle. The epic, top-tear, all-time record breaking cold the GFS was forecasting just was not believable. It was inevitable there was going to be some backpedaling from that. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 15, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: It wasn’t that bad this far north, but the further south you were, the more it sucked, and it sucked particularly badly for those south of Seattle. The epic, top-tear, all-time record breaking cold the GFS was forecasting just was not believable. It was inevitable there was going to be some backpedaling from that. I'm looking forward to that somewhat this winter. All the action the FV3 will be showing will be greatly exaggerated again and we'll all go crazy as if we have an early lead in the ballgame up a couple TDs or so. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 22 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: But last winter was the worst one since I moved to Oregon in 1989. Not a single day in winter had a sub-40 high. Only time that's ever happened. Need to add this to your sig at some point. Ironically EUG had a high in the 30s in late November last year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 15, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 Just now, Jesse said: Need to add this to your sig at some point. Ironically EUG had a high in the 30s in late November last year. Not meteorological winter then. And it still had fewer than 33-34 even with that bush league late Nov "event." 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 Front loaded on steroids. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Not meteorological winter then. And it still had fewer than 33-34 even with that bush league late Nov "event." There have been a handful of winters that haven’t had any sub-40 highs at PDX. I think there was a notable stretch in the early 2000s Not sure about EUG though. I know they have more of a tendency to get fogversions down there, which is probably how they would score sub-40 highs even during most crappy winters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Front loaded on steroids. My biggest snow event, and easily most notable cold event relative to average last year was in mid-March. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 15, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Jesse said: There have been a handful of winters that haven’t had any sub-40 highs at PDX. I think there was a notable stretch in the early 2000s Not sure about EUG though. I know they have more of a tendency to get fogversions down there, which is probably how they would score sub-40 highs even during most crappy winters. Yes the air is just a bit more still too so if we have gap wind action then it can be still down here with very light northerly gradients to where more heat radiates out into space as compared to further north. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 Up to 61 here now. Real stunner today. I would take another 7-10 days of this general pattern just to enjoy the fall colors. At that point would be ready for more storms the last week of October. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said: I can find myself becoming that type of person That's what I said nine years ago and now I'm an AARP member. (not really) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 16 minutes ago, Jesse said: Up to 61 here now. Real stunner today. I would take another 7-10 days of this general pattern just to enjoy the fall colors. At that point would be ready for more storms the last week of October. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Jbolin said: Don’t know why you thought I wouldn’t take you up on a beer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Jesse said: Don’t know why you thought I wouldn’t take you up on a beer Well I'm down if you are man? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 18z looks _________. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 1 minute ago, iFred said: I too am a mature adult who sees the futility in placing any emotional investment into a extrapolated weather computations who have an inherent degree of error due to our positioning on the continent. This is why I find it of the utmost importance that we not only remind those who will harm themselves with a distant frame of fantasy, but we must deride and punish those who consistently pontificate the benefits of winter’s mirage. How’s the EPS looking??????? 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 9 minutes ago, iFred said: I too am a mature adult who sees the futility in placing any emotional investment into an extrapolated weather computation who have an inherent degree of error due to our positioning on the continent. This is why I find it of the utmost importance that we not only remind those who will harm themselves with a distant frame of fantasy, but we must deride and punish those who consistently pontificate the benefits of winter’s mirage. I still don’t know what to do with those tossed salads and scrambled eggs. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Looks like an unfinished Bob Ross painting. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 3 hours ago, DJ Droppin said: 12z EPS 500mb Height Anomaly. Chilly at times. Not great. Time to back pedal away from greatness? Say it ain't so. Time to put all our chips on the Canadians! 18z GFS in 48 minutes 00z GFS in 6 hours 48 minutes 00z GEM/CMC in 7 hours 20 minutes 00z ECMWF in 9 hours 5 minutes C'MON!!!! It is October after all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 Beautiful 58/37 day. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Beautiful 58/37 day. What type of pine is that on the middle right Andrew. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 34 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: A less destructive and socially just alternative to Antifular clouds. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 Its been very wet over the last month in WA and western OR... and not so much elsewhere in the West. 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: 18z looks _________. ridgy. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 58/43...was a good amount of sunshine today as well. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 62/38 day here. Morning fog and afternoon sunshine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 22 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Its been very wet over the last month in WA and western OR... and not so much elsewhere in the West. We’ve picked up 5.04” over the last month. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 34 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Its been very wet over the last month in WA and western OR... and not so much elsewhere in the West. lanina 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 1 hour ago, Jesse said: What type of pine is that on the middle right Andrew. Looks like some kind of white pine. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Its been very wet over the last month in WA and western OR... and not so much elsewhere in the West. Atmospheric rivers matter 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 2 hours ago, Jesse said: What type of pine is that on the middle right Andrew. I’ve always assumed it was a ponderosa. I’m not an expert. It’s pretty scraggly and my wife always wants me to cut it down. It’s children are growing up around it and they seem pretty healthy. 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 We have had 8.59” over the past 30 days. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 24 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I’ve always assumed it was a ponderosa. I’m not an expert. It’s pretty scraggly and my wife always wants me to cut it down. It’s children are growing up around it and they seem pretty healthy. I don’t think it’s a pondy. Could be one of the several sub-species of lodgepole. They grow them all over along the freeways in NE Portland and Vancouver too and I’ve never been able to get a clear ID on one. They do have a tendency to look a little scraggly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Jesse said: I don’t think it’s a pondy. Could be one of the several sub-species of lodgepole. They grow them all over along the freeways in NE Portland and Vancouver too and I’ve never been able to get a clear ID on one. They do have a tendency to look a little scraggly. Lodgepole makes sense. I have a couple of those along the road that are clearly lodgepole, but they are a lot smaller and may be a different sub species. Everyone always asks if this one is dying, but it actually seems quite healthy, it has grown a lot since I have lived here. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 2 hours ago, Jesse said: What type of pine is that on the middle right Andrew. Non conifer expert here but I believe the tree in question could be either a, Western Hemlock or Grand Fir Whatever it is, it looks sickly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 16, 2020 Report Share Posted October 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, Jbolin said: Non conifer expert here but I believe the tree in question could be either a, Western Hemlock or Grand Fir Whatever it is, it looks sickly. It’s definitely some sort of pine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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