wxmet Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Bunch of shortwaves through the northern periphery of the GOA ridge. That can't be good unless the block re-organizes a bit further west. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 The stone under the princess' mattress? I think that's the story. Either way, not a good trend. Very unusual feature that is throwing off the whole pattern entirely. Probably going to delay any potential for something good until 3-6 days later if model trends continue. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Second block might explode here. But it's quite far out and anything at that range won't pan out the same way. Good location, though, would like it a touch more ease, but it's okay where it's at. For now. Wouldn't want to be in the sweet spot in the LR anyways. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 That block is in a great position to deliver the massive pool of arctic air in SW Canada! Oh wait, there is none, because that stupid cutoff low brought westerly flow there for 100+ hours... Let's see what the ensembles say. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Nothing good has showed up at all in the believable range to be considered a rug pull, so that's good. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/15/2021 at 12:28 AM, Link said: Joe Biden: "I prefer truth over facts!" I forgot to put the video in. Here is the actual quote. You couldn't make this four letter word up! Sadly this is only one of the 'lame' gaffs. There's a WHOLE lot more where that came from! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 hours ago, GHweatherChris said: Nothing good has showed up at all in the believable range to be considered a rug pull, so that's good. Hence the safety spiel whenever you go on an attraction in here. Please heed it! It's there for your own safety so our guests can continue their enjoyment. I know your in a hurry hurry hurry but for your safety safety safety. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 hours ago, Link said: I forgot to put the video in. Here is the actual quote. You couldn't make this four letter word up! Sadly this is only one of the 'lame' gaffs. There's a WHOLE lot more where that came from! Is the 4 letter word “snow”. And are there any good looking snow maps. Just curious before I click on the video. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 16, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Currently 36 degrees outside. About 80hrs now without power. 2 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 16, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Getting real close now! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 6z GFS Op was unfortunately a big setback. Ensembles also heading the wrong way. We need to see huge improvements with today's runs. Hoping the EURO saves us as usual. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 12z GFS Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Day 2 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Not a good trend unfortunately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Not a good trend unfortunately. Maybe it will be so bad it will turn out good? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 This sucks. But in a way a lot of you deserved this. 1 1 1 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 We'll see how day 3-5 transpires. Day 3 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 The pattern is going to take a bit to get there. Probably have 2 weeks before it gets good. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: This sucks. But in a way a lot of you deserved this. Just when we thought your posting couldn’t get worse. 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Something to remember is the ensemble mean at PDX never went below -5C. Everyone kept talking about the ensembles, but ignoring that part. Unwise. Winter isn't over yet. Let's wait another week or two before sticking a fork in it. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 1 minute ago, Timmy said: Just when we thought your posting couldn’t get worse. You know what they say about karma. Suddenly old IbrChris doesn't look so stupid does he? And now maybe I am just doing what I can to salvage this for you guys. What was it Jesus said about a prophet never being recognized in his home town? 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: The pattern is going to take a bit to get there. Probably have 2 weeks before it gets good. February. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 The return of the Aleutian low?.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: You know what they say about karma. Suddenly old IbrChris doesn't look so stupid does he? And now maybe I am just doing what I can to salvage this for you guys. What was it Jesus said about a prophet never being recognized in his home town? February. Chris is a smart dude, I don’t think anyone here implied he was stupid, even if they disagreed with him. Jesus did say something like that, but you are no Prophet and he wasn’t referencing weather. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, Timmy said: Chris is a smart dude, I don’t think anyone here implied he was stupid, even if they agreed with him. Jesus did say something like that, but you are no Prophet and he wasn’t referencing weather. In the end who knows. The models could flip around and still give us something good the last week of January. The pattern isn't to far off. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Day 5 .... Onto 00z (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Don't look now, but the ICON is a lot chillier late next week. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Like I said last month. Stop looking at the false advertising past 180hrs. I see it on here but I stopped looking at clown range frames. Pick 240 hrs and click back 8 model runs and watch how much it flops. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 I won't be here for the EURO, so hoping to come home to a nice surprise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Day 7 U-g-l-y Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Are these hole punches in the cloud deck in eastern Washington? https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-Pac_NW-truecolor-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 GEM Day 3 trying to pull off a bit of a ridge merger Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 12Z GFS looks pretty dry for the next week or more after the weak system tonight. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Can the GEM save us?! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 In fact... the 12Z GFS shows just .05 in Seattle over the next 10 days. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Can the GEM save us?! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 The 12z GFS is quite the pile of excrement. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: The 12z GFS is quite the pile of excrement. The new gfs is on a whole other level of bad. Ridge is further west and another ridge pops up over the extreme east pac Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 16, 2021 Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: The 12z GFS is quite the pile of excrement. Phil!! 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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