SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 Page clutter. Hey he was trying, just suggest he post the link next time. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 There was good info in there which could have been discussed. Guess I won't do that again to avoid irritating this forum. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 There was good info in there which could have been discussed. Guess I won't do that again to avoid irritating this forum.Its all good Poulsbo, just hard to read on here. Post the link next time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 There was good info in there which could have been discussed. Guess I won't do that again to avoid irritating this forum.I had no problem with it. Big deal...... at HR 60 16 degrees in Seattle however IS a big deal! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 I just checked the Bellingham to Williams Lake, BC gradient to get an idea if arctic air was starting to build down into southern British Columbia. It is. The gradient just went flat meaning a switch to offshore flow now in the Fraser River valley. It will only increase from this point on as pressure rises increase.http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link_pdiff.shtml?choice=KBLI+CYWL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 HR 90 Op.... beefy looking block http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_z500a_namer_16.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 Well that was uncalled for.And quoting the whole post wasn't? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 How is everyone dealing with the stress? I'm currently chugging vodka while taking a warm bath. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 And quoting the whole post wasn't?On purpose. People need to lighten up on here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 I'm already betting the second wave happens on this run. You can tell by the surface pressure distribution at hour 108. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 00z NAM bottoms out 850 mb temps at -11 and thicknesses at 516 for SEA Tuesday morning. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 HR 120 Op http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_z500a_namer_21.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_z500_mslp_namer_21.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 HR 132 reload/blast lurking to the north http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_T850_nwus_23.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard mann Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 There was good info in there which could have been discussed. Guess I won't do that again to avoid irritating this forum. .. The next time you try to post data like this, try putting "code" tags around it. (The whole of what you post.) [code]....[/code] Quote --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 HR 120 Parallel sharp shortwave south of Anchorage as offshore ridge merges with Aleutian block http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2014122800/gfsp_z500a_namer_21.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 Weird little low up there in the norther GOA http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2014122800/gfsp_z500a_namer_21.png Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 At hour 144, it looks like the 0z is going to be a bit slower with the reload and probably not as cold as the last couple runs. At least within believable range. General pattern is still very similar, though. Good to see consistency with that. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 HR 120 Parallel sharp shortwave south of Anchorage as offshore ridge merges with Aleutian block http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2014122800/gfsp_z500a_namer_21.png I hadn't seen that feature before. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 At hour 144, it looks like the 0z is going to be a bit slower with the reload and probably not as cold as the last couple runs. At least within believable range. General pattern is still very similar, though. Good to see consistency with that. And the 18z was not as good as the 12z...Though the ensembles imprioved. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 That 988mb low just South of Anchorage at hour 120 on the parallel is weird. No idea how that would effect the block but I don't love the look of it. That feature is totally missing on the operational which looks pretty similar to the last few runs in general so far. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 HR 150 possible blast nearing http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_T850_nwus_26.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 I hadn't seen that feature before. That 988mb low just South of Anchorage at hour 120 on the parallel is weird. No idea how that would effect the block. That feature is totally missing on the operational which looks pretty similar to the last few runs in general so far.Yeah..... it's weird. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_z500a_namer_26.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 The Arctic air kind of stalls out around the Canadian border on this run, and the low to the south fizzles. Not a great run, but again the important pieces are still in place for something good. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 That reload better happen. According to some that is close to the timeframe to watch for arctic air. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 HR 156 Parallel can be thrown in the garage everything is much further east http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2014122800/gfsp_z500a_namer_27.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 Ugh I think we see what that shortwave does on the parallel. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 Body of block too far north on the Op http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_z500a_namer_28.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 It's soooooo close on the Op though... just stalled http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_T850_nwus_28.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 HR 156 Parallel can be thrown in the garage everything is much further east http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2014122800/gfsp_z500a_namer_27.png Nasty. That's a pretty warm pattern for most of the U.S. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Winterdog Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 Kind of funny. Here we are again where we were one day ago. I've got to find a different hobby. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 SCORE! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_T2m_nwus_34.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 Op says, sorry for the delay..... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_T2m_nwus_34.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard mann Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 General assertion mode. Basic perspective. Argumentative. (Scientific argument.) In line with the general context here. .. Show me one model run that doesn't keep the main gut of cold over Canada, not more centrally focused north of the U.S. / Canadian border, through the 3rd. .Past or more current.-A link to whatever post with graphic is fine. Quote --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 HR 192 Op arctic air blasting through Gorgehttp://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_33.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 Very strong east winds HR 204 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_mslp_wind_nwus_34.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_T850_nwus_34.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 Very cold! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_T2m_nwus_36.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 Yeah, but it's all past the resolution change...on the 12z GFS, Arctic air began seeping in around hour 162, which translates to hour 150 this run. Major delay. Obviously we want this trend to reverse. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted December 28, 2014 Report Share Posted December 28, 2014 so how does this map work are these highs or lows? Something historic?SCORE!http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014122800/gfs_T2m_nwus_34.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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