TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Total snow from Thursday into Friday system... 2 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 This run is looking a lot colder north of PDX. 3 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Just saw the GEM, time to winterize? Haven’t needed to yet this winter... GFS says not to worry about it. My faucet covers still on workbench....kind of like the doomsday clock being so close to midnight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 This deserves a 'wow' from me... temps on Friday morning with lots of precip down to the south. 3 1 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Day 6 Snow, 20 F, 50-60mph east winds for PDX 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: This deserves a 'wow' from me... temps on Friday morning with lots of precip down to the south. This is nice. Hopefully we can trend colder like the GEM. 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 The moisture just keeps coming... 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: The moisture just keeps coming... With decent to strong outflow, let it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 55 minutes ago, seattleweatherguy said: A small windstorm today it seems. Hope our Cold & Snow can sneak up on us like this windstorm did.....HOPE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: This deserves a 'wow' from me... temps on Friday morning with lots of precip down to the south. Wow that shows about minus 20 at my cabin! 1 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Unbelievable for northern Oregon... these are HIGH temps on Friday. And with lots of overrunning moisture coming. 3 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Phil Posted February 6, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 So, I’ll make a semi-prediction now, that the colder solutions will probably end up closer to reality than the warm ones. Given the overall consistency with ECMWF depicting the colder solution (even after temporarily losing it), and the history with MJO orbits thru IPWP following SSW events in Niña years, plus antecedent -NAM and culminating cycle of poleward AAM transfer..climo favors a colder outcome across the West. Or at least the PNW. At least that’s my interpretation. Sure, the “heart” of the airmass will probably miss slightly east, but that’s almost always the case anyway, even with the most prolific arctic blasts. Even the January 1950 airmass had the coldest air “centered” in Idaho/Montana. 11 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Snowfall just on Friday night... 3 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 day 7 looks snowy for western Wa 3 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 GFS going through its normal inconsistencies. As long as we have the Euro we’re good. We’re in the range where the Euro locks in. Hard to imagine it changes drastically in subsequent runs. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: Unbelievable for northern Oregon... these are HIGH temps on Friday. And with lots of overrunning moisture coming. This is when the PDX metro and N. Willamette valley outdoes almost the entire westside, we've seen it time and again, when it's marginal almost everywhere west of the crest but the easterlies just support insane conditions and snow for them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 And its still in the 20s down there on Saturday morning. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 This Euro is certifiably a holy shitt run 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 11 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: If that's a "warm" outlier we are doing fine! Agreed, even the bad runs are pretty solid at the moment. A real shot at some fairly high tier events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I might need to double wrap my hose bibs along with the insulated cover! 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Snowfall just on Friday night... Warm nose is gonna get me Saturday morning. This looks a lot like February 2014 btw. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 FORECAST CONTEST????? 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 12Z ECMWF snowfall map through Saturday morning... this is an ECMWF snowfall map and not a GFS map! 3 4 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, wxmet said: GFS going through its normal inconsistencies. As long as we have the Euro we’re good. We’re in the range where the Euro locks in. Hard to imagine it changes drastically in subsequent runs. Yup. Euros been more consistent the last few runs. Details will work out after we get the cold regarding snow...but the odds for the initial shot of cold air are increasing which is the most important thing. 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, Deweydog said: FORECAST CONTEST????? Clusterfuk 1 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Its STILL in the 20s on Saturday afternoon... 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF snowfall map through Saturday morning... this is an ECMWF snowfall map and not a GFS map! Almost the same Day as 2019 that got us. It's there turn!! 2 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Day 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF snowfall map through Saturday morning... this is an ECMWF snowfall map and not a GFS map! Everywhere that wasn’t hammered in Feb 2019 gets hammered by this. Nice. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 It blows my mind we are looking at maps like this 2 years later to the freaking day. 4 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Talk about a holy sheit run! Wow! Weaker low late next week so it stays further south. Arlington drops to 7 for a low on Thursday. 5 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Nice to see the EURO trending more towards the ICON/GEM suite. Still some work to be done, but I think we get there. 3 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 ANDREW IS ON BOARD! 3 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, snow_wizard said: Talk about a holy sheit run! Wow! Weaker low late next week so it stays further south. Arlington drops to 7 for a low on Thursday. Hopefully it goes into N. CA and we have about a week of dry sunny weather! 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 25 minutes ago, Requiem said: By many accounts one of the most powerful and persistent east wind events was that of early February 1996— I’ve always wondered what the setup for the was. I believe it was a backdoor blast. Lost my notes but I believe I lost some shingles from that storm ( living in Troutdale at the time). My anemometer measured winds just short of Hurricane force. My house was shaking night and day! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 For PDX it'll be colder than modeled due to widespread snow cover, strong east winds and major low level cold air advection. In fact, as the snow increases I wouldn't be surprised if we're closer to 12-14 F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 SEA is at 29 degrees Saturday afternoon with heavy snow cover. Let's lock this one in! 5 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, TacomaWaWx said: ANDREW IS ON BOARD! To an extent. I am rooting for a drier cold solution. Though at face value what the EURO shows would be historic. So I would take it. 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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