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Super Bowl Weekend Major Snowstorm

Tom

By Tom
in East of the Rockies

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Tom
Tom

If this storm ends up becoming a Blizzard, even if it doesn't, we should pay tribute to our friend from the past, Dominic Rocco.  He would have been having so much fun tracking this storm system.  I k

winterfreak
winterfreak

OT but that was the dumbest playcall in sports history.

Tom
Tom

Round #4 finished off the driveway, walkways and I still need to clean up the deck.  It has been quite the exercise.  I read that an avg 10' x 20' driveway full of snow from this system weighs a ton.

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

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Have not had a chance to look at hi-res models so where does the LE band setup roughly?

From what I have seen, initially during the even when winds are more ENE/NE places from N Cook/DuPage and points north will get enhanced snowfall along with system snows.  Now, once the system slides South and East of Chicago and winds turn more NE/NNE then I can see some intense banding setting up that can push inland quite far with how strong the winds are being forecast.  If we can get an intense lake plume to form like last year, you can get 2"+ per hour snowfall rates on the back end late Sunday night.

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

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My only complaint for the day, with this storm missing my area that now puts my streak up to 2 years since my area has seen a winter storm warning!! I have been in WWA left and right; the last time I have seen a storm produce 6+ was in Feb and March 2013. Crazy, enjoy the storm though because you never know when you will see a streak like that........

 

I can TOTALLY sympathize. Before last winter's record season over here in SMI, mby went from Nov '11 to Dec '14 without anything even approaching 6". Of course, then last year went off the charts and I got 2 winter's worth of storms/snow. So, hang in there buddy!

 

Kudos  to Tom for not giving up on this storm!

 

I 2nd this! Way to stay positive for this board!

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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FV-Mike Community Regular

FV-Mike

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Love the last paragraph of LOT's Afternoon AFD

 

OVERALL...CONTINUE TO HAVE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN GREATER THAN 8
INCH SNOW AMOUNTS IN 24 HOURS ROUGHLY ALONG/SOUTHEAST OF A LINE
FROM WINTHROP HARBOR TO FORRESTON IL. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN
EXCESS OF A FOOT ARE POSSIBLE NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND ALONG/SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 88. NORTHWEST OF THAT LINE...INCLUDING THE ROCKFORD
METRO...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR GREATER THAN 6 INCHES...BUT
BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW IS LIKELY TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT TRAVEL
IMPACTS EVEN IF STRICT WARNING CRITERIA OF 8 INCHES IN 24 HOURS IS
NOT MET.
 

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

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Between 3-6pm Sunday is when this system turns on the Lake Effect show...after that I'd imagine a lake plume would start to form as winds turn more NNE and howl down the lake.  18z WRF showing this near MKE down into NE IL after 6pm Sunday.

 

I'm mind boggled that the models continue to increase qpf totals each and every run.  Complete opposite of what we have endured thus far this winter with these weak Clippers.  This is turning out to be one hellova system.  Might be a GHD 2.0 repeat (on a less grand of a scale of course)....look at those 1.0-1.2"qpf's in Cook/Lake counties.

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