Deweydog Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 The Euro ends 12 hours into December! Sh*t’s gettin’ real!!! 4 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: The Euro ends 12 hours into December! Sh*t’s gettin’ real!!! That's the spirit! 00z ECMWF(December 1st) in 250 hours 37 minutes 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 The Canadian ensemble agrees with the EPS and GFS ensemble in building GOA heights as we get into December. Now we wait and see how the details unfold. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 6 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: That's the spirit! 00z ECMWF(December 1st) in 250 hours 37 minutes I think he is actually excited about the prospects going forward. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: The Canadian ensemble agrees with the EPS and GFS ensemble in building GOA heights as we get into December. Now we wait and see how the details unfold. Yep just nudge that ridge ---> 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Some places still stuck in the 30s this morning. Not bad. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Yep just nudge that ridge ---> The 12z GFS ensemble was actually a bit east of previous runs. A good number of cold members on that run. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Up to 5 freezes IMBY now, and going for 6 tonight. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 EPS seems to be doing the same thing the GEFS is doing... likely extending our wet pattern. 12Z run yesterday on top... and new 12Z EPS on the bottom. The 12Z run yesterday would focus rain on CA... the 12Z run today focuses it on WA. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Up to 51 here now... might need to skip the Seahawks game this afternoon. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: EPS seems to be doing the same thing the GEFS is doing... likely extending our wet pattern. 12Z run yesterday on top... and new 12Z EPS on the bottom. The 12Z run yesterday would focus rain on CA... the 12Z run today focuses it on WA. Big change right after that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Big change right after that Yeah... but look at the trend even later in the run. 12Z run yesterday vs 12Z run today... I just don't like the trends. It seems like this wet pattern always gets extended despite what is shown in the long range. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Yeah... but look at the trend even later in the run. 12Z run yesterday vs 12Z run today... Location different yes. I guess I’m more focused on killing vortex and getting block more East? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Just now, RentonHillTC said: Location different yes. I guess I’m more focused on killing vortex and getting block more East? Maybe... just feels like we have a long way to go yet with these AR events. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Up to 51 here now... might need to skip the Seahawks game this afternoon. Were you playing? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Just now, Deweydog said: Were you playing? Game time decision! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Maybe... just feels like we have a long way to go yet with these AR events. Two weeks is a long time yes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 6 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Location different yes. I guess I’m more focused on killing vortex and getting block more East? That's the only thing I'm watching for since all ensembles shut down the Pacific paving the way for that. C'MON!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Just now, RentonHillTC said: Two weeks is a long time yes And the end keeps getting extended too... could be longer. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Still 39.9 here. Really loving this fake cold. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: That's the only thing I'm watching for since all ensembles shut down the Pacific paving the way for that. C'MON!!!! I would love to see the Pacific get shut down. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I would love to see the Pacific get shut down. Yeah, me too. It's coming and will become more apparent on the op runs in a few days. Ensembles insist on it right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Ridging means radiation fog in the Central Valley of California and much of the PNW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Oddly enough, hour 30 on the GFS appears somewhat similar to some of the #shutdown fuzzy means off in the ether: Sometimes the goodies are right under our noses! 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 17 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: Still 39.9 here. Really loving this fake cold. What is real cold? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Game time decision! If you play, have your teammates take a picture of you. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Oddly enough, hour 30 on the GFS appears somewhat similar to some of the #shutdown fuzzy means off in the ether: Sometimes the goodies are right under our noses! Reminds me of Hanukkah day ice storm of 1993 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 32 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: That's the only thing I'm watching for since all ensembles shut down the Pacific paving the way for that. C'MON!!!! There is no way to say the ensembles haven't been good today. All show a big pattern shift. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 15 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: What is real cold? Fake cold simply means inversion. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: There is no way to say the ensembles haven't been good today. All show a big pattern shift. They all delayed it. And as Matt pointed out... the big shift sort of looks like what we have right now. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 29 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Yeah, me too. It's coming and will become more apparent on the op runs in a few days. Ensembles insist on it right now. The placement is getting pretty decent on the means today as well. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Fake cold simply means inversion. Sometimes real cold is warmer than fake cold. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: They all delayed it. And as Matt pointed out... the big shift sort of looks like what we have right now. That big block that develops over the GOA on the ensembles is pretty solid and consistent at this point. The coming MJO supports a meaningful change as well. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 18 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Reminds me of Hanukkah day ice storm of 1993 5 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: That big block that develops over the GOA on the ensembles is pretty solid and consistent at this point. The coming MJO supports a meaningful change as well. I want an end to the wet pattern more than anyone (its about to return). And I hate seeing the pattern change get delayed and watered down. That is usually a bad sign. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Sometimes real cold is warmer than fake cold. No doubt. We can get some killer inversions here on occasion being so far north. January 2013 had about a week to ten days of well below normal temps with hard freezes at night under such a pattern. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: I want an end to the wet pattern more than anyone (its about to return). And I hate seeing the pattern change get delayed and watered down. That is usually a bad sign. It just seems like early December is about the right time. We shall see. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 2 hours ago, snow_wizard said: One thing to like is almost all model runs shred the PV as we get into early December. The 00z GFS did, but the ensembles don’t show it. 2 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Finally hit 40 here as the fog is mostly burned off. Feels cold today compared to that warm sw flow we’ve had. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 33 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: What is real cold? It’s certainly not when we’re colder in the valley than Government Camp. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.