For sure. For me, I'm more interested in the pattern it is showing, not so much specific snow amounts.

Not sure how that addresses my point. There are far more black swan type heat events now than there were back then, and we're not offsetting those with February 1936s and January 1937s.

I luv the southern storms riding up the Appalachian chain.

The mean is nowhere near as aggressive and I think the AIFS is probably running a little fast. However I think it has the right idea. Compare that to the mean. You can still see the hint of where this is going. Eventually with this kind of pattern you will build a trough further west than we have seen. With the AK block remaining in place and the trough centered over the Rockies it looks cold in the Plains but we should get better moisture. So those in the south and central parts of the area will start doing better. And SUPER importantly look at all that nice ridging in the east to force the storm track to slow down and turn north instead of just racing east.

Rainfall totals (ending 4 pm Wednesday) Models: 12z GFS, 12z GEFS, 12z ECMWF, 12z EPS