Assuming models continue tracking to at least a moderate, likely strong el niño, by next winter, one ray of hope is the handful of winters featuring the transition from weak la niña to strong el niño have all featured solid arctic air events earlier in the winter -- 23-24 being the last one. I know the longterm data would suggest otherwise, but i am pretty anti La Niña at this point. It's a combo of them failing to deliver lately, and the annoying hype they generate that in the mainstream media tends to be completely devoid of nuance. I also think as our climate evolves, the effects of ENSO will become more difficult to predict, especially if we keep accumulating data from winters like this one that defy the probabilities.

Currently 39 and raining. Wow. Still potential for early March.

Wet snow falling here, 36°F

Going to need some hope for some good trends on the 18z Euro.

Some wet snow for those who want to see it… 1771279509918.mp4