Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Model riders...We all are, yup. Sounds like a reality tv series. Next, on A&E an all new Model Riders. Rob posts about east wind, insists the PDX-DLS gradient might exceed 10mb. Tim analyzes the WRF. A new member is labeled with a [Weenie Tag] after being upset about how bad the Winter has been. Drama ensues. Flatiron and BLI Snowman have a climatology throwdown of epic proportions, and SnowWizard Jim refuses to accept that there simply is no retrogression on the 00z. It's all new and all next on A&E Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Late November/early December. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Really? He is thinking only of retrogression... ONLY. He is like a robot sometimes. He would be on here tonight with the model improvement if he had any idea this place existed. Lol he answered you on old forum. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catnip Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Nah, it's the owner of Team Implode Audio(based in Medford, OR). He was gracious enough to let me use his truck for my album cover. I did talk to Mike yesterday though.Maybe he can make the Ridge go Boom! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Lol he answered you on old forum. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Yeah, this may be Jim's chance to quietly exit if he really wants to. Hopefully he will join us though, I would miss his posts!He will never leave all together for good. I would bet 10 grand. He's crazy for this crap. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 00z EURO in 1 hour 45 minutes! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Wow, you are even a Debbie Downer on the Seahawks. I don't like to presume the Seahawks will be in the Super Bowl. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Late November/early December. Why the capital d D? Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Why the capital d D? The lower case always bugged me. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 The lower case always bugged me. It's funny how one can get used to scanning the names and pics to recognize who is who. Everything is off a little. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 It's funny how one can get used to scanning the names and pics to recognize who is who. Everything is off a little. It's a lot to take in. Luckily we're in the midst of a remarkably slow mid/late winter so the impact is minimal. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 It's a lot to take in. Luckily we're in the midst of a remarkably slow mid/late winter so the impact is minimal. Just take it a day at a time. I'm just worried about the big snow storm in 17 days. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Just take it a day at a time. I'm just worried about the big snow storm in 17 days. More importantly, inversion season is beginning to slowly wane. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 The lower case always bugged me. Good idea. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Good idea.Copy cat. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brody Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 I don't like to presume the Seahawks will be in the Super Bowl. Your handle never used to be all caps, what gives? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Your handle never used to be all caps, what gives? Looks better. A little less stupid. Or not. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Looks better. A little less stupid. Or not.Why do you think it's stupid? Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Why do you think it's stupid? Well... I don't live in SEA. And I live in a very different climate zone as well. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Well... I don't live in SEA. And I live in a very different climate zone asClimate isn't far off lately. Ridiculous to think how little snow you have had this year compared to other years. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Second beautiful day in a row up here. 51F yesterday and 47F today with mostly clear skies by about 2 p.m. The sun is nice, but it seems like mother nature is mocking us. It seems like all we have had since last winter is sun or clouds. Maybe all the storms are being saved up for one winter where we will have an active patter from October to March. Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Climate isn't far off lately. Ridiculous to think how little snow you have had this year compared to other years. My grass is greening up. Not quite right in January. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Well compared to the beginning of the month, last week's snow storm really helped the mountains catch up to normal, but it also looks like the next few weeks are not going to be increasing the snow pack. This is The NWAC report from January 15. Unfortunately with freezing levels around 11,000 feet and high temps for the next few days in the 40's and 50's at the ski areas, the bases may begin to shrink once again. CURRENT CLIMATE PER CENT LAST THRU 2013 THRU 2013 DEPTH AVERAGE OF NORMAL YEAR MAX/YEAR MIN/YEARHURRICANE 28 70 40 93 118/2007 10/1981MT BAKER 86 109 79 139 180/1971 15/1981STEVENS 52 74 70 80 146/1969 6/1981SNOQUALMIE 28 65 43 66 123/1969 0/1981STAMPEDE 27 70 39 56 179/1972 0/1981MISSION 20 36 56 40 63/1995 12/1981CRYSTAL 28 50 56 62 91/1971 3/1981PARADISE 98 111 88 123 216/1969 31/1981WHITE PASS 30 45 67 45 80/2000 0/1981TIMBERLINE 66 102 65 105 170/1975 10/1981MEADOWS 51 87 59 88 144/1989 0/1981 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Cold and foggy day in Eugene today. Hovered at 34F-35F all day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 00z EURO full runhttp://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/Models/ecmwf500mb_ecmwf.htmlThe demise of the unbreakable western ridge? Obvious retrogression of the PV as the flow bends around quite sharply in British Columbia and Alberta. The cold air gets oh so close, but as the "head" of the block is pinched off southwesterly flow tries to move into the picture. This shoves the cold air back up into the Canadian prairies. At least a pattern change is showing up before day 10 now. http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/getchart/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!192!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!chart.gif http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/getchart/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!240!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!chart.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 I speak daily with Jim on AOL instant messenger. He’s alive and well. And yes AOL IM still does exist. Seahawks 3449ers 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 00z EURO full runhttp://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/Models/ecmwf500mb_ecmwf.htmlThe demise of the unbreakable western ridge? Obvious retrogression of the PV as the flow bends around quite sharply in British Columbia and Alberta. The cold air gets oh so close, but as the "head" of the block is pinched off southwesterly flow tries to move into the picture. This shoves the cold air back up into the Canadian prairies. At least a pattern change is showing up before day 10 now. http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/getchart/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!192!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!chart.gif http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/getchart/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!240!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!chart.gifThat low off the coast is not what you guys want. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 That low off the coast is not what you guys want.It's wet and thats what we need. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 It's wet and thats what we need. More what California needs... at some point there has to be some storms down there. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
st0rmchaser Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Overnight low of 24F, not a drop or a flake in sight. Quote Favorite weather: The kind most people run away from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
st0rmchaser Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 http://i42.tinypic.com/i40jtc.png Quite a hefty inversion at PDX today at sunrise. Quote Favorite weather: The kind most people run away from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Honestly, all The models just completely suck for us all the way out past 300 hours (well 240 on the Euro). What glimmer of hope was shown yesterday was just that, a glimmer. The heart of this winter is epic from a dry and inactive point of view. I blame it on global warming. --- Here comes Phil!! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Honestly, all The models just completely suck for us all the way out past 300 hours (well 240 on the Euro). What glimmer of hope was shown yesterday was just that, a glimmer. The heart of this winter is epic from a dry and inactive point of view. I blame it on global warming. --- Here comes Phil!! I thought Phil said 2014 was supposed to be the beginning of the ice age Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 I thought Phil said 2014 was supposed to be the beginning of the ice age He's actually done a pretty good job this winter. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 I thought Phil said 2014 was supposed to be the beginning of the ice age People east of the Rockies probably feel like it is the beginning of the ice age! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 I thought Phil said 2014 was supposed to be the beginning of the ice age Nope, but the longer term decline into the next glacial should initiate sometime around 2017 (+/- 1yr), with a significant temperature drop occurring during the 2020s. We finished up our warming in 2012. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 He's actually done a pretty good job this winter.Thanks man. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Canadian guy Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Honestly, all The models just completely suck for us all the way out past 300 hours (well 240 on the Euro). What glimmer of hope was shown yesterday was just that, a glimmer. The heart of this winter is epic from a dry and inactive point of view. I blame it on global warming. --- Here comes Phil!! At least the ensembles are slowing improving. Hopefully back to normal or cooler by the end of month. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Vancouver_Kanada_ens.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 It's wet and thats what we need.Not if you want snow in the lowlands. That's a very anomalous negative that will prevent intrusion. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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