Jesse Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Weather geek alert! Brookings on the southern Oregon coast hit 100 degrees today and it is still 91 there at 9 PM. It's the same weather pattern that will have us so warm tomorrow (85-90) http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=KBOK&table=1&banner=offUnlikely we see offshore flow tomorrow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Weather geek alert! Brookings on the southern Oregon coast hit 100 degrees today and it is still 91 there at 9 PM. It's the same weather pattern that will have us so warm tomorrow (85-90) http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=KBOK&table=1&banner=offAstoria Syndrome (AS). Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Astoria Syndrome (AS). Is that kind of like asperger's? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 The WRF is no doubt about it cool Wednesday night through Sunday. Two really chilly nights and all days cool during the period. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Weather geek alert! Brookings on the southern Oregon coast hit 100 degrees today and it is still 91 there at 9 PM. It's the same weather pattern that will have us so warm tomorrow (85-90) http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=KBOK&table=1&banner=off It appears the thermal trough reached it's peak well south of us this time. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Is that kind of like asperger's?Warm anomalies do make for some very awkward social interactions. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 The ECMWF is colder looking than the GFS. 850s are around zero down to Seattle on day 10. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 We should all feel safe knowing Leonardo Decaprio and Obama are meeting on climate change. According to Leo's little speech at the Academy Awards they had to go to the Southern Hemisphere to find snow for the movie he was shooting. This was during winter in Northern Hemisphere. Sounds a bit fishy to me.... Looking into it deeper he actually says he witnessed climate change first hand in Alberta! Turns out he witnessed nothing more than a Chinook wind, but he apparently still doesn't get that. God help us.... I'm still wondering how they went to Argentina to find snow while it was summer down there. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Watch out for midnight lows...DP at 48. The +8 stands from yesterday... no midnight low. SEA is now at -0.4 for the month and might be right about normal after tomorrow. WFO SEA is tracking well with SEA at -0.5... while Bellingham is up to +0.7 now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Ironically it looks like another month that has deep troughing early on... July, August, and September all had the coldest anomalies of the month in the first week at SEA. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 What a chilly month so far for the region. Even with the slightly warm day yesterday... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Don't like the trend in the GFS/GEFS to initiate an Alaskan/GOA vortex in mid-October. Hopefully just a blip or transient development. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 GFS/GEFS are throwing subsidence across the EHEM in the LR, while the EPS/GGEM ensembles have a standing wave @ 150E. Talk about model disagreement. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 The +8 stands from yesterday... no midnight low. There was at OLM. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Looks like the ridging that will dominate the region for most of October is about to move overhead on day 10 of the 12z Euro... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Midwest and East are due for some longer duration troughing. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 80 here... gorgeous day. We had a little east wind this morning as well. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Midwest and East are due for some longer duration troughing.I'm considering witchcraft. Have been sitting under a ridge since Memorial Day. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Huge differences between the EPS & GEFS in the global tropics. Literally night and day. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Huge differences between the EPS & GEFS in the global tropics. Literally night and day.Literally? Maybe you're just looking at different halves of the globe for the same time frame. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Modest NPAC jet extension still looks probable, starting around d10 +/- a few days. Question is, how does the pattern evolve from there? We could fall into a +EPO/-AO type pattern (ugly) or the antecedent block could assist/force a cyclonic wavebreak response, maintaining EPO/GOA ridging (awesomeness). Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Cloudy and 62F here right now. I was just out walking and with a breeze it feels a bit chillier than what I was expecting today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r-qATOgCoLg This forecast doesn't call for any snow in the PNW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Mkay, really starting to hate yellow jackets, and bees in general. When is *FALL* gonna kick in? October is so close yet so far away. September has gotta be at least #1 or #2 worst bee month in Klamath. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Mkay, really starting to hate yellow jackets, and bees in general. When is *FALL* gonna kick in? October is so close yet so far away. September has gotta be at least #1 or #2 worst bee month in Klamath.*FALL* has been here. Your area has been well below average his month. See map I posted above. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 *FALL* has been here. Your area has been well below average his month. See map I posted above. Even so, I still had some highs in the 80's (including today). I officially will start calling it Fall when I am consistently into the 50's-60's and have scattered showers. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Even so, I still had some highs in the 80's (including today). I officially will start calling it Fall when I am consistently into the 50's-60's and have scattered showers. Fall is a dynamic season. A record cold September would still be warmer than even a normal October. At least that's the case up here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r-qATOgCoLg This forecast doesn't call for any snow in the PNW. On the plus side, there will be lots of rain in Vancouver, BC. le sigh I think he's one of those East coast weenies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r-qATOgCoLg This forecast doesn't call for any snow in the PNW. I think I heard something about Vancouver, BC in there. Intriguing. He's usually not this confident this far out. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 I think I heard something about Vancouver, BC in there. Intriguing. He's usually not this confident this far out. What is his track record??? Can we count on this forecast? Thankfully he did not mention Seattle. I am thinking this means a warm conveyor belt situation with Seattle on the warm, dry side. I am going with that. Given his very cold and snowy forecast for Minnesota and North Dakota and Wiscooooooooosin... I think we are looking at a western ridge / Midwest trough situation in 2016-17. Basically agreeing with Bastardi. This is sort of how I imagine some people on here when it comes to cold and snow. Winter is coming... winter is coming. Going to be a lot of snow. Going to be a lot of snow. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 What is his track record??? Can we count on this forecast? Thankfully he did not mention Seattle. I am thinking this means a warm conveyor belt situation with Seattle on the warm, dry side. I am going with that. This is sort of how I imagine some people on here when it comes to cold and snow. Winter is coming... winter is coming. Going to be a lot of snow. Going to be a lot of snow. Frantic edits!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Fall is a dynamic season. A record cold September would still be warmer than even a normal October. At least that's the case up here. I can have a few warm October days but overall the month does average much colder than September. Here I personally categorize September as a 4th meteorological summer month due to the prolonged and consistent "nothingness" that happens. Sometimes I don't even manage a trace of rain in the whole month of September. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 Frantic edits!!! No... I just watched it again and gleaned some more important information about a cold Midwest. I think this is this is very meaningful to our forecast. Big picture Matt... big picture. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 No... I just watched it again and gleaned some more important information about a cold Midwest. I think this is this is very meaningful to our forecast. Big picture Matt... big picture.Diversity hits again! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 I think I heard something about Vancouver, BC in there. Intriguing. He's usually not this confident this far out. He just said that it is going to rain a lot in Vancouver, BC. WE ARE SCREWED. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 He just said that it is going to rain a lot in Vancouver, BC. WE ARE SCREWED. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 He just said that it is going to rain a lot in Vancouver, BC. WE ARE SCREWED.It's over Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted September 26, 2016 Report Share Posted September 26, 2016 It's ok, guys. Some winters it rains a lot, but still snows a lot, too. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted September 27, 2016 Report Share Posted September 27, 2016 It's overWINTER CANCEL!!!!! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted September 27, 2016 Report Share Posted September 27, 2016 Woah Hillary hasn't fainted yet. 2 Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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