TT-SEA Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 I hope this coating of snow here this morning is some kind of 'warning shot' or something leading to a very snowy couple of months. Not sure anyone has thought about this concept yet... just throwing it out there! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Coldest January since 1980? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Wow GFS Ensembles look good. The mean 850's never gets above -1 for SEA and is down between -4 and -5 for much of the extended. Pretty nice signal for that far out. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Looking more and more like a "December to remember" type of month. As long as it continues until after I get back to Washington in a couple of weeks I'll be happy. I would be sad to miss all the fun and have it be torching the entire time I'm home. Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Sorry... one more. Finally sunshine in Seattle!! And the shadow of the space needle in the view. I love cold air in the winter. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 As long as it continues until after I get back to Washington in a couple of weeks I'll be happy. I would be sad to miss all the fun and have it be torching the entire time I'm home.I feel ya. I'm going to out of town for a week or so soon Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 As long as it continues until after I get back to Washington in a couple of weeks I'll be happy. I would be sad to miss all the fun and have it be torching the entire time I'm home.Never ever leave the state during a Neutral or Niña years!!!!!!! My Mexico trip isn't until May...think I'm safe by then! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 35.1 and drizzle. So close! 1 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 I know who "Arctic Blast" is now. lolI won't reveal his identity, but I figured it out in the facebook groups... SilverFallsAndrew, I shouldn't even have to do this but this is the only place I talk about weather. I'm not a member of any facebook groups. I just want to clear that up. Why would I use my own personal facebook to talk about weather in the tone I can do here. You should know better not to see or believe everything you see on the Internet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Sorry... one more. Finally sunshine in Seattle!! And the shadow of the space needle in the view. I love cold air in the winter. There's been several days there lately with a fair amount of sunshine. Much more than your place, apparently. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trainwreck Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Mark Nelsen?[/quote No way. It's Rob or Jesse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Euro looks slightly warmer in the near range and seems to scour out cold air a little faster than previous runs. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Euro looks slightly warmer in the near range and seems to scour out cold air a little faster than previous runs. However, at day 4 (Thu), it's still slower to scour it out than the GFS. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather101 Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Quote 2013/2014 Winter season Coldest Low: 14 F December 7thColdest High: 27.3 F December 7thColdest Wind chill: 5 F December 7thLowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6thDays below freezing: 5Total Snowfall: 11 inchesMost snowfall in a Day: 8 inchesDays With Snow: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Mark Nelsen?[/quote No way. It's Rob or Jesse. nah, it's Kevin Martin. <_> Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Euro looks slightly warmer in the near range and seems to scour out cold air a little faster than previous runs.Well shoot. Everyone was so upbeat this morning, too. It's a shame. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Looking good with the reboot at day 5. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Well shoot. Everyone was so upbeat this morning, too. It's a shame. It's not a big difference at all. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 It's not a big difference at all.Good! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 12z Euro ups the snow amounts for most of Western WA through Tuesday compared to the 00z. Definitely trending a little towards the WRF - but not showing nearly the same amount. Starting to show a CZ signature for King County though. As AlpineExperience said, this will be a great test for the WRF. I have a feeling the WRF will be closer to being right than the Euro, but WRF is probably overdoing it a touch. The Wizard with 1.5"! Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Even the weather models are getting excited about our snow chances . . . Better see a doctor if it stays snow longer than 4 hours. 5 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dairyd Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Winds not at blizzard levels on Monday but they kick up on Tuesday. Looks like enough snow (4-6) to push around to make a mess of things. Could get interesting up here for a few days. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Snow advisories Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Encouraging AFD from Seattle this morning! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Even the weather models are getting excited about our snow chances . . . Better see a doctor if it stays snow longer than 4 hours. 15310636_10154073723682606_285108884_n.pngIdk why but I find this kind of humor creepy since I know you're a first grade teacher. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 PDX NWS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR1037 AM PST SUN DEC 4 2016.SNOW LEVELS MAY DROP DOWN TO CLOSE TO THE VALLEY FLOORS LATETONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATIONS AT THE VALLEY FLOORSWILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON HOW FAST ROADS COOL OFF AND THE SNOWBEGINS TO STICK. ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PMPST MONDAY ABOVE 700 FEET FOR THE GREATER PORTLAND AND VANCOUVERMETRO AREAS...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW ABOVE 500 FEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECTFROM 4 AM TO 1 PM PST MONDAY.* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT...WITH THEMAIN PERIOD OF SNOW MONDAY MORNING INTO EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.* SNOW LEVELS...LOWERING TO 500 TO 1000 FEET TONIGHT...AND DOWN TOCLOSE TO THE VALLEY FLOORS MONDAY.* ACCUMULATION...1 TO 2 OR 3 INCHES ABOVE ABOUT 700 FEET... WITH ATRACE TO LESS THAN AN INCH BELOW 700 FEET. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Euro looks slightly warmer in the near range and seems to scour out cold air a little faster than previous runs.F*ck you. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 The 12z GEFS mean is a thing of beauty. Perfect orientation of the tropical forcings and off-equator forcing, hence a relocation of the next round of wavebreaking right over AK. Mid/late December starting to look closer to how I envisioned it. 5 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 I'm impressed with how consistent the WRF has been with pretty much showing the same sounding for 4-10AM tomorrow at PDX and nearly the same snow amounts for days now. I'll be even more impressed if it actually verifies even though it is almost certainly overdone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 PDX NWS URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR1037 AM PST SUN DEC 4 2016 .SNOW LEVELS MAY DROP DOWN TO CLOSE TO THE VALLEY FLOORS LATETONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATIONS AT THE VALLEY FLOORSWILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON HOW FAST ROADS COOL OFF AND THE SNOWBEGINS TO STICK. ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PMPST MONDAY ABOVE 700 FEET FOR THE GREATER PORTLAND AND VANCOUVERMETRO AREAS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW ABOVE 500 FEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECTFROM 4 AM TO 1 PM PST MONDAY. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT...WITH THEMAIN PERIOD OF SNOW MONDAY MORNING INTO EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. * SNOW LEVELS...LOWERING TO 500 TO 1000 FEET TONIGHT...AND DOWN TOCLOSE TO THE VALLEY FLOORS MONDAY. * ACCUMULATION...1 TO 2 OR 3 INCHES ABOVE ABOUT 700 FEET... WITH ATRACE TO LESS THAN AN INCH BELOW 700 FEET. Rather vague and safe...but at the same time sounds about right. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 3 to 6 expected tomorrow at mi casa Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Idk why but I find this kind of humor creepy since I know you're a first grade teacher. We are just normal people And it's 2nd grade. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 I really feel for the people who live at 690 feet. Suckers. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Looks like near-ish miss to the east with the Euro. Mother lode PV about to drop into north central US at day 9. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Looks like near-ish miss to the east with the Euro. Mother lode PV about to drop into north central US at day 9.Yep pretty chilly though Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Y'all should be drooling over the 12z GEFS. Perfect EAMT/NAMT synchronicity w/ the tropical forcing/poleward WAFs. That's how you build an AK/Arctic block and downstream SE ridge. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Looks like near-ish miss to the east with the Euro. Mother lode PV about to drop into north central US at day 9.Slight tweaking and we are golden! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Y'all should be drooling over the 12z GEFS. Perfect EAMT/NAMT synchronicity w/ the tropical forcing/poleward WAFs. That's how you build an AK/Arctic block and downstream SE ridge. Yup, I just saw it. Looks magnificent! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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