Deweydog Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 It's a great run. Think back to 2014/15..even tonight's GFS run would be great by that winter's standards.We had a pretty decent cold snap about now in 2014. A guy in Colorado really thought PDX was gonna have a sub-freezing day with it. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 We had a pretty decent cold snap about now in 2014. A guy in Colorado really thought PDX was gonna have a sub-freezing day with it.The one in November? I remember a bunch of Tim pictures but IIRC it wasn't very long lasting, no? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Day 9 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016122800/216/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 It's a great run. Think back to 2014/15..even tonight's GFS run would be great by that winter's standards.I guess I had more hope for this than just "better than last year" type of event. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Day 9 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016122800/216/500h_anom.na.pngBrrrr. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 We had a pretty decent cold snap about now in 2014. A guy in Colorado really thought PDX was gonna have a sub-freezing day with it. Verbatim even the 00z GFS is better than anything we have seen the last two winters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 We can sleep now. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Insane amount of cold air at 216 coast to coast. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 There we go!!!! http://i.imgur.com/C9U8eUh.pngHow many clicks did that take? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Verbatim even the 00z GFS is better than anything we have seen the last two winters.Sure is. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Looks like it's going to get cold. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 How many clicks did that take? Honest to God, ONE I was just as surprised. Trust me. It MUST mean something!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 The Euro is simply majestic. Incredible block and very cold. It has 850s of -10 or lower for SEA from day 5 onward. At face value highs below freezing and lows 10 to 20. Probably some singles if there is good snow cover. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I guess I had more hope for this than just "better than last year" type of event.Does the Euro not make you happy? Can't have all your marbles in the GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I think you got more crap for implying that people are living in the clouds just because they didn't totally lose their s**t over a few slightly less favorable GFS runs. I get that. And I can take it. I'm not saying they should lose it, but the fact that up until our last event in mid December people were discounting whatever model didn't show what they wanted, until they were stuck with with obscure models trying to place low pressure in a favorable location. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Day 9 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016122800/216/500h_anom.na.pngSnowstorm as a L drops in from the NNW. Reminds me of the system that hammered the Central/Southern Valley in December 2013. Still a long ways out but good to see this snow potential. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2016122800/ecmwf_z500_mslp_namer_10.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I guess I had more hope for this than just "better than last year" type of event.This looks like the best longwave pattern since at least 2010/11, perhaps since 2008/09. Obviously we're not repeating 1949/50. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I guess I had more hope for this than just "better than last year" type of event. I think you misunderstood. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 We can sleep now.This is what some people will look like after this ride. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I get that. And I can take it. I'm not saying they should lose it, but the fact that up until our last event in mid December people were discounting whatever model didn't show what they wanted, until they were stuck with with obscure models trying to place low pressure in a favorable location.That definitely happens too. The weenieism runs strong both ways sometimes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Honest to God, ONE I was just as surprised. Trust me. It MUST mean something!!!Oops! Something went wrong![#10127] You have reached your quota of positive votes for the day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Day 10 massive snow storm potential. Major backdoor blast. Boo Hooo the GFS was baddddddd and now the cold isn't comingggggggg http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016122800/240/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 So much panicking by two people who live at over 1,500ft!?? Nice snowstorm at day 8 on the euro as the reload comes. 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 This looks like the best longwave pattern since at least 2010/11, perhaps since 2008/09. Obviously we're not repeating 1949/50. I think this will top anything this century for the NW except maybe December 2008. I think this could last longer though. We could easily beat any January event since at least 1980. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Does the Euro not make you happy? Can't have all your marbles in the GFSLol, you really don't get me. I'm sorry it's been years since I was this active on a forum. I was never rooting for the gfs, just kept throwing it out either. I just wanted people to see a negative trend with a little objectivity, which as it turns out is a fools errand here. But to be honest I would absolutely love for it to verify verbatim, but am not convinced it won't continue to trend toward the gfs as it did slightly tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 This is what some people will look like after this ride.Model riding is rough Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Day 10 massive snow storm potential. Major backdoor blast. Boo Hooo the GFS was baddddddd and now the cold isn't comingggggggg http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016122800/240/500h_anom.na.pngOops! Something went wrong![#10127] You have reached your quota of positive votes for the day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I don't think anyone is losing their ,just pointing out the obvious. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 This is what some people will look like after this ride. Downright scary. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Day 10 massive snow storm potential. Major backdoor blast. Boo Hooo the GFS was baddddddd and now the cold isn't comingggggggg http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016122800/240/500h_anom.na.pngOh yeah! Even bigger snowstorm coming. Looks like a December 2008 setup. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2016122800/ecmwf_z500_mslp_namer_11.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I don't think anyone is losing their s**t,just pointing out the obvious. Said the guy losing his ... 3 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 So much panicking by two people who live at over 1,500ft!?? Nice snowstorm at day 8 on the euro as the reload comes. Bro, don't short-change me. I'm at 1500'! In all seriousness, no panicking in my end, just pointing out model trends. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Day 10 has kind of a Jan 1969 look to it. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 How many clicks did that take? Lol, I think it's legit. http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/5E97946B-4BA2-4717-9355-D3FE3935A938_zpsic8kcgug.png Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 This is exactly the type of EURO run I wanted to see tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Lol, you really don't get me. I'm sorry it's been years since I was this active on a forum. I was never rooting for the gfs, just kept throwing it out either. I just wanted people to see a negative trend with a little objectivity, which as it turns out is a fools errand here. But to be honest I would absolutely love for it to verify verbatim, but am not convinced it won't continue to trend toward the gfs as it did slightly tonight.I see where you are at with this, don't let the attacks get you down and I hope you stay active on here. It's a good forum and soon all we ll be forgotten either way. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Said the guy losing his s**t...But I am not. It's all good though, I will continue to provide objective analysis is real time. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Lol, you really don't get me. I'm sorry it's been years since I was this active on a forum. I was never rooting for the gfs, just kept throwing it out either. I just wanted people to see a negative trend with a little objectivity, which as it turns out is a fools errand here. But to be honest I would absolutely love for it to verify verbatim, but am not convinced it won't continue to trend toward the gfs as it did slightly tonight.There are a handful of fairly objective folks on here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 ECMWF has another 2 or 3 inches for my area in the 8 to 10 day period. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Day 10 is insane. January 1969/2011 redux??? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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