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December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

stuffradio

By stuffradio
in West of the Rockies

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MossMan Grand Master

MossMan

Posted
Posted

Pathetic.

 

I hyped this cold wave WAY too much today to family and friends. WAY too much. I jinxed it.

You didn't learn your lesson did you...I have mostly kept my mouth shut so far hoping there would be no jinxing!
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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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MR.SNOWMIZER
MR.SNOWMIZER

Been a emotional day.. First time in 27 years i went and picked a Christmas tree without my woman but me and my son made the best of it and had a good time. Its been a real test as a father dealing wi

jaya
jaya

Well, I don't have access to everything that I'd like to look at. With that said, tonight will be tricky with the strong offshore flow. I've seen it go both ways. In one case in 2014 I believe, models

Gradient Keeper
Gradient Keeper

I wish you all a Merry Christmas. I hope you can find joy and happiness. Appreciate the ones you have with you during this Holiday season.   http://i.imgur.com/fhWgu21.jpg

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Front Ranger Grand Master

Front Ranger

Posted
Posted

I think if there was more money to be made in more precise models, we'd have them. Until then we are stuck with government run crapola.

 

100% disagree. There are simply too many variables, too much chaos. It's not a matter of funding, it's a matter of inherent unpredictability.

A forum for the end of the world.

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Front Ranger Grand Master

Front Ranger

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I have never seen an event fall apart like this at the last minute. We are literally 24 hours away from everything started and the models had shown rock solid consistency until next Thursday/Friday...No reason to think it would fall apart. Then it all did in one model run, every single model shifted, even watering down the first "event." Yeah its better than a lot of recent Januaries, just so disappointing compared to what was being shown, a string of 4-5 sub freezing highs just is not going to happen. 

 

Way too soon to make any confident pronouncements. All we can say is we have a very anomalous blocking high in the GOA and some southern stream energy. It will be getting cold enough to snow.

A forum for the end of the world.

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

There is still hope that this could evolve into something great later next week.    In fact... I am sort of expecting it now after this letdown tonight. 

 

(JIM AND BRYANT - THIS A POSITIVE POST FROM TIM)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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BLI snowman Grand Master

BLI snowman

Posted
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I have never seen an event fall apart like this at the last minute. We are literally 24 hours away from everything started and the models had shown rock solid consistency until next Thursday/Friday...No reason to think it would fall apart. Then it all did in one model run, every single model shifted, even watering down the first "event." Yeah its better than a lot of recent Januaries, just so disappointing compared to what was being shown, a string of 4-5 sub freezing highs just is not going to happen. 

 

Basically our block must be feeling a little bit like Ronda Rousey tonight.

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ShawniganLake Grand Master

ShawniganLake

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This is a dynamic front. Not like anything seen in awhile. Models, even this close, have a pretty weak handle on what will actually happen tomorrow night/Sunday.

I guess we will see but I doubt the arctic front catches up to the departing low, at least up this way.
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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

Dear Lord...Hope remains...

 

15799864_10209991316451567_1364898542928

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
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Definitely looking more 2014 like now.

 

Except without the insane temperature gradient between 20s in EUG and near 60 in S. Oregon. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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