Tom Posted December 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 12z GFS looks a little colder...pressing the snow line down into NE...good trend for those out that way.. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 everything's flying by. no chance to wrap up and slow down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Anyone know what the EPO is forecast to be during this period?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 everything's flying by. no chance to wrap up and slow down.Ya, that has been my thinking with a +AO and a fast flow... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 12z GFS looks a little colder...pressing the snow line down into NE...good trend for those out that way..Man I hope so because if it does go above freezing and we get rain it could be very nasty. The ground will still be below freezing so we could have a nasty flash freeze situation for a lot of folks. Not to mention that after the storm it will get very cold again which would just make this a very dangerous situation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 12z GFS...nail biter around here...thinking S WI on north is safe for the time being to remain all snow...ensembles are pointing that way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 This is becoming laughable. Everyone around us gets snow but us!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 20" bullseye imby. Hopefully I end up getting half of that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Here is an extended view of the overnight 00z EURO...I would sure take this Tom. Beggars can't be choosers with any snow amounts. Thanks for the map. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 20" bullseye imby. Hopefully I end up getting half of that.Extremely high ratios with the WAA snows out ahead of the system...nice fluff for sure! If that HP can cooperate, Lehs towards the end of the system could be Yuuuge!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Still showing a foot for me. We'll see Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 I would sure take this Tom. Beggars can't be choosers with any snow amounts. Thanks for the map.Sure will be a long week of tracking. Gosh, I sure hope you guys can score some snow out of this. As a snow lover myself, I couldn't imagine the pain of seeing snow fly all over the region except in your back yard. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Looks like the low tracks from Colorado Springs to Kansas City to western Illinois on the GFS. Just a little farther south and I think we get something (not a lot, but at this point a few inches would be appreciated.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Wow to the Gfs...this is Fri already? Within 4 days...wow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Sure will be a long week of tracking. Gosh, I sure hope you guys can score some snow out of this. As a snow lover myself, I couldn't imagine the pain of seeing snow fly all over the region except in your back yard. Larger and juicer WAA snows over spreading out ahead of the system on Friday...That is impressive WAA advection. Will be interesting to see if the area of coverage stays as large as currently modeled Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 GGEM looks like the GFS Pretty confident of at least 6 inches of snow here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 When nature sets up a pattern, she really sets up a pattern and sticks with it. If the GFS is right, look how close this precip shield is compared to the way our last system turned out. 12z GFS... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016121212/gfs_apcpn_ncus_24.png Now compare that to this past weekend! The only difference is, this weekends storm is a much larger scale system....just fascinating! Patterning at its finest... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016121000/gfs_apcpn_ncus_11.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Ratios could be 16-18:1 with 850's below -10 and 2m temps between 15-20 degrees Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Ratios could be 16-18:1 with 850's below -10 and 2m temps between 15-20 degreesVery similar to how the 1st wave contributed to the high ratios this past Saturday. In fact, they were around 20:1 around here and into IA. Last Saturday, the ground temps were in the low/mid 20's also. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Lets pile it up! Hoping for a fluffy snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Ukie seems to be slower,, tad S and tad weaker--- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 And the Canadian slightly north of the GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 This is brutal. It's bone chilling outside and we have no snow, now this. It's getting tough to watch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Hows the snow looking with the CMC? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Hows the snow looking with the CMC?http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016121212/186/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 This wave of energy is sitting off the coast of the NW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 GEFS starting to flatten out like the GFS lending a better chance of a spread of the wealth type system. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Decent trends with backend snow/secondary wave of energy I guess. The only hope. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 CMC sucks for everyone except MN. Gonna be a fun week of model watching. Just like last week. Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 CMC sucks for everyone except MN. Gonna be a fun week of model watching. Just like last week. LolI wouldnt worry. The cmc is poor in this range Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Still 4 days out. Always love seeing the donut hole in the middle of the runs, not (seems to usually be over Nebraska). Looks like the map shows initial snow north of me and a secondary wave south of me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 CMC sucks for everyone except MN. Gonna be a fun week of model watching. Just like last week. LolI would take it 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 I originally felt alright about this storm because I felt that HP up north may help, but considering the first wave of WAA looks to be the biggest producer of snow, I don't feel as good about it anymore. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Yeah it does look to be similar areas as this past storm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 GFS ensembles look similar to op Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 06z GFS Para...similar to the 12z GFS... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2016121206/gfsp_asnow_us_30.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 06z GFS Para snapshots... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2016121206/gfsp_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_19.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2016121206/gfsp_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_22.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2016121206/gfsp_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_23.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2016121206/gfsp_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_23.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 big concern for freezing rain!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 Well let's see what the 12z euro has. It is at hour 48. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 12, 2016 Report Share Posted December 12, 2016 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2016121212/ecmwf_T850_us_5.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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