Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 52 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Its actually worse now. The GEM might be a little conservative... but this is what the 00Z run shows for the next 10 days. Pepto for me! Noice! 1 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Big run ! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 25.7˚F. 1 2 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 00z ECMWF Day 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z ECMWF Day 1 Looks like a goose eating Greenland. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Not as snowy as the GFS, but still plenty of pepto on the GFS within 12 days! 5 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 We had about 4-5 more nice arctic outbreaks after January 1972, and that was about it. January 1980 was the last really big one down here. Honorable mention to 1982, 1996, 2004, 2007, 2017. Not really in the same ballpark though. 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 I feel like the GFS has been great about picking up opportunities/changes. The only big bust was Tuesday and even then, ppl scored. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I feel like the GFS has been great about picking up opportunities/changes. The only big bust was Tuesday and even then, ppl scored. Last Tuesday was by far the best day for me. 2 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 00z WRF-GFS Saturday 4 AM looks WINDY! 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Back to the EURO! Day 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Nice looking GEFS tonight. BTW...did somebody say the GFS being used now is the new version? 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 21 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: 25.7˚F. Looks like I might eek out a 32 before midnight. The clouds are really thin now. Might still be something to redeem the mess here today. 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Day 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Really impressive to watch the high and mid level clouds being pressed southward on the sat loop tonight. According to the models low clouds from the south will arrive about when the high and mid clouds are south of Seattle. 3 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 hour ago, lowlandsnow said: What was the setup for Seattle to get 20 inches of snow on a day with a high of 19 and a low 11? You've been doing your homework with historical weather events at KSEA, I see... 1/13/1950 5 2 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Not sure what all the hype is about January 1950, tbh 1 1 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: You've been doing your homework with historical weather events at KSEA, I see... 1/13/1950 What a beast! 3 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Day 5 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: Not sure what all the hype is about January 1950, tbh Monthly average 24.9...57.2 inches of snow... 3 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Day 5 looking pretty good. 25.4 here, all the fog is gone. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Monthly average 24.9...57.2 inches of snow... Literally look at the graph, it was so warm tho 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Day 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Down here January 1950 is the 3rd coldest January behind 1930 and 1949. Up north though 1950 is king. It was the best mix of cold and snow down here too, but some Willamette valley locations did hit the mid-50s that month, for a day or two… 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Still a bust here but the roads are finally coated with snow as well as the sidewalk after a second salt was applied a few hours ago. Still snowing and very light. Pretty at night though. 2 Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MossMan Posted December 5, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Bright moon! 9 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Good Kona low on this ECMWF run. 5 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Literally look at the graph, it was so warm tho I saw you picked one of the few warm days. I think that was just before the second biggest dump that month. BTW if you want to see a jaw dropper look at the records for Palmer on that late month dump. Talk about Arctic air meeting maritime air magic! 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: I saw you picked one of the few warm days. I think that was just before the second biggest dump that month. Yes, that was the gag Absolute insanity ensued just 48 hours later. By the end of the month it it 0 at the airport. 3 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: Yes, that was the gag Absolute insanity ensued just 48 hours later. By the end of the month it it 0 at the airport. If you haven't looked at the records for Palmer with that event you should. Truly amazing! 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Day 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Looks like a big low may ruin the progression on the ECMWF. That kind of feature could easily disappear on the next run though. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post WildrootParable Posted December 5, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Lurker emerges for another update: Just arrived home (500' outside of Gorst) today after two weeks closer to sea level and completely amazed to find that we seemingly lucked out, this event! Husband told me we got about 8-10 inches at the height of it, and it hasn't thawed much since thanks to being mostly in shade. I have a funny feeling we're not going to lose much in between events, if things transpire the way those maps y'all have posted suggest. This could be a very interesting winter... 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Day 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 In one week we will know what the weather was like one week from today. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 8 I miss our SE ridge. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: In one week we will know what the weather was like one week from today. Tomorrow is the first day of the rest of your life. 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Day 9'er 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Day 10 I wonder if the EPS will show that yet again for I think 4 consecutive runs that the Op has been an outlier shoving that ridge over us Day 7-9. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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