PSA:
The NWS always appreciates observations, especially detailed observations that everyone on here is capable of giving. That can be done thru Twitter, as they often set up a feed for that, or the mPing app. That can include final snowfall amounts, when the snow starts/stops, precip type, dew point, etc
This helps them with short term forecasts as well as future forecasts as they can learn from them. A few years ago they had a freezing rain advisory for Leavenworth, but I notified
Haven't had a bunch of time to track these most recent storms. I heard part of Omaha had a wedge tornado?
I can remember a few saying there should be a moderate risk but the SPC never put one up.
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 64/34 there was 0.01” of rainfall and the sun was out 52% of the time. The average wind speed was 13.1MPH and the highest wind was 33 MPH out of the SE. For today the average H/L is 63/42 the record high of 85 was set in 1990 and the record low of 27 was set in 1928. The most rainfall of 1.90” was in 1956 the record snowfall was 0.2” in 2004. Last year the H/L was 64/29. Here in MBY I had 0.09” of rain since 7AM yesterday and the overnight low of 53 was around midnight. At the current time it is cloudy and 58 here.
For the early afternoon SRH is limited but CAPE is huge. The CAPE is probably overstated given entrainment, but this does certainly support large hail
Later in the day the hodograph blows out as the LLJ kicks in. This looks more like a QLCS tornado threat as a presumably linear feature moves in.
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Posted by Brian_in_Leavenworth,
IOS Link:https://apps.apple.com/us/app/mping/id584383400 Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=edu.ou.cimms.mping&hl=en_US&gl=US&pli=1
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