June Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[TT-SEA]

Does it show rain on the night of the 3rd?

No... Tuesday is nice as well.

[Farmboy]

12Z ECMWF for 4th of July... looks pretty good.

 

High temps in the mid to upper 70s in WA and low 80s in OR:

 

 

Precip during the evening period (5 - 11 p.m.)

 

It's amazing how cool/cold the Canadian Rockies can get in July... I haven't looked, but the overnight lows must be well into the twenties with some teens in those colder spots...

[Geos]

It's amazing how cool/cold the Canadian Rockies can get in July... I haven't looked, but the overnight lows must be well into the twenties with some teens in those colder spots...

 

Yeah really. Snow showing up on the highest terrain in the next week as well.

 

 

In the Colorado Rockies up in the upper valleys there only a very short window of like 6 weeks where frosts are "unlikely" but can occur anytime in cool pattern. The air is so dry the temperature plummets once it gets dark.

[High Desert Mat!]

100 million people on the eastern seaboard and Phil is the only one whining. Wait, that's cause he's on a western forum while the others aren't.

 

I can't wait for my pleasurable 90-95 degree dry heat that will be here soon and stays.

[High Desert Mat!]

Sexy cactus. Yummy.

[MossMan]

Raining...again.

[Phil]

100 million people on the eastern seaboard and Phil is the only one whining. Wait, that's cause he's on a western forum while the others aren't.

 

I can't wait for my pleasurable 90-95 degree dry heat that will be here soon and stays.

What? That’s definitely false.

[Phil]

Most of the 12z EPS members are troughy thru D15.

 

Nice to see it extend closer to my departure date.

[Geos]

Temperature rise stopped at 66 here. Pretty thick overcast now. Looks like the next warmest day near 70 will be the 4th.

[Geos]

18z GFS looks similar. 

Some moisture across the north sound/northern Cascades.

 

[Front Ranger]

Does it show rain on the night of the 3rd?

 

You're not going to like the 18z.

[ShawniganLake]

Nice day. Party sunny and breezy, close to 70.

[Farmboy]

Most of the 12z EPS members are troughy thru D15.

 

Nice to see it extend closer to my departure date.

 

 

Oh boy, here we go.  I saw this coming from a mile away...

We get to hear Phil tell us how troughy our July is going to be now...

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

You're not going to like the 18z.

Man that is gonna be a buzzkill.

[luvssnow_spokane]

You're not going to like the 18z.

 

4th does not look bad though.

[TT-SEA]

4th does not look bad though.

 

Did you see my posts?

 

The rainy image you posted this morning was actually for July 3rd... and the 12Z ECMWF surface map for the evening of the 4th looks perfect for your festivities.

[TT-SEA]

No rain here today... but the endless stream of clouds over the next 5 or 6 days will mean nothing will dry out even it there is little rainfall.  

 

This feels like southeast Alaska in the summer... barely any sun for a week and chilly temps.     Definitely not summery and summer is very short.   

 

Looks so much better from Portland southward for the next week.   As usual. 

[The Swamp]

Bunch of Eors on this site today.

 

There is nothing wrong with days like today in June.

 

It's pleasant.  Not sunny, but pleasant.

 

If we can get a day like today on the 4th of July with an afternoon breakout of sun, perfect I say.

 

For some reason Phil likes to tell people to stick swords and cacti in their orifices.

 

Strange dude.

[TT-SEA]

Bunch of Eors on this site today.

 

There is nothing wrong with days like today in June.

 

It's pleasant.  Not sunny, but pleasant.

 

If we can get a day like today on the 4th of July with an afternoon breakout of sun, perfect I say.

 

For some reason Phil likes to tell people to stick swords and cacti in their orifices.

 

Strange dude.

 

 

Normally we have 2 or 3 days with persistent clouds and then get a couple sunny days.  

 

The clouds started yesterday and will go through the next Tuesday at least which a full week and sort of unusual.   Even in our cool summers this would be unusual.   Its not just today alone... I am also extrapolating ahead (as usual) because its not going to change any time soon.  

 

Meanwhile... from Kelso southward its much nicer and every day through Tuesday looks the same.   Huge difference.   I would be not be saying anything at all if I lived down there.  

[Geos]

Looks like a pretty cloudy 5 day stretch. In particular in areas where the convergence zone sets up. Outside of that at least the skies will probably be brighter. GFS spitting out up to 0.75" of rain for King and Snohomish through the evening of the 4th. Definitely will be mowing the grass again next month. Unlike last July!

[TT-SEA]

Looks like a pretty cloudy 5 day stretch. In particular in areas where the convergence zone sets up. Outside of that at least the skies will probably be brighter. GFS spitting out up to 0.75" of rain for King County through the evening of the 4th. Definitely will be mowing the grass again next month. Unlike last July!

 

5 days ahead from now... and then include yesterday and today and you have 7 days.  

[El Nina]

5 days ahead from now... and then include yesterday and today and you have 7 days.

And what's been your departure from average?

[luvssnow_spokane]

Did you see my posts?

 

The rainy image you posted this morning was actually for July 3rd... and the 12Z ECMWF surface map for the evening of the 4th looks perfect for your festivities.

 

Oh yes, I saw it. Sorry been posting on the go. Thanks sir!

[TT-SEA]

Current satellite... Oregon is mostly sunny but even eastern WA is cloudy except immediately downwind from the Cascades.

 

 

 

WRF was completely wrong as usual for this afternoon...

 

 

 

But the always reliable ECMWF had right. 

[TT-SEA]

Oh yes, I saw it. Sorry been posting on the go. Thanks sir!

 

No problem!   I know you are busy and wanted to make sure you were seeing my responses.    

[Deweydog]

Beaver fever!!!

[Farmboy]

Most of the 12z EPS members are troughy thru D15.

 

Nice to see it extend closer to my departure date.

 

 

Oh boy, here we go.  I saw this coming from a mile away...

We get to hear Phil tell us how troughy our July is going to be now...

 

carrey2.gif

 

 

Hey Phil, this post was all in fun, I actually really appreciate all you bring to the forum...

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Beaver fever!!!

With the disaster that is most of their other sports, it's nice that their fans can enjoy cheering for a very good baseball team annually.

[TT-SEA]

Hey Phil, this post was all in fun, I actually really appreciate all you bring to the forum...

 

Likely going to be an inevitable flip to a western ridge for awhile eventually... hopefully the timing works out and he has to suffer through low 80s and sunshine with low humidity while he is in Everett for a couple days.    His time in Leavenworth might be even warmer and less humid.    Its going to be so horrible for him!  

[Farmboy]

Likely going to be an inevitable flip to a western ridge for awhile eventually... hopefully the timing works out and he has to suffer through low 80s and sunshine with low humidity while he is in Everett for a couple days.    His time in Leavenworth might be even warmer and less humid.    Its going to be so horrible for him!  

 

It may not be the cool, misty nirvana he's envisioning...

 

fixed it.

[Front Ranger]

Beaver fever!!!

 

Nice to see a PNW team lay the smack down on a southern team in a meaningful game, for once.

[TT-SEA]

Nice 4th on the 00Z GFS...

 

 

 

 

And 00Z GEM agrees.

[Phil]

Likely going to be an inevitable flip to a western ridge for awhile eventually... hopefully the timing works out and he has to suffer through low 80s and sunshine with low humidity while he is in Everett for a couple days. His time in Leavenworth might be even warmer and less humid. Its going to be so horrible for him!

You know, part of me hopes this death ridge is as brutal as possible, that way any heat in Seattle will feel cool and refreshing by comparison.

 

And the pattern will inevitably flip when forcing returns to the dateline..probably the third week of July. But there are other lower frequency preconditioners that have been putting the kibosh on any prolonged western ridging.

 

This doesn’t seem to be the summer for western ridging as a background state.

[Phil]

Hey Phil, this post was all in fun, I actually really appreciate all you bring to the forum...

It’s all good. I’m definitely fair game.

[Front Ranger]

Nice 4th on the 00Z GFS...

 

 

 

 

And 00Z GEM agrees.

Just keeps trending worse... inevitable.

[Jesse]

Just keeps trending worse... inevitable.

Most things ultimately end up going Tim’s way in recent years, but I think he spends so much time worrying they won’t he doesn’t appreciate that fact much as he should.

[Jesse]

Wow, 74 at PDX today. More overachieving. When I went out of reception two nights ago I was thinking today could possibly eke out a sub-70 high...

[Jesse]

We had a couple hours of moderate rain on the south side of Mt. Adams last night. Probably picked up at least a couple tenths. Then by about midnight it was clearing and the moon was out again.

[TT-SEA]

Cautiously optimistic for the 4th based on the 00Z ECMWF...

 

 

[TT-SEA]

Most things ultimately end up going Tim’s way in recent years, but I think he spends so much time worrying they won’t he doesn’t appreciate that fact much as he should.

This is completely false. In this climate... cheering for dry and sunny means that almost nothing will go your way. Particularly up here. That is why I appreciate it so much when it works out.

 

I will say that making reservations in eastern WA when a weekend or holiday starts looking nasty seems to be the best guarantee for model improvements. If we cancel for next week on Monday... that will be 5 times in a row that it improved so much that it was not worth it to leave town and we decided to cancel. I hate leaving town when its nice here.