August 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[MossMan]

Go Hawks! Way to save up those wins for the regular season!

[Dave]

Oh, I don't know about you being #1. Season ticket holder since the late 80's. Been to bowl games in Shreveport, El Paso, San Diego, San Antonio, LA, Las Vegas, Tempe and Seattle. 2 Rose Bowls and the BCS Championship in Glendale.

Regular season games at Michigan, Virginia, Oklahoma and Tennessee. The latter was the best thunderstorm I have ever witnessed (keeping it weather related)

You've definitely gotten me beat on the bowl games. I've been to a few; a couple of rose bowls, the BCS championship, a Holiday bowl, and one Fiesta Bowl. Bowl games are really expensive though, and wish I could have attended more.

 

I've had season tickets on and off, but can always find a ticket if I want to go. Been going to games since the start of the Chris Miller era. I was there for the pick as well. Good times. 

[jakeinthevalley]

This will be the first year I did not renew my tickets. Figure I will save enough money to travel to the bowl game and still make it to all home games ($500 mandatory donation)

You have definitely seen the good and bad of the program over the years

[TT-SEA]

Ozark - Season 2 on Netflix!  

[Front Ranger]

Go Hawks! Way to save up those wins for the regular season!

 

Only two other winless teams this pre-season.

 

Doesn't mean much, but I think it does somewhat reflect how thin they are on talent behind the starters.

[Jesse]

Something not weather related.

[ShawniganLake]

Quite the trough towards the end of the euro

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Quite the trough towards the end of the euro BABFAFB4-4D78-4628-88F9-FE051B53D4C5.png

At least 0.2 for everybody from EUG to Vancouver BC.

[jcmcgaffey]

Rained hard a good portion of the night here and still raining. Was not expecting this solid of a convergence to set up.

[TT-SEA]

Rained hard a good portion of the night here and still raining. Was not expecting this solid of a convergence to set up.

 

The ECMWF showed this all along... I thought it might be wrong this time.

 

I think it rained (or drizzled) here most of the night as well and its still going.

[Farmboy]

Quite the trough towards the end of the euroBABFAFB4-4D78-4628-88F9-FE051B53D4C5.png

Always 10 days out. Question is, will it still look this stout on the models when I wake up Monday morning?

[Farmboy]

Ozark - Season 2 on Netflix!

 

So is it bingeworthy? I watched the first episode and didn't really get hooked. Maybe I should watch a couple more..

[TT-SEA]

So is it bingeworthy? I watched the first episode and didn't really get hooked. Maybe I should watch a couple more..

 

 

Did you watch season 1?  

[Farmboy]

Did you watch season 1?

 

Just the first episode of season 1... So it's good enough to continue...?

[Geos]

Quite the trough towards the end of the euro BABFAFB4-4D78-4628-88F9-FE051B53D4C5.png

Need to spread the wealth into OR more.

 

Little drippy this morning.

[TT-SEA]

Just the first episode of season 1... So it's good enough to continue...?

 

 

If the first episode of season 1 did not hook you then its probably not for you.    I think its one of the best shows on Netflix.

[Front Ranger]

Just the first episode of season 1... So it's good enough to continue...?

It was so good, Tim took a vacation to the Ozarks.

[TT-SEA]

It was so good, Tim took a vacation to the Ozarks.

 

Several of our extended family members watched it last summer and I am sure it was part of the reason we checked it out and then ended up there this summer.  

 

It is also why I was expecting to be much more backwoods and hillbilly there... but it did not feel like that at all.  

[Front Ranger]

GFS has rain for SLE north by day 7.

[Phil]

Everything is trending Jesse’s way now..EPS moved troughier for week-2. By the time the pattern retrogrades, summer will be over.

[Jesse]

Picked up about 0.01”under a light shower earlier.

[Jesse]

EPS moved troughier for week-2. By the time the pattern retrogrades, summer will be over.

There has definitely been a noticeable trend toward prolonging the generally troughy pattern. A few days ago I thought it was basically a foregone conclusion we would start heating up again after the first week of September.

 

This is great news, because the deeper into September troughing sticks around, the better the odds we finally score a regional soaking. If we could manage a widespread inch or so of rain, whatever ridging comes afterward would be infinitely more enjoyable.

[Blizzard777]

Damp out here Tigard

Almost time to shut down the sprinkler system down here

[Phil]

I know we just had a large geomagnetic storm, but the southwest expansion of the Arctic/Greenland cold pool into west-central Canada (down into the Alberta-BC-Alaska area) just screams solar minimum. It’s one of the cornerstones of low solar autumns, really.

 

Where-as solar maximum years love to have a large vortex in the GOA with the cold pool displaced or consolidated towards Greenland/northwest Eurasia.

[Jesse]

Damp out here Tigard

Almost time to shut down the sprinkler system down here

Really? There have just been a few very light showers.

[Front Ranger]

I know we just had a large geomagnetic storm, but the southwest expansion of the Arctic/Greenland cold pool into west-central Canada (down into the Alberta-BC-Alaska area) just screams solar minimum. It’s one of the cornerstones of low solar autumns, really.

 

Where-as solar maximum years love to have a large vortex in the GOA with the cold pool displaced or consolidated towards Greenland/northwest Eurasia.

Also related, that sexy rex block near Alaska.

[El_Nina]

0.06" so far this morning.

[TT-SEA]

Very wet here this morning... made a short video. 

 

https://vimeo.com/287696745

[Phil]

The Pacific and Atlantic are still in opposing states.

 

The +PMM is still expressed clearly, sustained by the eastward-displacement of the IPWP and +NAM, which again renders the PDO dormant. Meanwhile, the Atlantic/IO continue to match the structure of an emerging cold phase, in a +MM z-cell mode (broad meridional structure with enhanced seasonality by latitude).

 

[ShawniganLake]

Clear blue skies and sunshine this morning.

[Jesse]

Yuck, ensembles flipped back to pretty strong ridging the middle of next week.

[TT-SEA]

Yuck, ensembles flipped back to pretty strong ridging the middle of next week.

Models always seem to struggle mightily in September with tropical activity and the seasonal change causing issues.

[Jesse]

Models always seem to struggle mightily in September with tropical activity and the seasonal change causing issues.

Fascinating.

[TT-SEA]

Nice rain last night and this morning... now the sun is coming out.   

[Frontal Snowsquall]

I'm ready for fall, bring it. It would be cool to see one of these anomalously deep troughs actually come to fruition instead of being obliterated as has been the case for the last few.

Same here. The good news is that each passing day brings us closer and closer to both Fall and Winter. The sun angle gets lower and lower now and daylight lessens as well. It might take a few tries but we should get a nice nationwide rainstorm within the next month or so.

[TT-SEA]

Same here. The good news is that each passing day brings us closer and closer to both Fall and Winter. The sun angle gets lower and lower now and daylight lessens as well. It might take a few tries but we should get a nice nationwide rainstorm within the next month or so.

 

??

 

Even Southern California and Arizona?   

[Frontal Snowsquall]

FWIW, the 12z NAVGEM has a nice pattern out to hour 180. So does the 12z FV3-GFS (upgraded GFS still in beta). It shows a nice system heading down the BC coastline and plenty of moisture. It's still running so don't know what it does after day 10.

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

??

 

Even Southern California and Arizona?

I meant to say regionwide. I just retyped in regionwide on my phone and unless I clicked the checkmark it automatically changes it to nationwide. Thanks for the reminder!

[Jesse]

90 next Wednesday?

[TT-SEA]

90 next Wednesday?

 

 

12Z ECMWF shows mid 80s in Portland on Tuesday... still waiting for Wednesday to update.