August 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[TT-SEA]

90 next Wednesday?

 

 

Upper 80s that day in Portland per the 12Z ECMWF... no dice.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Pleasant 71F with clouds breaking up. Still no rain since June 9.

[Farmboy]

Models always seem to struggle mightily in September with tropical activity and the seasonal change causing issues.

Models always seem to struggle mightily.

Important runs coming up...

[Jesse]

Models always seem to struggle mightily.

Only when troughing is involved. Ridging seems to usually be a little more color by number.

[Jesse]

Euro looks wettish next weekend.

[Farmboy]

Euro looks wettish next weekend.

A troughy look to the finish on the 500mb & 850mb... Don't have access to precip maps.

[Blizzard777]

Really? There have just been a few very light showers.

Damp sarcasm Jesse

#BrownGrassRules

[BLI snowman]

Going through another long stretch without a widespread .25"+ event would be pretty historically unprecedented.

 

I have a sense that that late week system will finally do the trick. It's time.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Going through another long stretch without a widespread .25"+ event would be pretty historically unprecedented.

 

I have a sense that that late week system will finally do the trick. It's time.

 

Well some of us are still dealing with the same stretch since mid June.

[El_Nina]

Very wet here this morning... made a short video.

 

https://vimeo.com/287696745

Lush looking...

[TT-SEA]

A troughy look to the finish on the 500mb & 850mb... Don't have access to precip maps.

 

 

Here is total precip from days 5 - 10... most of this comes with organized systems on day 8 and again on day 10.     

 

Portland somehow still gets screwed.   But the pattern is exactly what we need for a region wide rain event... wet SW flow.  

 

[Jesse]

Damp sarcasm Jesse

#BrownGrassRules

Gotcha.

[Jesse]

Fortunately there is still plenty of time for that to shift north and give us yet another stellar weekend.

[Front Ranger]

Going through another long stretch without a widespread .25"+ event would be pretty historically unprecedented.

 

I have a sense that that late week system will finally do the trick. It's time.

We've already reached historically unprecedented. What's next?

[Front Ranger]

Weather wise it isn't half bad, especially if you can get a place closer to the OK border.

I'm actually in Dallas right now. Feels Philtastic (mid 90s with DPs near 70).

 

Lots of fat people here.

[Jbolin]

I'm actually in Dallas right now. Feels Philtastic (mid 90s with DPs near 70).

 

Lots of fat people here.

It's no surprise that Texas holds the record (currently) for the two most obese cities in the U.S. 

 

Houston and Dallas 

[Farmboy]

Big runs coming up.

[Farmboy]

It's no surprise that Texas holds the record (currently) for the two most obese cities in the U.S. 

Houston and Dallas

 

Too much bbq...

[TT-SEA]

It's no surprise that Texas holds the record (currently) for the two most obese cities in the U.S. 

 

Houston and Dallas 

 

 

Sounds extreme but its not as different as it appears.

 

Colorado has the lowest rate of obesity... but the difference between CO and TX is 22% vs 32%.    Its only an additional 10%.

 

It would be even harder to notice the 4% difference between WA and TX (28% vs 32%).    

 

[Front Ranger]

Sounds extreme but its not as different as it appears.

 

Colorado has the lowest rate of obesity... but the difference between CO and TX is 22% vs 32%. Its only an additional 10%.

 

It would be even harder to notice the 4% difference between WA and TX (28% vs 32%).

 

Yeah, it's more the sheer size of the individuals here that's more impressive.

[Jesse]

I read somewhere that Washington state has the fattest, ugliest people on the continent.

[Farmboy]

I read somewhere that Washington state has the fattest, ugliest people on the continent.

I just squirted Yoo-Hoo out my nose after reading this...

[BLI snowman]

Well some of us are still dealing with the same stretch since mid June.

Yeah, I just meant many more additional days to the still ongoing stretch. We're now pushing our climatological limit for such a streak.

[BLI snowman]

We've already reached historically unprecedented. What's next?

It's close, although the uber dry years in the region like 1929, 1952, and 1967 would argue that there is some precedence for the stretch that we're seeing. Just at slightly different points in the calendar.

[Front Ranger]

It's close, although the uber dry years in the region like 1929, 1952, and 1967 would argue that there is some precedence for the stretch that we're seeing. Just at slightly different points in the calendar.

I don't think any of those had a drier 4.5 month stretch for the region than what we've seen the past 4.5 months.

[Jesse]

EPS is in good alignment with the operational for the troughing late next week.

[Deweydog]

Did you guys see all those football posts last night? Yikes.

[Jesse]

Nice day.

[Geos]

I know we just had a large geomagnetic storm, but the southwest expansion of the Arctic/Greenland cold pool into west-central Canada (down into the Alberta-BC-Alaska area) just screams solar minimum. It’s one of the cornerstones of low solar autumns, really.

 

Where-as solar maximum years love to have a large vortex in the GOA with the cold pool displaced or consolidated towards Greenland/northwest Eurasia.

 

It was 2011 into 2012 there was a large GOA vortex, wasn't there?

[BLI snowman]

I don't think any of those had a drier 4.5 month stretch for the region than what we've seen the past 4.5 months.

Vancouver had 1.29" from July to October 1952, which is about equal to what we've seen here locally. Then we followed it up with just 1.05" in November (and then our wettest January on record).

[Timmy]

Nice day.

Nice year.

[MossMan]

Nice rain last night and this morning... now the sun is coming out.

Yep...was dry and partly cloudy at home when I left at 3am, and raining when driving past North Bend this morning a little after 4am.

[MossMan]

Did you guys see all those football posts last night? Yikes.

Yeah...what the **** was with that???

[jakeinthevalley]

We were talkin' about da foosball.

 

And you are all da debil!

[MossMan]

We were talkin' about da foosball.

 

And you are all da debil!

[Jesse]

A lot of places will likely see lows in the 40s tonight.

[MossMan]

A lot of places will likely see lows in the 40s tonight.

61 here currently.

[MossMan]

The forum is sure hopping tonight!!

[Phil]

Thick ice in the northwest passage has apparently been sinking yachts off Baffin Island.

 

Yesterday night, the French-flagged yacht "Anahita", an aluminum Ovni 345, sank in Ballot Strait of the Northwest Passage. The disaster occurred in Depot Bay, just east of Bellot Strait. According to initial information, the ship was trapped by drifting sea ice from which it could not escape.

 

The Anahita, like about a dozen other yachts, was on its way east-west through the Northwest Passage. This summer, however, the ice in the Arctic is persistent. Unlike in previous years, so far there has not been a clear path. So the crews had no choice but to practice patience. Or turn around.

 

That’s exactly what the Canadian authorities have urged all crews in recent days. It is not foreseeable that the passage would open at all this year. On the contrary, the current ice situation for yachts is dangerous. The crews should either move their ships back south or look for a safe hibernation port in Baffin Bay or Greenland.

 

 

 

http://arcticnorthwestpassage.blogspot.com/2018/08/canadian-coast-guard-takes-11-hours-to.html?view=classic&m=1

[TigerWoodsLibido]

The forum is sure hopping tonight!!

With college football tomorrow it'll probly be about the same but we shall see. Very pleasant 57F with a clear Willamette Valley. Getting down into the 40s is looking pretty likely indeed.