TT-SEA Posted November 3, 2018 Report Share Posted November 3, 2018 I moved up here back in 97 and I definitely like Portland’s action better compared to Federal Way. East wind was a HuGE joy of mine and love how the microclimate there fools even the local weatherman.East wind is awesome. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 3, 2018 Report Share Posted November 3, 2018 East wind is awesome. It's awesome when it actually happens. This fall has been so horrid that we are not getting anything- no east wind, no south wind, no significant rain, and no substantial weather. I'm really worried for this winter. Also Seattle has gotten so many events that ended up busting for Portland. So many windstorms that flopped down here. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 3, 2018 Report Share Posted November 3, 2018 It's awesome when it actually happens. This fall has been so horrid that we are not getting anything- no east wind, no south wind, no significant rain, and no substantial weather. I'm really worried for this winter. Also Seattle has gotten so many events that ended up busting for Portland. So many windstorms that flopped down here.Stagnant weather sucks....I understand Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 3, 2018 Report Share Posted November 3, 2018 It's awesome when it actually happens. This fall has been so horrid that we are not getting anything- no east wind, no south wind, no significant rain, and no substantial weather. I'm really worried for this winter. Also Seattle has gotten so many events that ended up busting for Portland. So many windstorms that flopped down here.I am pretty sure that low solar means a good chance of some cold and snow regardless of ENSO. I really like the odds for late November and December. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 3, 2018 Report Share Posted November 3, 2018 To think it will be this dark tomorrow, at 3:52.I was just thinking the same thing. And early model runs! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 3, 2018 Report Share Posted November 3, 2018 To think it will be this dark tomorrow, at 3:52.Not so happy about that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 To think it will be this dark tomorrow, at 3:52.It's fall/winter. I go to work when it's dark and get home when its dark Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Pretty cool cloud formations over the Olympics Poulsbo cam 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Pretty cool cloud formations over the OlympicsPoulsbo cam That is the rain shadow in action right now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Dark and calm down at Kelly’s marina near the mouth of the Nehalem River Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Lucky Seattle weather fans, enjoy your storm. It'll be a while before us Portlanders get anything substantial, like always.You guys have us beat in the snow department big time since 2013! Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 That is the rain shadow in action right now. . Amazing dynamics in action! Imagine how different our weather would be here in Seattle if the Olympics didn’t exist. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Just over a quarter inch on the day. Pretty weak compared to the last few days. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Since I’m currently a recipient of the Olympic rain shadow I’m heading out to get take out Chinese food 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Looking like November around my property. Took advantage of the last of the later daylight hours before the late afternoon darkness falls over us for the remainder of 2018. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 A measly 0.01" of rain here in Eugene, but an awesome sunset: OH WOW factor!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 I was just thinking the same thing. And early model runs!Darker even. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 The b*tch is back. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 The b*tch is back. Yeah Michael Ventrice tweeted about that earlier. What does that mean for us? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 The east-Asian anticyclone is going to be a problem starting in week 2. It kills poleward vertical wave activity fluxes. So the PV is then able to strengthen without hindrance, which, given the +ENSO background state, doesn’t help the west (or anyone, for that matter). Baffin Island winter lovers will enjoy it, though. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 What's so bad about having a strong PV at this point of the year? From what I've seen a strong PV in early to mid November isn't all doom and gloom or necessarily a bad sign for later in the winter during +ENSO years. Or am I missing something here? Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Need some SSW event. Sounds breezy outside 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 What's so bad about having a strong PV at this point of the year? From what I've seen a strong PV in early to mid November isn't all doom and gloom or necessarily a bad sign for later in the winter during +ENSO years. Or am I missing something here?In your cold climate, it probably doesn’t matter. But it’s a bad thing if it gets too strong and screws areas that typically “score early” in +ENSO winters, like the PNW. Because it takes time time beat the vortex back once it goes steroidal. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Hyperbole!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 In your cold climate, it probably doesn’t matter. But it’s a bad thing if it gets too strong and screws areas that typically “score early” in +ENSO winters, like the PNW. Because it takes time time beat the vortex back once it goes steroidal. We're screwed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 We're screwed.Three week super vortex this January. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Holding at .13 precip for today as rain shadow has authority55/52 and currently 52* with really no wind action yet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Sustained winds of 18 mph. Nothing too strong yet? Maybe after 11 it picks up? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Three week super vortex this January. Yeah no kidding. We're screwed come the second week of January anyways, so lets hope we can get some action in December. Otherwise, we're right on track for a repeat of 15-16. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 We're screwed.Winter canceled! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Getting a little breezy. 51. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Getting a little breezy. 51.Strongest winds still after 11? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 FWIW, I’m only talking about November. Starting in early December, the tropical forcing/AAM cycle should start changing and that east-Asia/NW-Pacific pattern will begin to flip modes. The question is, does it happen soon enough? Wave-1 style wavebreaking events can work in the West during the month of December, as 2009 proves. But there is a time constraint with tropical forcing/wavetrains becoming increasingly niño-ish as December progresses. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 What winter was our most epic Niño for snow/cold...68/69? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 What winter was our most epic Niño for snow/cold...68/69?Probably one of the 19th century winters? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Probably one of the 19th century winters?Or maybe an 18th century winter? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Or maybe an 18th century winter?Could be. Or maybe it was a winter ~ 20,000 years ago. Year round snowcover ftmfw. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Probably one of the 19th century winters? 1968-69 was probably better in the PNW than any 1800s Nino that we have record of, although I've seen 1865-66 categorized as a Nino so I guess that one might top it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 4, 2018 Report Share Posted November 4, 2018 Some heavy duty rain at the moment. 50 degrees. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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