Minny_Weather Posted December 24, 2018 Report Share Posted December 24, 2018 Recent NAM runs have shown a surprise couple inches for Lincoln on the backside. I'm rooting against that because that'd interfere with my flight. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 24, 2018 Report Share Posted December 24, 2018 NAM at hour 69 with the low over Falls City Nebraska Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 24, 2018 Report Share Posted December 24, 2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 24, 2018 Report Share Posted December 24, 2018 I've written this storm off lol. While the gfs has a nice track nothing else is even supporting it. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 24, 2018 Report Share Posted December 24, 2018 Ummm the 18z NAM is.....interesting. Bring it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 24, 2018 Report Share Posted December 24, 2018 18z ICON is further east than previous runs. That secondary piece really ramps up and slams the metro. Great track thru K.C. and eastern IA. Very little rain with the first wave. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 24, 2018 Report Share Posted December 24, 2018 Ummm the 18z NAM is.....interesting. Bring it.I wouldn't write a thing off if I were you.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 24, 2018 Report Share Posted December 24, 2018 Wow! Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 24, 2018 Report Share Posted December 24, 2018 Another step in the right direction on the GFS. Another model with a SE tick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 24, 2018 Report Share Posted December 24, 2018 Wow the Icon misses Central Nebraska. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 24, 2018 Report Share Posted December 24, 2018 Model madness? What model madness? I see extreme consistency everywhere I look -The Mitt is a swimmin' Enjoy your storm out there.. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Icon has to be one of the worst performing model although jma has similar location for low Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Just looked at my forecast from Wednesday morning until Wednesday night. Snow then freezing rain then sleet then a mix then rain then possible thunderstorms all before 5pm. Then rain to a mix to snow to possibly heavier snow with blowing and some drifting. That should be a fun day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Another step in the right direction on the GFS. Another model with a SE tick.Not sure what SE tick you are seeing, it went back northwest. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Not sure what SE tick you are seeing, it went back northwest. maybe 18z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 The one thing I could see throwing a wrench in this system again like the last one is for severe thunderstorms to rob moisture on the cold side of the low. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 The one thing I could see throwing a wrench in this system again like the last one is for severe thunderstorms to rob moisture on the cold side of the low.The last storm where dry air didn't kill it at some point was the 2012 bomb. Dry air is always a problem with any system that hits Eastern Nebraska. At least nowadays. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Fv3 similar to 18z at hr 60 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Thinking this system throws a few surprises like the last one. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Not sure what SE tick you are seeing, it went back northwest.18z. You’re quoting my post 6 hours after the fact. 0z went back NW. We’re both getting 0”. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Now 0.5” to 0.75” of rain in the point for Thursday. We’ve officially hit bottom with this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 18z. You’re quoting my post 6 hours after the fact. 0z went back NW. We’re both getting 0”.woops lol. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 What a great winter so far Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 This storm might even be enough to shut down my ski hill for the new years! Awesome! Three years in a row for my hill to have a horrible Christmas season! Wilmot had to sell after just one bad Christmas season. I can't wait for some giant corporation to buy my ski hill and ruin it from being a nice family owned place. A rainer like this is the absolute worst outcome I could have hoped for. I would have been perfectly fine with absolutely zero precip and 30s or 40s. Warn and rain around Christmas and New Years is extremely bad for a lot of businesses up here in Wisconsin. It's a real bummer to see this happening. Granite Peak isn't even 100% open yet, Wilmot didn't open until mid December. I have a bad feeling that the ski seasons are going to be shorter next year, no one making any effort until mid December no matter the weather, and then winding down after president's day in february. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Euro stays far northwest. Well time to move ahead I guess. Very disappointing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 We need to build a tundra up north so we can have another winter of 78!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 25, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 We need to build a tundra up north so we can have another winter of 78!!You got it... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Seems like you guys have been tracking this thing forever. Feel bad for y'all but I guess that glacier needs to be built up north first. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Seems like you guys have been tracking this thing forever. Feel bad for y'all but I guess that glacier needs to be built up north first. Same. Horrid timing as well. Hopefully, something comes along to make up for it. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianJK Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Don’t worry guys, just another couple weeks... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Did the Euro come east? On my phone and trying to read weather.us maps is tricky. Appears to have moved the snow about 1 county east if I’m seeing it correctly. If someone could post the 12z euro snowfall map it would be much appreciated. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Did the Euro come east? On my phone and trying to read weather.us maps is tricky. Appears to have moved the snow about 1 county east if I’m seeing it correctly. If someone could post the 12z euro snowfall map it would be much appreciated. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Honestly, I'm hoping for a NW trend. James is right, we need to build the glacier up North. If Lincoln is gonna get nothing, I'd rather have all that snow in the areas where it'll stick around for a while so we can build the path for cold and storms down the road. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Did the Euro come east? On my phone and trying to read weather.us maps is tricky. Appears to have moved the snow about 1 county east if I’m seeing it correctly. If someone could post the 12z euro snowfall map it would be much appreciated.Thanks a lot Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 25, 2018 Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 1-3” of snow followed by up to 0.75” of rain followed by an hour or two of snow or freezing rain. Awful. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 1-3” of snow followed by up to 0.75” of rain followed by an hour or two of snow or freezing rain. Awful.Haha yeah that's gotta suck especially since you were looking golden the other day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Don’t worry guys, just another couple weeks... At this point, that's optimistic. We need snow cover up north for things to go better for us down here. It'll take a few weeks for snow cover to build up north well enough to benefit us, looking at things optimistically. And then we need a solid storm to hit us. January is going to be a bust, that's all there is to it. Our best bet at this point is to hope for a good February. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 NYD looks cold, but looks like we'll rebound to 50 by the 3rd. Whatever. Edit: Wrong thread but.....Whatever. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 I am liking the trends for my area with the storm. It keeps moving farther east which is moving the heavier snow into parts of Central Nebraska. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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