January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[MossMan]

I wish the media would stick with actual scientific terms like "snowpocalypse" or "arctic express".

I really enjoyed hearing Harry Wappler say “Pineapple Express” and Arctic Express” when I was a kid.

[Gradient Keeper]

Can you get plots for Vancouver BC, Bellingham, Seattle, Olympia, Salem, and Eugene?

Sorry, I do not. I copied those maps from my PDX WX Analysis facebook(Not a shameless plug AT ALL) weather group. I am completely useless and worthless!

 

00z GFS in 41 minutes! WOW!!!!

[MossMan]

My official forecast for the rest of the winter.

[Front Ranger]

Or “Flatironing”.

 

The more you use it, the more you water it down...

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS
Begins in.... 21 minutes (7:27 PM)

Anything is possible after roughly Day 5. We could see a splitty trough, we could see chilly north-northwesterly flow for low snow levels and good mountain snows, or we could see an arctic blast if EVERYTHING works out right. I did hand a $20 bill to the Gorton's Fisherman to see if he can help us out with the coming pattern change. He was overly excited about that.

 

 

 

Think Cold and SNOW!!!! C'MON!!!!
❄ ❄ ☃ ❄ ❄

[Frontal Snowsquall]

It Aint Much But Its Honest Work 28012019123924.jpg

Very true.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Dramatic and PROFOUND changes of the EPS 45 Day! If even half of this verified it would be historic.

 

Awesome!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

F.ck the fisherman!!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

00z GFS

Begins in.... 21 minutes (7:27 PM)

Anything is possible after roughly Day 5. We could see a splitty trough, we could see chilly north-northwesterly flow for low snow levels and good mountain snows, or we could see an arctic blast if EVERYTHING works out right. I did hand a $20 bill to the Gorton's Fisherman to see if he can help us out with the coming pattern change. He was overly excited about that.

 

 

 

Think Cold and SNOW!!!! C'MON!!!!

❄ ❄ ☃ ❄ ❄

I haven't seen Gortons Fisherman this excited in quite some time! Let's go Gortons Fisherman, we're all hungry for a snowy Arctic Blast, please deliver us one! ❄

[Kayla]

Guessing no one has seen the 00z ICON...

[GHweatherChris]

00z GFS

Begins in.... 21 minutes (7:27 PM)

Anything is possible after roughly Day 5. We could see a splitty trough, we could see chilly north-northwesterly flow for low snow levels and good mountain snows, or we could see an arctic blast if EVERYTHING works out right. I did hand a $20 bill to the Gorton's Fisherman to see if he can help us out with the coming pattern change. He was overly excited about that.

 

 

 

Think Cold and SNOW!!!! C'MON!!!!

❄ ❄ ☃ ❄ ❄

Dammmit Rob...

[Kayla]

[Gradient Keeper]

Wait. What? Hasselhoff turns WA/OR into a Snowy Abyss of fun? AND timing moved WAY ahead!

[Gradient Keeper]

Once again Pivotal site is VERY slow and Tidbit is only updating the Northwest view Precip/MSLP/Thickness, 850mb Temps.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 4

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Gfs is going to be bad a** around hr 160

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The third low on the bc coast at 96 hr is new.

[Blizzard777]

My official forecast for the rest of the winter.

I found the Polar Vortex just below the equation, now...how do we release it into the NW

[Front Ranger]

 

Astoria gets snow while Spokane gets rain. Nice.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Or not. POS model.

[Gradient Keeper]

Astoria gets snow while Spokane gets rain. Nice.

Hasselhoff model forecasters are often tipsy where Oktoberfest is every day!

 

00z ECMWF in 1 hour 33 minutes

[TigerWoodsLibido]

 

That would be snow in the air IMBY for sure with the 522 line right here.

[Gradient Keeper]

Ridge looks super flat after Day 5. Don't like that.

[Esquimalt]

Ridge looks super flat after Day 5. Don't like that.

Definite improvements over the past couple of GFS runs though I think.

[Front Ranger]

Definite improvements over the past couple of GFS runs though I think.

 

Yeah, 0z looking more like 18z than the 12z at hour 144. Weird.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6.5

[TT-SEA]

Yeah, 0z looking more like 18z than the 12z at hour 144. Weird.

 

Of course that would happen today.   

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEM Day 6 far more promising

[Esquimalt]

Unfortunately the cold air gets stuck at the border on this run of the GEM.

[Gradient Keeper]

No model consistency either after Day 4-5.

[Gradient Keeper]

Real boring 00z runs so far. I guess I should have slipped him a $50. Hmmm....

 

00z ECMWF 1 hour 2 minutes

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Cmc model looks more like the icon.

[Gradient Keeper]

[Jesse]

Sporks?

[Requiem]

I think models look a lot better than the 00Z runs yesterday, TBH.

[Gradient Keeper]

Sporks?

Unless things improve we may need those fairly soon.

[Requiem]

Unless things improve we may need those fairly soon.

 

It's not awful, the GFS has improved, the ensembles are still quite decent and the EURO still has potential. Not that the EPS matters, but that's a thing too.

[The Swamp]

Are there any good chances for rainbows?

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEFS did not improve. Some chilly NW flow. Mountain snowpack will hopefully build in this pattern.

[Gradient Keeper]

It's all going to come down to the EURO/EPS in my opinion. Maybe some guidance from the GEFS and Canadian Ensembles used at times as well, but mainly the EURO.