January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

At this point we can hope there is surprises in the pattern now shown. Like deformation bands.

[epiceast]

Hi been awhile!

Oh man I should have posted last night when I recovered the password but the forum crashed on me >

[Frontal Snowsquall]

But its still lingering into the early morning on Tuesday.    Portland scores something! 

 

 

[TT-SEA]

The Seattle area and my area get pretty much nothing on the 00Z ECMWF.  

[Jesse]

But its still lingering into the early morning on Tuesday.    Portland scores something! 

 

  

 

If that happens AlpineExperience is going to drive down here and rip my esophagus out

[Meatyorologist]

Honestly didn't expect much Sunday night in the first place. (KEEP IN MIND THE SOLUTIONS COULD STILL CHANGE SO DON'T USE TONIGHT'S MODEL RUNS RELIGIOUSLY)

 

Definitely looking forward to later next week for any future events, as I was before. Arctic air in place in BC should make things interesting for any shortwaves or small lows riding the trough. Much more potential there.

[HighlandExperience]

If that happens AlpineExperience is going to drive down here and rip my esophagus out

I’m moving to Spokane

[Meatyorologist]

Guys it could always trend the other way

"Why are you booing me? I'm right!"

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This is probably the worst collapse since 2011. I wanted at least someone to score with this. Now no one will.

[MossMan]

Cliff Mass is stocking up on eggs tonight.

[Gradient Keeper]

Mark just posted this in my group after seeing my WRF post

 

[TT-SEA]

This is probably the worst collapse since 2011. I wanted at least someone to score with this. Now no one will.

 

 

Portland is actually the big winner with about 2 inches.   

 

They deserve a win.   

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Mark just posted this in my group after seeing my WRF post

 

Screenshot_2019-01-31 PDX WX Analysis.png

Deformation band for the Win!

[GHweatherChris]

Portland is actually the big winner with about 2 inches.

 

They deserve a win.

Dafuq?

[MossMan]

Day 6

 

Time to go jetsking!

[Jesse]

Portland is actually the big winner with about 2 inches.   

 

They deserve a win.   

 

That's as good as no one as far as my location is concerned.

[TT-SEA]

Unfortunately... the lack of cold air is also evident and PDX is around 40 degrees by Tuesday afternoon per the ECMWF.   

[HighlandExperience]

This is probably the worst collapse since 2011. I wanted at least someone to score with this. Now no one will.

This will go in the record books

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Unfortunately... the lack of cold air is also evident and PDX is around 40 degrees by Tuesday afternoon per the ECMWF.

 

I was hoping for 70.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Well at least we still have the JMA:

 

[BLI snowman]

Unfortunately... the lack of cold air is also evident and PDX is around 40 degrees by Tuesday afternoon per the ECMWF.   

 

No reason to expect impressive cold with marginal upper level temps and it now being February. A few inches of morning snow that melt off by the next day are what we have to hang our hat on at this point.

[Timmy]

Unfortunately... the lack of cold air is also evident and PDX is around 40 degrees by Tuesday afternoon per the ECMWF.

I think pdx will overachieve considerably especially with more offshore flow being modeled. The wrf is showing that already and it picks up on the gorge effect better.

[Winterdog]

Wow, my call for lumpy rain was a bit optimistic.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

 

[Guest Sounder]

This is all Phil's fault.

[Perturbed Member]

Portland is actually the big winner with about 2 inches.   

 

They deserve a win.   

 

 

Can you please post the close up snow total maps?

[TT-SEA]

No reason to expect impressive cold with marginal upper level temps and it now being February. A few inches of morning snow that melt off by the next day are what we have to hang our hat on at this point.

 

More memorable that what the Seattle area will get with this event... it will barely be noticeable up here.    

[Gradient Keeper]

I think pdx will overachieve considerably especially with more offshore flow being modeled. The wrf is showing that already and it picks up on the gorge effect better.

Oh, yeah if we see offshore flow develop Monday AM it'll be significant colder.

[GHweatherChris]

Day 7

 

Fast moving pattern, progressive.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2019020100/portland/ecmwf_tsnow_portland_23.png

[TT-SEA]

http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2019020100/portland/ecmwf_tsnow_portland_23.png

 

 

I posted the same thing at the same time... I just deleted mine.   

[Timmy]

http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2019020100/portland/ecmwf_tsnow_portland_23.png

still haven’t figured out how to post wb maps? Tim post yours people without wb can’t see Andrews.

[TT-SEA]

Reload still looks decent on the ECMWF.    I am sure that will work out just fine.  

[BLI snowman]

More memorable that what the Seattle area will get with this event... it will barely be noticeable up here.    

 

Too early to say anything. Sunday into Monday is probably a lost cause south of Bellingham, but deformation zones are notoriously fickle and hard to predict.

 

I'd feel better about a big deformation zone's chances on this side of the mountains if the lower level cold air advection feeding into the cut-off energy was a bit more impressive. My suspicion is it would be pretty anemic over here and more of a Columbia Basin special.

[TT-SEA]

still haven’t figured out how to post wb maps? Tim post yours people without wb can’t see it

 

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day  8

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Thanks Northern Messiah.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Day  8

Looks good for a possible reload.

[BLI snowman]

Oh, yeah if we see offshore flow develop Monday AM it'll be significant colder.

 

Very unlikely that PDX sees anything below 39-40 for highs at current face value.