jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Fv3 qpf 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Gem http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=snku_acc&rh=2019012100&fh=72&r=us_mw&dpdt=&mc= Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Gem http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=snku_acc&rh=2019012100&fh=72&r=us_mw&dpdt=&mc= At least GGEM doesn't skunk me like the GFS duo and the Euro Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 GEM provides for SEMI 2-3". Sweet. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 This storm makes landfall in a couple of hours correct? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Ukie appears more N than it's 12Z run but almost impossible to tell until precip/850 maps out Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Ukie appears more N than it's 12Z run but almost impossible to tell until precip/850 maps outqpf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Fv3 qpf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 During the bulk of the precip -UK keeps all of IA below 0C at 850 except the SE. Keeps most of IA below 0C at 2M except S Central and SE I still expect a wintry mix more than what it's saying. On to the King. It's probably going to cave to the GFS and N tracks. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Gfs fv3 was a good 75mi too far north with the last storm. gfs was a touch better but still too north. The euro inside 2 days and the nam at 3 days was most in the ballpark here...also second time this year the hrrr did great at game time. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 00z euro is slightly weaker surface but stronger at 500mb and south at hr 48 vs 12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 EURO is north from earlier today, but still keeps the Low tracking straight east over KC. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 south or north that is da question Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Good run for Lincoln/omaha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 south or north that is da question south, I see 3hr increments Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 10:1 euro 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Kuchera Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Wow, this run was good! The banding is the same from 12z, but a bit less snow, but lets be realistic, no ones getting 14 inches from this system lol Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 For this storm, models have been as locked in and stable as they ever get. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Go euro go lol. I suspect that it won't play out that well but still is nice. The locals and oax favour a good period of freezing drizzle then a change over. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Surprised the euro held serve for the most part. There's gotta be some kind of cave by 12z, but it probably won't favor us. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Zoomed out for other peeps Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 06Z NAM is basicallty a dusting to perhaps 2" for many reading this. WIndy City does quite good/. Soo different than the EURO ; especially in max snowfall areas of the Euro. I believe the NAM pulled somewhat of coup last time around but dont remember it being this big. Don't mean to be dramatic but the Euro is calling for 1' and widespread 6"+ that the 06Z Nam shows a dusting to 2"?? 36-42 hours out?? Never seen such difference over such a large area before that I can remember. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Will never forget how bad the NAM did for eastern Nebraska last Thursday a day before the storm. 6z that day had 14 inches here then by days end at 0z it had 1". Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Watches and advisories all around the metro, but not here. This thing is really crapping out. My initial call of 0.5” is sadly still looking like a real possibility. MPX lowering totals, down to 2-4” here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Both 00z GEFS/EPS seem they trended a touch north and target N IA into S/C Wisco... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 06z Euro... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Here was the 21z SREF's.... http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/sref/21/sref_namer_072_snow_total_sprd.gif Latest 3z run.... http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/sref/03/sref_namer_072_snow_total_sprd.gif 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 WSW, DVN has me at 5” still. Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Full sample at 12z. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 06z Euro...That is sure backing off amounts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 So far NAM somewhat stronger at the surface.... NAM stepped towards other models for sure. Advisory event 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 6z 12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 12Z NAM is better for Central Nebraska than the last 2 NAM runs. Step in the right direction. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Yep recent NAM considerably further SE--- maybe a sign of caving to the King? Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Local Mets. concerned about freezing drizzle again starting after 5 PM this evening then snow and 40 MPH winds and gusts tomorrow. Locally they only say 1-3" but I think there will be bands of heavier as usually happens. Already schedule issues as this week is our conference basketball tournament with teams spread many miles apart. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 12Z NAM 3km has my area at 5". Could be possible if we get under a heavy band. My prediction is 3" with a lot of wind by the the time it ends tomorrow evening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 Glad to see the 12z NAM claw back from the 06z run. Looks like a relatively high ratio event up this way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 21, 2019 Report Share Posted January 21, 2019 3KM NAM world of difference for many compared to recent runs Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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