Tom Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Models are converging on an upper level wave to break off the powerful system currently targeting the west coast. Looks like an inverted trough develops across the MW and a decent chance for a widespread light/mod snow event is in the works for the Sun-Mon period. Some places across MW/GL's may do pretty good and some advisories may be issued. Let's discuss... 06z GFS... 06z NAM... 06z FV3... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 06z Euro is highlighting to distinct bands of snow...one across IA and the other across N/C WI... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 DVN was thinking ratios of 15-20:1 on this yesterday. They’re going with a 1-3” event, which is obviously very reasonable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Here is the 12z NAM.. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 A couple of inches forecasted for MBY, which I will definitely accept. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 1-3 for just about the whole sub. I'll take it! Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Haven’t paid much attention to this at all, but the NAMs especially seem to think another few inches is on the way. Crazy ride here this week. Would have to think that where this sets up is going have an impact on the potential big dog next week. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 12z GFS... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 12z Canadian... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 12z FV3... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 12z Ukie... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 12z FV3... The FV3 is the most juiced up model? Nooooo way! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 The FV3 is the most juiced up model? Nooooo way!Yup the new DGEX 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 12z Euro...showing a pretty decent snowfall for a lot of folks... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 12z Euro...showing a pretty decent snowfall for a lot of folks... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 12z Euro...showing a pretty decent snowfall for a lot of folks...Except for us but I guess flakes flying is better than rain 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Hmm... not a great run from the NAM (for my area). The heaviest precip seems to split my area haha. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted February 8, 2019 Report Share Posted February 8, 2019 Nam gives us a decent hit for this first wave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 Not a bad clipper, I'll take a couple of inches. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 Not liking how the NAM is looking for over here, but let’s see how this goes.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 Yeah not a great run here. Good run for all those who just got blasted. Bleh. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 3KM with borderline warnings for NW IA Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 I would take that... but I don’t exactly like it. The southern edge of this has really lost its juice, and the NAM has taken a nice job north with it. We shall see what happens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 The HRW model packages seems S of the NAM and 3KM through Hr 37 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 ICON fwiw- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 Starting to look a little more juiced. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 KC to Chicago dead zone. What's with that? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 As for here, flurries to 4" with every map literally different. Very scattered storm nonetheless Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 KC to Chicago dead zone. What's with that? Iowa looks like the place to be. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 Gfs Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 Nice widespread snowfall on the first system, may have an effect on the second system. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 CMC kinda looks like the fv3 from earlier lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 18z euro 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 Iowa looks like the place to be. Yeah, they need to share a bit. It's getting old 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 Yeah, they need to share a bit. It's getting oldYou say this yet I’m only near average on the season. Let’s also not forget you’re coming off a string of largely decent winters for MI. 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 9, 2019 Report Share Posted February 9, 2019 Ukie 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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