2/10 - 2/11 Snow Event

[jcwxguy]

Fv3

[Niko]

Looks like the heaviest snow will be near the MI/Ohio border and lighter amounts here IMBY (1-1.5"), whereas the southern portions could receive amounts near the 3" mark or more.

[jcwxguy]

00z euro

[Clinton]

WWA issued, for 1-3 in snow and a glaze of ice.  Can't take much more ice.

 

..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
NOON CST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of
one to three inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze
expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast Kansas and north central,
northeast and northwest Missouri.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to noon CST Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery
roads and limited visibilities, and use cautio

[Tom]

00z Euro...for the GL's...

 

 

[Tom]

WWA issued, for 1-3 in snow and a glaze of ice.  Can't take much more ice.

 

..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO

NOON CST SUNDAY...

 

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of

one to three inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze

expected.

 

* WHERE...Portions of northeast Kansas and north central,

northeast and northwest Missouri.

 

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to noon CST Sunday.

 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or

freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Expect slippery

roads and limited visibilities, and use cautio

 

How many times this year have you seen ice in your forecast?  Sheesh!

[Clinton]

How many times this year have you seen ice in your forecast?  Sheesh!

If we get ice tomorrow it will be the 4th day in the last 6!

[Tom]

Higher rez models are all favoring north....

 

 

 

 

[Tom]

If we get ice tomorrow it will be the 4th day in the last 6!

That's nuts...you normally here of that much ice down south but this year not so much...

[Clinton]

Looks like NWS KC is using the RGEM.  It was the only model that got the last storms ice amounts correct for me.

[Clinton]

Second thought the NAM has this for ice and a inch or 2 of snow.

[Niko]

I'd say, an inch, if lucky for MBY

[bud2380]

NAMs coming in hot for the south half of Minnesota. Wow. Possible warning criteria.

[St Paul Storm]

MPX saying this may be an overachiever. 2-4” now in the point for tomorrow.

[Clinton]

12z RGEM staying consistent.

[Clinton]

Good trend down my way, more snow less ice!

[bud2380]

This one keeps drying out eastern Iowa more and more. An inch looks like about what to expect here. I’ll be driving tomorrow so that’s ok with me.

[East Dubzz]

Pretty huge difference between the NAM & GFS.... at least up in Minnesota. About the same here in eastern Iowa.

[Tom]

12z GGEM...

 

[Tony]

12z GGEM...

 

Only model that really gives us anything but at least it's snow and not freezing rain

[jcwxguy]

06z euro

[gosaints]

3-5 inch the point and click for tomorrow. That's relatively aggressive for la crosse who has been soot on this winter...

[Tom]

12z FV3...Lehs signal has been consistently showing up from MKE on north...

 

[jcwxguy]

18 nam

[jcwxguy]

Rap and hrrr show nothing for lnk/oma lol

[East Dubzz]

Rap and hrrr show nothing for lnk/oma lol

Basically nothing for eastern Iowa either.

 

Was just hoping to get a nice later on the ground, but I guess maybe not!

[OmahaSnowFan]

Rap and hrrr show nothing for lnk/oma lol

You know this amazing active pattern the next couple weeks will end up delivering like 5” total for Omaha and Lincoln!

[Minny_Weather]

Rap and hrrr show nothing for lnk/oma lol

I wouldn't put too much thought into it as of now. They've performed horribly as of recent.

[jaster220]

You say this yet I’m only near average on the season. Let’s also not forget you’re coming off a string of largely decent winters for MI.

 

Yeah, it's easy to get spoilt. This season's hype combined with lame results has been a tough fall with a hard landing. At least I've had a couple short periods of winter, which beats the truly horrid seasons. Brevity of snowcover is by far my biggest issue

[St Paul Storm]

WWA in effect for the south and east parts of the metro.

[Hawkeye]

This system has been drying out on the models for this area, tending to favor areas well north and west.  It is looking like 1, maybe 2 inches if we're lucky.

[jcwxguy]

18Z fv3, just doing 10:1 since fv3 way overdoes qpf

[Grizzcoat]

if someone could post the 18z euro for this first wave that would be great. Much obliged.

[jcwxguy]

if someone could post the 18z euro for this first wave that would be great. Much obliged.

I will once it's out

[jcwxguy]

if someone could post the 18z euro for this first wave that would be great. Much obliged.

done

[East Dubzz]

D**n, that’s wayyyy weak. Not just here, but everywhere.

[Hawkeye]

So this system appears to be the opposite of the post-polar vortex clipper.  That one suddenly popped as it approached and dropped 3-5" from CR to the QC.  This one is drying up.

[Grizzcoat]

d**n, that’s wayyyy weak. Not just here, but everywhere.

It's consistent with previous runs ( at least from DSM) - remember it's 10:1 and most runs for DSM show from .17 - to .23"-- now the WWA in NW IA - that may be a stretch if the Euro is correct.

[Grizzcoat]

Probably past it's function- but 00Z NAM is S and E of 18Z ( in  IA )

[Grizzcoat]