SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Beautiful morning 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 26.8 degrees currently. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 I will say the 06z ICON took a perfect track for a EUG-PDX snowstorm. 12z would be a little to far south for anyone north of Albany. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 I just have a sneaky suspicion its portlands turn mon/tue 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Let's zero in on this Cape Blanco landfall... Kind of dumb so many places in the valley stayed socked in the low clouds. Wonder how persistent they will be today. Totally clear and now down to 24 up here. Coldest low since the 10th.Yeah, that seems to be the best landfall spot for most of the Willamette Valley to get the goods. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 I hope this verifies as the beginning of the inevitable warm up leading into spring. I've had my fill of winter. It was pleasant the first few days then it just wouldn't stop snowing over here. It has snowed every Fu***** day here since January 23. Done!We'll happily take all of the future snow off your hands. Is this the longest snow stretch you've had up there? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 NWS Seattle is saying basically that we are now too late in the season for any meaningful snowfall and that we are just likely to see a mix at times. Definitely nothing historic or even somewhat exciting. They obviously don’t remember some of the great late February/early March snowfalls.Don't know why they would say that after an already cold and snowy first 20 days of the month. 2 years ago in late February I got dumped on by the CZ. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 NWS Seattle is saying basically that we are now too late in the season for any meaningful snowfall and that we are just likely to see a mix at times. Definitely nothing historic or even somewhat exciting. They obviously don’t remember some of the great late February/early March snowfalls.That when you know they know it's possible 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BhamMe Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 I'm off to Big White, BC for some skiing over the next few days. Some light flurries the Friday into Saturday and cool, somewhere around -13 C on average. I'll see if I can get a big fan and blow some cold air down to Portland for all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 The 12z FV3 trended a little North. Can't go north much further now if your in PDX Metro. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 GFS stayed basically the same. I’m feeling decent, I’m scared of both too north and too south. EDIT: at face value it is a tad bit south. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Flow is still zonal but the trough isn’t digging as much which allows things to come a bit further north. Where that trough sets up will ultimately determine where the low goes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 The 12z GEM makes landfall right around the OR/CA border. Similar to the 12z ICON. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Based on the model performance this year, especially for the Willamette Valley. The only "huge" runs are the ones just before the event. Way to early for any one run to be considered huge.Sure, the runs will get bigger and bigger as the event draws near. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 They really need to fix the FV3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 They really need to fix the FV3 Personally I think it's great. Eye candy is always entertaining. 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 The 12z UKMET just arrived. Here is what it shows days 4 to 6. Sticking to it's Southern solution. Landfall looks like around the OR/CA border. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_096_0000.gif http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_120_0000.gif http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_144_0000.gif 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Looks south.The 12z UKMET just arrived. Here is what it shows days 4 to 6. Sticking to it's Southern solution. Landfall looks like around the OR/CA border.http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_096_0000.gifhttp://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_120_0000.gifhttp://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_144_0000.gif Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Just looking at the FV3, shows an amazing overrunning event for northern areas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Looks south.Yeah, similar to what the 12z GEM and ICON just showed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Amazing how much ensemble spread there is just a few days out. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 They really need to fix the FV3 Yeah the Puget Sound area will not see anywhere close to those numbers. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 The 12z UKMET precipitation maps for this Monday. It trended a little bit further north with the moisture compared to last night's 00z run. Northern edge makes it into the Central Willamette Valley. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 We'll happily take all of the future snow off your hands. Is this the longest snow stretch you've had up there?Since we've lived here, (June 15') yes. I think my perception on it is much different now that I don't travel out of state for work anymore. I used to be gone away from home working elsewhere around the country so when I would come home, it was a novelty to me. Now that I have a career thay allows me to be home every night, I have to deal with this day in and day out. I dont want to live in a snowy climate. Wwaaayyyyy too much work. Especially when a mild winter is one like we've had this year and last year ...."only" 2 1/2 feet of snow on the ground by March. Lifelong locals say it used to snow upwards of 6 feet during winter in these parts...back in the "good ol' days". Well I'm convinced those days are nearing once again and I don't want any part of that. Phoenix here we come! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Yeah, similar to what the 12z GEM and ICON just showed.Right about where we'd want to see it on those lesser models at this point. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 I bet it makes landfall around cannon beach. I think the fv3 in on the that trend. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Yeah the Puget Sound area will not see anywhere close to those numbers. Looks like a CZ signature over King County on that map. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Not impressed with the GFS ensembles this morning. Not as much time with the cool air and a bigger warmup. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Not impressed with the GFS ensembles this morning. Not as much time with the cool air and a bigger warmup. Massive spread between members. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 WRF looks good for most with the weekend system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 I have included the aviation section for all of the “above the frayers”Well played. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 There's lots of school delays this morning on the east side.I left the east side for work at around 6am this morning and I slid on some ice going down a small hill out here. Had to slam on my breaks hard, good thing there wasn't anybody else oncoming at the same time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 I left the east side for work at around 6am this morning and I slid on some ice going down a small hill out here. Had to slam on my breaks hard, good thing there wasn't anybody else oncoming at the same time. Demonic drive down the hill this morning. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 I hope this verifies as the beginning of the inevitable warm up leading into spring. I've had my fill of winter. It was pleasant the first few days then it just wouldn't stop snowing over here. It has snowed every Fu***** day here since January 23. Done!Blasphemy! 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 All good things must come to an end. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 NWS Seattle is saying basically that we are now too late in the season for any meaningful snowfall and that we are just likely to see a mix at times. Definitely nothing historic or even somewhat exciting. They obviously don’t remember some of the great late February/early March snowfalls.Feb 2011 was a long time ago. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Is this the longest streak of sub-50 highs in Portland history? At this rate we might not see a 60 until April. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 21, 2019 Report Share Posted February 21, 2019 Chilly 32* this beautiful sunny morning Temp dropped to 30* last night and current dew point is 28* Friend down in Vegas said rooftops were white with snow and reports of up to 6” of snow in the surrounding area of Vegas.McCarran international recorded 1 inch of snow early this morning at 4 am. Trended Way South! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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