May 2019 Weather Discussion PNW

[Front Ranger]

Really nice looking cell near Scio right now.

[Omegaraptor]

Pretty dark right now with the storm clouds.

[jakeinthevalley]

S is about to get real here in the Salem area.

 

Already had some thunder and the wind is getting going

[Omegaraptor]

Starting to hear thunder. There's a 50 dbz cell about 10-15 miles to the south.

[BLI snowman]

Decent gust front with this line moving in. MMV at 43mph and the temp at SLE crashed 10 degrees in 32 minutes.

[Front Ranger]

Sounds like Failshington County will take a DIRECT HIT. 

 

Actually looks like this might happen.

[Requiem]

Winds are getting pretty gusty here, ominous feeling outside.

[Blizzard777]

Pacific city we had a few rumbles and currently moderate rain

[Omegaraptor]

Failshington County did indeed get a pretty good hit. Here’s a video of the rainstorm and the wind that preceded it (unfortunately, no sound):

 

https://m.imgur.com/a/Rn01E7X

[Dave]

A tree got hit in north eugene.

https://i.redd.it/h09d1lmr02z21.jpg

[ShawniganLake]

50F with showers up here in Watch lake.

[Omegaraptor]

Portland is still at trace rainfall for the day.

[Jesse]

Portland is still at trace rainfall for the day.

EPIC

[Anti Marine Layer]

Enjoy the polar vortex while it lasts.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Decent gust front with this line moving in. MMV at 43mph and the temp at SLE crashed 10 degrees in 32 minutes.

Not as bad as 32 degrees in 10 minutes.

[Front Ranger]

Next week looks like a classic setup for severe weather in the plains/Midwest.

[Anti Marine Layer]

A tree got hit in north eugene.

https://i.redd.it/h09d1lmr02z21.jpg

 

Ouch!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Best thunderstorm in years here. Plenty of loud thunder.

 

Weird, nothing here in Springfield.

[weatherfan2012]

Jealous. I’m getting missed by a severe thunderstorm cell with 55,000ft+ echo tops ~ 60 miles to my NW.

Can’t even hear it from here, but crazy to think there is golfball sized hail and 80mph winds under that cloud.

there has to be a front of sorts as there is now a batch of storms near Dc

[Anti Marine Layer]

In 2010, Lindbergh Field saw the record for coldest July average high temperature go with one fell blow. The 69.39 average high for 2010 broke the cool record of 71.58 in 1987.

 

However the WRCC data for that station starts in 1939.

 

Extra credit if you can name the movie that the first sentence in this post was inspired by.

[TT-SEA]

Some warm and dry runs tonight... and not just for next weekend.

 

Lets see what the ECMWF has to say.

[Omegaraptor]

00z GFS definitely looks warm and dry.

 

I’m still betting that one more ULL/rain event happens before we’re in dry season for good.

[Jesse]

00z GFS definitely looks warm and dry.

 

I’m still betting that one more ULL/rain event happens before we’re in dry season for good.

It’s May 18.

[TT-SEA]

00Z ECMWF shows mid to upper 70s on Saturday and then into the low 80s on Sunday and Monday in the Seattle area.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Finally got some decent rain yesterday afternoon and overnight. Was in Eugene for the thunderstorm. Pretty impressive by PNW standards. 

 

Had some very heavy rain come through around midnight back here at home. Probably almost 3/4" total. Up around 1.5" on the month. 

[Farmboy]

Nice to see the positive changes in the models. Yesterday ended up pretty enjoyable overall here, it was only 56-57-ish but fealt much warmer in the sun. This morning has been mostly sunny apart from some high clouds...

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Still too wet to go outside for the kiddos.  Maybe in a couple weeks when they come down again there will be some dry weather so we can take them to the park. Until then, it can rain all it wants.

[TT-SEA]

00Z EPS was warm for the entire holiday weekend.

 

But I am sure this is a very wet pattern in the 10-15 day period... you just need to be creative.   

 

 

[Farmboy]

I think I called the pattern pretty well. And I’m still not concerned about ridging sticking around for any prolonged period of time (until the WPAC machine turns on again).

 

Right now there’s some mishandling of wavetrains upstream that is typical of the monsoonal inception period. In the end, it will be sorted out, blues will replace oranges, and silly narratives will collapse (or be spun some other way..I don’t know which).

You sound so sure of yourself. It will be interesting to see how your 'wet June' narrative plays out...

[Jesse]

Still too wet to go outside for the kiddos. Maybe in a couple weeks when they come down again there will be some dry weather so we can take them to the park. Until then, it can rain all it wants.

Today is the last day of rain then it will probably be dry for the next two weeks or longer. Then we can start hearing the Mordor smoke comments!

[TT-SEA]

Rain did not make this far north... dry with high clouds here this morning.

 

SEA is +5.6 for May with .36 of rain so far... and the chances for more meaningful precip this month dwindling.

 

Last May ended up +5.0 with .12 of rain.

 

Not much of a difference really.   Even though the large scale pattern has been quite different.

[Jesse]

Solid rain event last night for the Portland area. 0.60” at PDX with a little more falling here. Great to see, just a shame it will be turning bone dry for the foreseeable future now.

[TT-SEA]

Solid rain event last night for the Portland area. 0.60” at PDX with a little more falling here. Great to see, just a shame it will be turning bone dry for the foreseeable future now.

Wow... that is great. I was just about to check the totals down there. I was thinking the ECMWF had overdone the precip but I guess not.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Today is the last day of rain then it will probably be dry for the next two weeks or longer. Then we can start hearing the Mordor smoke comments!

 

That and Silent Hill with the ashfall.  But I really hope we can avoid that this August/September.

[TT-SEA]

That and Silent Hill with the ashfall.  But I really hope we can avoid that this August/September.

 

 

Considering that a large portion of your smoke last summer came up from CA... it might be much improved this year despite what is happening locally.

 

It could not be any better down there now as we head into summer.    As good as it gets for late May.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Considering that a large portion of your smoke last summer came up from CA... it might be much improved this year despite what is happening locally.

 

It could not be any better down there now as we head into summer.    As good as it gets for late May.

 

Would also be nice to keep the number of 90+ days below 30 this year too but I'm not expecting it.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like there will be on and off against convection on the east side for the foreseeable future. Good news.

 

 

[Requiem]

Well, I actually woke up because it was raining so heavily, which hasn't happened in a while. So that's pretty great!

[Jesse]

Looks like there will be on and off against convection on the east side for the foreseeable future. Good news.

 

 

Looking lush and green in the Wenaha country right now. Stole these from a Facebook page I follow.

 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looking lush and green in the Wenaha country right now. Stole these from a Facebook page I follow.

 

 

D00E78C9-8F5C-4F89-B465-3E2481D2F119.pngBE7DEE46-DB00-4118-B557-759FC38F37ED.png

 

Beautiful! Thanks for sharing!