July 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Jesse]

+1. Lows have been above well average. Daytime highs a little below.

Hopefully it warms up soon.

[TacomaWaWx]

We got 0.19” yesterday and another 0.09” since midnight currently at 0.28” for the 24 hour total.

[ShawniganLake]

Hopefully it warms up soon.

Once those 30 year averages are updated in 2020 things won’t seem as warm by the numbers

[Deweydog]

11 years ago today...

[Jesse]

Once those 30 year averages are updated in 2020 things won’t seem as warm by the numbers

I

[MossMan]

Hopefully it warms up soon.

Let’s hope so.

[Kayla]

Euro looks cooler than the GFS for this weekend.

 

Was just going to say...lot cooler out here as well.

 

Seems like the last few runs have been progressing the trough further inland.

[TT-SEA]

Raining in Seattle while its partly sunny and dry out here.

[Jesse]

Was just going to say...lot cooler out here as well.

 

Seems like the last few runs have been progressing the trough further inland.

Yeah, looks like there’s still hope.

[jcmcgaffey]

I’m sure the extremely localized daily deluges confined to your block probably isn’t helping your perspective either.

It may even be confined to just my house?! We have been ground zero lately for convergence zones. Last night was odd as it was raining but also too warm out for my comfort for sleeping. Opening the window to blow air in made it worse.

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF surface maps still look about the same... highs mostly in the mid to upper 70s in Seattle and either side of 80 in Portland through next week.

 

Only real precip outside of some mountain showers appears to be on Sunday into Monday with a small c-zone focused around Randy's area.

[jcmcgaffey]

I have learned that low 60s is my upper threshold at night for sleeping comfortable with no AC and 100% humidity. Anything warmer than that and it gets uncomfortable sleeping.

[Jesse]

12Z ECMWF surface maps still look about the same... highs mostly in the mid to upper 70s in Seattle and either side of 80 in Portland through next week.

 

Only real precip outside of some mountain showers appears to be on Sunday into Monday with a small c-zone focused around Randy's area.

Pretty nice summer weather.

[Jesse]

 

GFS ensembles still pretty decent. Mean doesn’t get above the average line until the very end of the run.

[TT-SEA]

Pretty nice summer weather.

 

 

Hopefully we can avoid it.    You praised the same thing yesterday, but today you seem like all hope was lost.   There is still hope.    

[Jesse]

Hopefully we can avoid it.    There is still hope... all is not lost.  

I make the mistake sometimes of reading the comments here before looking at the models if I’m away from my computer. Some of the discussion about the 12z GFS this morning had me thinking a warm up to well above average was imminent in the near future.

[TT-SEA]

I make the mistake sometimes of reading the comments here before looking at the models if I’m away from my computer. Some of the discussion about the 12z GFS this morning had me thinking a warm up to well above average was imminent in the near future.

 

 

Ahhh... thought that might be the case.   I updated my comment after thinking about it more.

[Jesse]

[Front Ranger]

People are thinking cooler weather because of the cloudier cooler highs and daytime weather. The warm nighttime temps because of the cloudier weather are what is causing the overall temp to be above average.

 

Yeah, OLM has only had one 80+ day since 6/12. Far cry from recent years, which of course were not "normal", but even a normal year would have a few more than that.

[Dave]

It is cloudy, but very comfortable. I'll take it any day.

[Front Ranger]

I make the mistake sometimes of reading the comments here before looking at the models if I’m away from my computer. 

 

I am able to access the models easily on my phone. Which did not cost $1200.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

12Z ECMWF surface maps still look about the same... highs mostly in the mid to upper 70s in Seattle and either side of 80 in Portland through next week.

 

Only real precip outside of some mountain showers appears to be on Sunday into Monday with a small c-zone focused around Randy's area.

Yeah, not bad.

 

http://lmgcorporate.com/kptv/weather/web_7-day.jpg

[ShawniganLake]

I am able to access the models easily on my phone. Which did not cost $1200.

I haven’t used a computer to look at the models in probably a year. Actually can’t remember the last time I even opened the laptop.

[seattleweatherguy]

Thankfully, the GEFS disagrees and keeps the troughing and cool weather in place.

 

Need to keep this pattern going until at least August 5th.

 

Keeping extreme heat away at least until then would be nice. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z EPS looks like the operational through day 10... then shows a clear trend towards western ridging in the 10-15 day period.

 

Here is the 10-15 day mean:

 

[Deweydog]

Uh oh...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Some light showers moving through Salem now. Day ruined...

[TacomaWaWx]

High temp of 65 degrees so far. Been raining on and off for awhile. Some decent rainfall at times as well. Some light SW breezes.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

92 down in Rome, OR right now...Tim, time to teleport!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Low to mid 70s right now in W. Oregon. Looks like PDX is running a -0.8 departure and SLE and EUG are at -0.3. You'd think from all the bitching we were having April like weather. It's going to be funny in 6 months when people are referring back to our "cold July" that probably will end up 1-2F above normal. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Looks like we’re at 0.15” so far today. 0.34” total over the last 24 hours.

[TT-SEA]

Low to mid 70s right now in W. Oregon. Looks like PDX is running a -0.8 departure and SLE and EUG are at -0.3. You'd think from all the bitching we were having April like weather. It's going to be funny in 6 months when people are referring back to our "cold July" that probably will end up 1-2F above normal. 

 

Its been the persistent clouds... not the temperatures.   At least for me.

 

We have seen about 2 hours of sun here in the last 9 days.   That is pretty extreme for July even in my area.   Should start getting better now.

[Phil]

92 down in Rome, OR right now...Tim, time to teleport!

Still too cold for Tim. He needs 100*F at the very least.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Its been the persistent clouds... not the temperatures.   At least for me.

 

We have seen about 2 hours of sun here in the last 9 days.   That is pretty extreme for July even in my area.   Should start getting better now.

 

Your complaining hasn't been that bad imo. It has been way worse on FB in the PDX area weather groups. Which is funny because we have seen a lot of sun down here. The 4th was absolutely beautiful. 

[Phil]

Low to mid 70s right now in W. Oregon. Looks like PDX is running a -0.8 departure and SLE and EUG are at -0.3. You'd think from all the bitching we were having April like weather. It's going to be funny in 6 months when people are referring back to our "cold July" that probably will end up 1-2F above normal.

Heat misers are the worst.

 

I can’t wait until the next strong La Niña year.

[TT-SEA]

Still too cold for Tim. He needs 100*F at the very least.

 

 

115-120 is preferable.   

 

Sometimes I light myself on fire just to feel good.

[Phil]

[TT-SEA]

Heat misers are the worst.

 

I can’t wait until the next strong La Niña year.

 

 

It would have to be more sunny here for the first 10 days of July with a strong Nina... simply because it can't be any less sunny than this year. 

[TT-SEA]

Lol. I’d rather relocate to the Greenland ice sheet than experience that. ❄ >

 

 

You are full of extreme views and hyperbole.   And no matter how hard I try to bridge the gap and explain the reasons for the differences in opinion... you go right back to it.  

[Deweydog]

115-120 is preferable.

 

Sometimes I light myself on fire just to feel good.

That was actually pretty funny.

 

F*ck you.