Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[chefradish]

Can we start a GoFundMe to get Dewey reinstated?

[TT-SEA]

Day 15:

 

[ItBurnsOregon]

Daily fuzz is improving as well. I look for that forecast to start trending downward as well.

[TT-SEA]

10-15 day mean.... this looks like some EPS maps from last February.

 

[TacomaWaWx]

10-15 day mean.... this looks like some EPS maps from last February.

 

I was just about to say the same thing. Given the agreement among the other major models it seems like this could actually happen. Let’s still wait a few days before getting excited so we don’t jinx it again.

[TT-SEA]

I also don't think a weak southward push will screw us this time. The EPS was insistent on keeping the last brush with arctic air mostly to the north. Not this time.

[fubario]

I was just about to say the same thing. Given the agreement among the other major models it seems like this could actually happen. Let’s still wait a few days before getting excited so we don’t jinx it again.

 

Nah.

[GHweatherChris]

I told my wife.

[El_Nina]

If you get a dusting, I'll at best get some slush on my car windshield. This maybe my second melting slush storm of the winter. I've yet to see a pure, unadultered snowflake to fall on my property this winter.

 

With that half inch we got on the morning of the 13th(I think), eagle creek didnt see anything. The elevation is lower there, maybe similar to yours.

[Canadian guy]

I'm thinking we will see Snowwiz back on the forum tonight.

[Timmy]

I'm thinking we will see Snowwiz back on the forum tonight.

telling us we were all stupid for not jumping on this when he told us to, until models pull back and he disappears again.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I also don't think a weak southward push will screw us this time. The EPS was insistent on keeping the last brush with arctic air mostly to the north. Not this time.

Do you think we will see something before the 13th?

[Cloud]

Can we start a GoFundMe to get Dewey reinstated?

He is reinstated from but it was still his choice to deactivate his account. 

[Canadian guy]

telling us we were all stupid for not jumping on this when he told us to, until models pull back and he disappears again.

I enjoy his enthusiasm and what he has to say even if it’s unlikely to verify.

[Timmy]

I enjoy his enthusiasm and what he has to say even if it’s unlikely to verify.

i can appreciate the enthusiasm part, but his desire to become the anti-Tim it gets old fast. When he starts criticizing everyone for not listening to his enthusiasm that gets annoying. at least Tim has climo on his side.

[AJ1013]

EPS improved again. IT’S HAPPENING

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Something brewing?

[AJ1013]

Something brewing?

Things are looking really good for me. Here's the 15 day EPS for Tucson (Box and Whisker plot). I can post one of these for where you guys are if anyone is interested.

 

 

EPS snowfall output. 26/50 (52%) of members show accumulating snowfall here in Tucson with a mean of 0.1" and a median of 0.7"

 

[mtep]

Things are looking really good for me. Here's the 15 day EPS for Tucson (Box and Whisker plot). I can post one of these for where you guys are if anyone is interested.

I'd love to see one!

[AJ1013]

I'd love to see one!

For Bellingham, WA?

[Front Ranger]

He is reinstated from but it was still his choice to deactivate his account.

Dewey deactivated his account while I was gone? I guess he really did love me...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Dewey deactivated his account while I was gone? I guess he really did love me...

 

Hopefully he comes back at some point. I enjoy the salty old bugger. We missed you too. Or at least I did. 

[MossMan]

Dewey deactivated his account while I was gone? I guess he really did love me...

He was suspended and I think under protest he banned himself.

[TT-SEA]

SEA is just about to 8 inches of rain on the month... and that area has been the dry spot.

 

OLM is now at 14.31 inches for the month.   

 

Just crazy rain this month.  

[Blizzard777]

1.18" of rain so far today, now over 25" MTD!

Just 12.5 inches short of our yearly average here in Seattle!    Nice

[TT-SEA]

I think Hoquiam is close to 18 inches now

[MossMan]

Do you think we will see something before the 13th?

I have never missed an event here in my 43yrs of life...I’m really getting concerned at this point. I’m hoping we get nailed before the 16th and then go though a week of little to no notable weather but stays cool while we are gone....Kind of like last year after the big event of the 11th.

[GHweatherChris]

Just 12.5 inches short of our yearly average here in Seattle! Nice

I haven't see it like this here in a very long time, and we are way ahead of Hoquiam as well, which is a first.

[Timmy Supercell]

10-day not looking very wet at all around here.. 

[GHweatherChris]

I think Hoquiam is close to 18 inches now

So weird to have seen so much more than Hoquiam here.

[OysterPrintout]

Looking forward to this guaranteed upcoming blast dumping snow on Tiger Wood "ain't never gonna happen" Libido while I get a dusting and actuallyimtheonewhoismadbro gets 47 degree sunshine and K%% gets 11" but is still furious at Seattle next year cause they got 11.8"

[mtep]

For Bellingham, WA?

Sure! 

[Cloud]

Dewey deactivated his account while I was gone? I guess he really did love me...

There are more info if you go back a few pages. But he was suspended for a few reported posts that some may have perceived as a threat (perhaps not understanding his sarcasm) and I guess he ended up deactivating his account. Hope he comes back soon. 

 

On a lighter note, good to have you back though. Been wondering about ya. 

[MossMan]

The snow mounds are still quite tall here in Skykomish. Currently heavy rain with an occasional positive splats and 36 degrees.

[Timmy]

The snow mounds are still quite tall here in Skykomish. Currently heavy rain with an occasional positive splats and 36 degrees.

what’s a snow mound?

[OysterPrintout]

There are more info if you go back a few pages. But he was suspended for a few reported posts that some may have perceived as a threat (perhaps not understanding his sarcasm) and I guess he ended up deactivating his account. Hope he comes back soon. 

 

On a lighter note, good to have you back though. Been wondering about ya. 

 

Sorta ironically enough the whole "tim must die" stuff was always a tongue in cheek defense of Tim, though I can understand how newer members would be confused as hell about it.

What a shame. Hope he returns soon.

[Cloud]

Can't wait to see what the 18z shows in the mid to long range, on whether it continues the trend from 12z or go different direction. Based on the previous models consistency from the 12z, my guess is it will be continue the trend. 

[AJ1013]

Sure! 

Temps:

 

 

 

Snow:

 

[Blizzard777]

Something brewing?

Something Big out there!

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF:

 

 

 

 

EPS:

 

 

 

And the usual disclaimer for the 12Z runs... the charts end at 4 a.m. on the last day and that is the high temp through 4 a.m.