Jesse Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 That’s crazy how different our locations are. Ive had some years where we only got to 80 like 10 times. Only hit 80 9 times in the whole summer of 2011. Most I’ve ever had was 40 in 2015. Average is around 15-20 it seems...last year had 14.Yeah, pretty sure I live in a small, unusually hot microclimate. Most of the NW averages 2-3 80 degree days a summer to this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 The Snoqualmie Falls station has had 12 days at or above 80 so far this year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 I don’t really pay much attention to 80+ days in the Willamette Valley. Salem s average high peaks at 85 so a high of 80 at the end of July is well below average. Our average high peaks at 78, in an average year we probably see around 30-40 80+ days in an average year and about 5 90+ days. I believe Silver Falls has hit 100 a total of 7 times since 1938 with 102 in August 1972 being the all time high. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Yeah, pretty sure I live in a small, unusually hot microclimate. Most of the NW averages 2-3 80 degree days a summer to this point. It gets pretty hot down at TWLs house in Eugene pretty often it seems...could be worse! Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 57F with drizzle here. I’ve had 9 80+ days this year. Warmup coming soon. Drizzle to sizzle! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 It gets pretty hot down at TWLs house in Eugene pretty often it seems...could be worse!Well yeah, he lives in/on Silent Hill. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Word on the street is the 12z GFS is showing wall to wall heat.That’s what I expected based on Tim’s commentary but it’s actually a troughier run vs 06z. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Just looking through some of the summer stats at Silver Falls for the last few summers. Looks like the warmest observed temps in the 2010s were 96's in August 2017 and July 2015. 5 90+ days in July 2015 and August 2017. 10 90+ days in 20177 90+ days in 2015 Only 2 90+ days in 2018. Going back to the first decade of the 21st Century, we pulled off a 99 in July 2009, and a 95/67 day on 7/22/2006. I have not done a ton of digging, but I would think that is probably the warmest daily mean temp ever recorded up here. It appears that low of 67 on 7/22/06 is the warmest low on record at Silver Falls, there were a couple warmer lows recorded in 1982, but a lot of the stats from that year are wonky and do not appear legit. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 That’s what I expected based on Tim’s commentary but it’s actually a troughier run vs 06z. Really? That is what you thought? Everything I said was exactly correct. It delays the trough compared to the 00Z run... shows some rain on Thursday... and another beautiful weekend after that. I never even said the word "heat". And it was only out through day 9 when I posted... which is all that really matters at this point. Troll boy. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Just looking through some of the summer stats at Silver Falls for the last few summers. Looks like the warmest observed temps in the 2010s were 96's in August 2017 and July 2015. 5 90+ days in July 2015 and August 2017. 10 90+ days in 20177 90+ days in 2015 Only 2 90+ days in 2018. Going back to the first decade of the 21st Century, we pulled off a 99 in July 2009, and a 95/67 day on 7/22/2006. I have not done a ton of digging, but I would think that is probably the warmest daily mean temp ever recorded up here. It appears that low of 67 on 7/22/06 is the warmest low on record at Silver Falls, there were a couple warmer lows recorded in 1982, but a lot of the stats from that year are wonky and do not appear legit. Maybe trickle down gummed up the sensor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Pretty interesting to see actual rain in the models for later next week. Can't think of the last time we had rain the last week of July. This looks cool too. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Pretty interesting to see actual rain in the models for later next week. Can't think of the last time we had rain the last week of July. This looks cool too. Would really love to see this verify, Andrew. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Pretty interesting to see actual rain in the models for later next week. Can't think of the last time we had rain the last week of July. This looks cool too. It will fizzle away Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 It gets pretty hot down at TWLs house in Eugene pretty often it seems...could be worse!7 so far. There have been way worse years. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Ran into these yesterday when I was working on a project. Pretty sure I posted these before but what the heck....their dramatic enough to show again! Feb 1996 just prior to the Floods! Columbia Gorge It was a brutal day to be out taking photos but so worth it! Winds were howling !!!Picture with the railroad bridge is on the Sandy River by I-84The neat ice formation is a road that was 20 feet away from the Columbia ( spray from the wind and waves accumulating). 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 This is a fire danger pattern for eastern WA at this time of year... Red flag warning out there today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Ran into these yesterday when I was working on a project. Pretty sure I posted these before but what the heck....their dramatic enough to show again! Feb 1996 just prior to the Floods! Columbia Gorge It was a brutal day to be out taking photos but so worth it! Winds were howling !!!Picture with the railroad bridge is on the Sandy River by I-84The neat ice formation is a road that was 20 feet away from the Columbia ( spray from the wind and waves accumulating). Great pictures. And 1995-96 is actually a decent analog for the upcoming winter from an ENSO/QBO/solar perspective... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Great pictures. And 1995-96 is actually a decent analog for the upcoming winter from an ENSO/QBO/solar perspective...it’s a sign! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Great pictures. And 1995-96 is actually a decent analog for the upcoming winter from an ENSO/QBO/solar perspective... Overall that was not really a cold winter, but it was an incredibly active winter. I can see something similar verifying. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 12z GFS ensembles. Not a fan of those few members that bump us back up to +20c later next week. Definitely feels like a situation where the heat could last longer than predicted as the trough stalls offshore, though. Especially given that we are now in just about the warmest time of year climo wise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 View along our street this morning. The grass is still green and I have not even watered it. Wish it would stop raining every gosh darn day! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 12z GFS ensembles. Not a fan of those few members that bump us back up to +20c later next week. Definitely feels like a situation where the heat could last longer than predicted as the trough stalls offshore, though. Especially given that we are now in just about the warmest time of year climo wise. AAA8266A-D18D-4B54-AEF6-382AA77E70C1.png You can be so negative. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 You can be so negative.Winter cancel? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 12z GFS ensembles. Not a fan of those few members that bump us back up to +20c later next week. Definitely feels like a situation where the heat could last longer than predicted as the trough stalls offshore, though. Especially given that we are now in just about the warmest time of year climo wise.AAA8266A-D18D-4B54-AEF6-382AA77E70C1.pngThat said, there is a growing agreement on a troughy, potentially wet? period to end the month. That would be so nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Here is your positive spin for the day Andrew. 12Z Euro looks quicker with the cool down on Tuesday compared to previous runs. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 You can be so negative.Ironic coming from you. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Ironic coming from you.We are reporting and talking about the weather. Why try to start a preference war? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Euro is setting next week up as a close facsimile to this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Euro is setting next week up as a close facsimile to this week. Timing wise, indeed. But hotter on the hot days....and hopefully wetter on the cool days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 We are reporting and talking about the weather. Why try to start a preference war? Preference war? That post has nothing to do with preferences. Andrew was calling out Jesse for being negative regarding a factual post about the 12Z GEFS... when Andrew has been called out many times by Jesse for being overly-negative. Ironic. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 We are reporting and talking about the weather. Why try to start a preference war? Some are happiest spending most of their time here talking about other people (and their preferences) as opposed to talking about the weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 11 80+ days out here so far this year and we should add quite a few more next week. Still no 90+ days though. Only a few more weeks before it starts to get pretty tough to achieve 80+ out here. 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Pretty interesting to see actual rain in the models for later next week. Can't think of the last time we had rain the last week of July. This looks cool too. Contrary to what some think...I would be fine with a good soaker after the mini warm spell coming up. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Five months until CHRISTMAS EVE!!! Hallmark Channel can't wait! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 I have not said anything about anyone's preferences. And don't care. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Contrary to what some think...I would be fine with a good soaker after the mini warm spell coming up. I agree... some rain at least once a week is much preferred. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 24, 2020 Report Share Posted July 24, 2020 Congrats!! Not sure how my comment about downer Andrew calling out Jesse for being a downer has anything to do with preferences. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.