June (July) 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Anti Marine Layer]

Here’s Hurricane Douglas in the Pacific. Doesn’t look so big when it’s in the middle of the vast ocean, but when you realize it’s almost as big as Arizona...

B6970AB3-BE77-454C-93AB-1BB0739DD942.jpeg

Lots of marine layer clouds for the hurricane to plow through if it reaches the coast anywhere.

[Jesse]

Touring is always open!

Complaining is always more fun than finding alternatives.

[MossMan]

Spent the day working on the yard, it was a great day for that!

Currently sunny, breezy, and 73.

[Deweydog]

[Jesse]

[Deweydog]

I meant it!

PWUP!

[Jesse]

[Jesse]

18z ensembles looking better with the “crash” after the heat the next few days.

 

 

Euro/EPS looked better too.

[Jesse]

81/51 today with brief morning clouds, afternoon sunshine, and low humidity. Gorgeous day.

[Jesse]

Cool article and discovery. Phil?

 

https://physicsworld.com/a/earths-atmosphere-rings-like-a-giant-bell-say-researchers/?fbclid=IwAR3oGPzp1YDBoRrwJZdKGOrmfWq50ihE_Sj6HmHlODuA-c5sTbx1dhHTh0I

[Deweydog]

T’was a nice summer day.

[El_Nina]

Beautiful The Dalles.

[Jesse]

Beautiful The Dalles.20200725_171426.jpg

No dead baby cows in this pic?

[Blizzard777]

Northwest corner of Washington splitting the clouds  
kind of cool in the animation

 

currently 76*

[GobBluth]

18z ensembles looking better with the “crash” after the heat the next few days.

 

FDBC9D63-BD13-456C-AB2D-77EA0C140AAE.png

 

Euro/EPS looked better too.

Good set up for wet thunderstorms to end the pattern

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Up to 82F. Beautiful day.

[Phil]

Cool article and discovery. Phil?

 

https://physicsworld.com/a/earths-atmosphere-rings-like-a-giant-bell-say-researchers/?fbclid=IwAR3oGPzp1YDBoRrwJZdKGOrmfWq50ihE_Sj6HmHlODuA-c5sTbx1dhHTh0I

Fascinating stuff. I’m excited to see detail oriented research into fluid resonance and inertia. I’ve theorized for awhile that coupled ocean/atmosphere resonances (rooted via a combination of thermodynamic and fluid dynamic components) exist not only on the well known subseasonal/seasonal timescales, but also on centennial/millennial timescales, and affect/convey the state of the climate (as we define it) via the associated changes to the spatiodynamic nature of heat flow within the system. It’s not a coincidence that CCKWs, Branstrator cycles, ENSO, MJOs, etc, operate at the relatively static frequencies they do.

 

I believe the entire system can be viewed as a conglomeration of static and dynamic resonances with minimal chaos in the integral. Can’t really prove it, though.

[MossMan]

Lovely evening. Currently 59 degrees after a high of 74.

[Winterdog]

60F here after a high of 75F. Doubt I’ll hit the 40’s by morning but should be close.

[Front Ranger]

I'd be surprised if the resorts close off this winter, especially with our looming 1000" base at Meadows. Skiing is a pretty socially distanced activity.

 

The ski resorts were one of the first things shut down here in March, after an outbreak in ski resort counties. Skiing itself may be socially distant, but a lot of things that go along with it are not.

[MossMan]

60F here after a high of 75F. Doubt I’ll hit the 40’s by morning but should be close.

I’m currently only 5 degrees away.

[BLI snowman]

The ski resorts were one of the first things shut down here in March, after an outbreak in ski resort counties. Skiing itself may be socially distant, but a lot of things that go along with it are not.

 

 

Right...

 

www.youtube.com/watch?v=PMhJdKGkJk0

[High Desert Mat?]

49-50, 68-69, 08-09 (150 miles south), 13-14

 

Don’t forget ‘16-17’. The best winter I’ve ever seen.

[Jesse]

Don’t forget ‘16-17’. The best winter I’ve ever seen.

He was in Port Orford for all the good parts.

[Dave]

2 rats down. From the sounds of it, about 4 or 5 to go. I do think we'll hit 100 in the next 2 days. Hopefully, the only time this season.

[Dave]

Ironically 13-14 kind of sucked at the higher elevations.

It was pretty sweet at the surface. One of the few times it was the south valley's time to shine above the rest. Feb 19 was a conspiracy theory since I wasn't here to observe it and therefore it didn't happen.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

74/42 here today. Just beautiful. 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

It was pretty sweet at the surface. One of the few times it was the south valley's time to shine above the rest. Feb 19 was a conspiracy theory since I wasn't here to observe it and therefore it didn't happen.

 

Eugene probably had more snow than I did that winter. 

[Dave]

Eugene probably had more snow than I did that winter. 

Tim mentioned that we had more than him that winter. That's gotta be about a 1 in 100 winter season. He probably averages 40" or more per year up there.

 

Though, you might avg more than that at your location. I'm not gonna google myself to death, but I read a source that Detroit averages about 65" per year, which probably is more than you, but a comparable analog.

[Tyler Mode]

For the record, it's cool enough to see my breath this morning...51 degrees.

[El_Nina]

Really happy to see a chance of rain Thursday night into Friday.

[TT-SEA]

SEA and BLI are almost exactly normal for July with 5 days left... OLM is at -1.4

[Jesse]

Got down to 53 this morning. Could be around a 45 degree diurnal swing today.

[MossMan]

Hit a low of 51.

[FroYoBro]

It is pretty nice out right now. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z GFS is a little slower to bring the ULL late in the week compared to the last few runs.   It finally brings it through on Friday evening with some showers and it looks like a decent set up for convection to me.    Despite being slower... it still shows a nice weekend with highs in the low 80s in the Seattle area.   

[Jesse]

Already up to 70 here. Gorgeous morning but you can tell it's going to get very hot later on.

[Deweydog]

Gusting to 37 at Larch. Pretty formidable downslope by late July standards.

[Jesse]

Gusting to 37 at Larch. Pretty formidable downslope by late July standards.

 

In some ways this feels like more of a late summer early fall heat setup than a classic mid summer four corners pattern, with the cool system preceding it and very dry air/large diurnal temp swings.

[Deweydog]

In some ways this feels like more of a late summer early fall heat setup than a classic mid summer four corners pattern, with the cool system preceding it and very dry air/large diurnal temp swings.

Just kind of a transitory quick-hitter. Makes sense that there would be a brief window where East side surface pressures would have the potential to spike. It’s kind of a roided up version of 7-10-08.