June (July) 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Deweydog]

Toasty mid levels. Still 85 at Larch Mt. and 70 here.

 

ZR threat?

[Jesse]

Nice this heat wave has been extended through Thursday.

Our normal summer weather is finally here

[Blizzard777]

I didn't know you were in Hawaii. Stay safe!

Poor mans trip via YouTube

 

64* SE PDX,  currently at my moms place.  Coffee on and time for a walk in the neighborhood before the heat turns on! 

Federal Way currently 57*

[El_Nina]

Our normal summer weather is finally here

[MossMan]

Had a low of 59.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Had a low of 59.

 

Low of 63F here, but only made it up to 83F yesterday. I have a feeling today will end up a little warmer.

[Blizzard777]

HRRR wants fun later on in the mountains 

[TacomaWaWx]

Got down to 61 this morning already 68 degrees. We will see if we can make a run at 90! This morning is our second 60+ low this year...had 7 at this time last year.

[GobBluth]

I think clouds are moving too slow to have an impact to Portland, but areas Salem south could get their high temps knocked down a bit.

[MossMan]

Low of 63F here, but only made it up to 83F yesterday. I have a feeling today will end up a little warmer.

Yeah it’s warming rapidly now!

[ShawniganLake]

Get the jet skis and boats out. Summer is almost over.

[TacomaWaWx]

Up to 72 as of now...might surpass yesterday’s 81 degree high temp by 12-1pm.

[ShawniganLake]

The 73F reading at YYJ Victoria at 9am is an above average high for today. Gonna be a warm one.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

73F and partly cloudy skies so we should be cooler than yesterday.

[TT-SEA]

I had the sprinklers on this morning!   First time since late summer in 2018.   

 

My area has had 9 days with measureable rain this month... normal is 7 or 8 days depending on elevation out here.

 

Last July we had 14 days with measureable rain.    So this month is much closer to a typical July in that regard.   We also had 13 days with measureable rain in August last year... so with 27 days with rain in July and August in 2019 its obvious why we did not need to water for the first time in our 15 years here.    Not going to be true this year.

[Jesse]

Already up to 77 here, after a low of 61.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice day!

[Winterdog]

80F here after a low of 54F.  Like I have always said: "the warmer it gets, the hotter it feels"

[Phil]

I had the sprinklers on this morning! First time since late summer in 2018.

 

My area has had 9 days with measureable rain this month... normal is 7 or 8 days depending on elevation out here.

 

Last July we had 14 days with measureable rain. So this month is much closer to a typical July in that regard. We also had 13 days with measureable rain in August last year... so with 27 days with rain in July and August in 2019 its obvious why we did not need to water for the first time in our 15 years here. Not going to be true this year.

Good chance August is wetter than July, if I’m reading the pattern correctly. Looks fairly zonal/lacking meridional amplification.

[Deweydog]

HCS???????

[Phil]

Looks like a new upwelling wave has developed in the equatorial Pacific. OHC already dropping with the most spatially anomalous trade surge since 2011 currently ongoing.

 

Was only a matter of time given the lack of WWBs.

[TacomaWaWx]

Good chance August is wetter than July, if I’m reading the pattern correctly. Looks fairly zonal/lacking meridional amplification.

Hopefully your right! Overall your forecasts have been pretty decent so far besides saying summer would peak before the 4th. However there’s no way to be totally accurate with a long range forecast so good job.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nina building! 

[TacomaWaWx]

I had the sprinklers on this morning! First time since late summer in 2018.

 

My area has had 9 days with measureable rain this month... normal is 7 or 8 days depending on elevation out here.

 

Last July we had 14 days with measureable rain. So this month is much closer to a typical July in that regard. We also had 13 days with measureable rain in August last year... so with 27 days with rain in July and August in 2019 its obvious why we did not need to water for the first time in our 15 years here. Not going to be true this year.

Just 6 rainfall days this July here...we had 6 last year as well but had 0.99” of rain compared to 0.37” this year. Had 7 rainfall days last August.

[Phil]

Hopefully your right! Overall your forecasts have been pretty decent so far besides saying summer would peak before the 4th. However there’s no way to be totally accurate with a long range forecast so good job.

Yeah, the late June warmup dropped the ball on me.

 

Still, that was going out on a limb, even for -ENSO climo. Dynamically speaking, though, it came pretty close.

[Deweydog]

Yeah, the late June warmup dropped the ball on me.

 

Still, that was going out on a limb, even for -ENSO climo. Dynamically speaking, though, it came pretty close.

That pesky detail of the actual sensible weather got in the way.

[TT-SEA]

Just 6 rainfall days this July here...we had 6 last year as well but had 0.99” of rain compared to 0.37” this year. Had 7 rainfall days last August.

 

 

Almost 4 inches of rain here last July... and 1.5 inches this month which is much closer to normal.   Our ratios are the almost exactly the same between this July and last July with about 2.6 times as much rain last year in both places.

 

There are many troughy patterns that can result in rain here and not in your area... particularly in the summer.   But not the other way around.   Overall this has been a pretty typical July here.

[TacomaWaWx]

Yeah, the late June warmup dropped the ball on me.

Still, that was going out on a limb, even for -ENSO climo. Dynamically speaking, though, it came pretty close.

Still you’re doing a pretty good job this summer in terms of long range forecasts. Has been pretty close to predicted minus a few small scale details.

[TacomaWaWx]

Almost 4 inches of rain here last July... and 1.5 inches this month which is much closer to normal.   Our ratios are the almost exactly the same between this July and last July with about 2.6 times as much rain last year in both places.

 

There are many troughy patterns that can result in rain here and not in your area... particularly in the summer.   But not the other way around.   Overall this has been a pretty typical July here.

Has been pretty nice this summer overall. Really not much to complain about has been pretty typical and enjoyable. Only thing I could hope for is some convective chances I guess.

[Blizzard777]

Get the jet skis and boats out. Summer is almost over.

One of my trees already dropping leaves

[Phil]

Still you’re doing a pretty good job this summer in terms of long range forecasts. Has been pretty close to predicted minus a few small scale details.

Thanks man. Much appreciated.

[Blizzard777]

Has been pretty nice this summer overall. Really not much to complain about has been pretty typical and enjoyable. Only thing I could hope for is some convective chances I guess.

That’s exactly what we wants.....Convection !!! 

[ShawniganLake]

Warm out. 84F at 1130am.

[TT-SEA]

Warm out. 84F at 1130am.

Same here.

[Winterdog]

Crap it's 87F here already!  Humidity down to 49 percent which is not that low.  I'm shooting for the low 90's here anyway.

[MossMan]

Crap it's 87F here already! Humidity down to 49 percent which is not that low. I'm shooting for the low 90's here anyway.

HOTT! I love it!

[Deweydog]

We’re f*cked.

[FroYoBro]

[MossMan]

We’re f*cked.

Yep.

[Front Ranger]

OLM running +8 on yesterday. SEA and PDX +4. 

 

I'm thinking....

 

PDX: 101

SEA: 94

OLM: 96