August 2023 Weather in the PNW

[T-Town]

23 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

91 here now. 

93 here

[Rubus Leucodermis]

21 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I think SEA will be able to eek out their first 95 today.

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/writing-tips-beyond-book-211-eek-vs-eke-kris-spisak

[Deweydog]

5 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Triple digit threepeat for pdx!

Latest on record.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

What fire was it that scorched the north side of McIver Park was that from Labor Day 2020? I don't see that area as in the burn zone of the Riverside Fire, but it was a fairly substantial fire that burned on both sides of the river. 

[Gradient Keeper]

14 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

And the same thing helped make this a historic event on the coast. 95 at AST and 100 at UIL are top-tier numbers. While south of Salem, the smoke capped things.

Yup. I did manage to climb to 103.8 unfortunately.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

UW Climate Impacts group put out a climate assessment in 2009: https://cig.uw.edu/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2020/12/wacciaexecsummary638_compressed.pdf
 

The fire prediction seems too conservative in retrospect.

Comparing to other regions is tricky because you would have to run a regional climate model with the same initialization in two different regions or use a larger domain. 10-15 years ago the use of regional climate models was quite innovative and expensive computationally. 

February is just one month, I have no idea why February has been running cold lately. It could be just random chance. 

It's not rocket science, but you are beating your head against the wall here...

 

But on the positive side with the fires. We can say we are watching the death of our ecosystem and we are, in real time, at McIver and Barton parks yesterday I not only surveyed fire damage at McIver from two separate wildfire events, but was also able to see how many dead and dying conifers there were. We will see more pine and oak, madrone, etc... As the climate zones shift north. So in a sense we are experiencing the labor pains of a new beginning. 

Edited August 15, 2023 by SilverFallsAndrew

[lowlandsnow]

Out of the 16 warmest days in Seattle 6 have occurred since the turn of the century. Guessing this list would be a lot more dominated by recent years for PDX.

[Gradient Keeper]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

What fire was it that scorched the north side of McIver Park was that from Labor Day 2020? I don't see that area as in the burn zone of the Riverside Fire, but it was a fairly substantial fire that burned on both sides of the river. 

I remember it, but that one slips my mind. it wasn't the Doty Road fire? nah....

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, lowlandsnow said:

Out of the 16 warmest days in Seattle 6 have occurred since the turn of the century. Guessing this list would be a lot more dominated by recent years for PDX.

Climate change was horrendous before 1942.

[lowlandsnow]

7 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Climate change was horrendous before 1942.

Wasn't insignificant before 1942 just look at the retreat of all of Washingtons glaciers between 1850-1942. 

[NorCal55]

28 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Drunkle scores a direct hit on SoCal. Still far-fetched, but the fact the Euro showed something similar lends it a bit of credence.

That’s a crazy image! Been looking at GFS the past 15+ years and never seen that, even at 16 days out! 

[TT-SEA]

I need @Phil to explain why it's so freakin hot out here in North Bend on the very top of the mountains so high in the sky??

Interesting fact... our house here is at almost the exact same elevation as the house in Minnesota where I grew up.  Minnesota is not mountainous. 

 

[lowlandsnow]

95 at Seatac

[Cloud]

95 at 4pm. Still plenty of time to get in another degree or 2. 

[YahRaEl]

2 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said:

95 at Seatac

99° at OLM

[YahRaEl]

 this is north of Sumner and south of Auburn 

[MossMan]

48 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Kind of a bummer we didn’t get any snow going into this.

Roads are still covered up here. North wins again! 

[Cloud]

8 minutes ago, ChristheElohim said:

99° at OLM

Place to be is at Ocean Shores and westport. Hanging in the 60s and completely shielded from this heatwave 

[the_convergence_zone]

11 minutes ago, ChristheElohim said:

99° at OLM

Would be the latest (calendar year) triple digit tally on record if they can get there. The only 99 to occur at a later date was 8/16/2020. 

Probably because OLM is downwind of Sea-Tac's third runway. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Can't believe its 95 at Sea Tac. What an inferno!

[ShawniganLake]

42.1C at Lytton on the hour.  Should be a provincial record for August.  Wouldn’t surprise me if it’s a Canadian record.  

[YahRaEl]

99° Orting

[ShawniganLake]

6 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

42.1C at Lytton on the hour.  Should be a provincial record for August.  Wouldn’t surprise me if it’s a Canadian record.  

That 5th runway at Lytton international has really given their heat records an edge there.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like EUG just popped off with a 106 on the 5 min obs. 

[YahRaEl]

There we go 100° at OLM 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Officially so far the high at EUG is 104 breaking the record of 101 set ALL THE WAY BACK in 2020. 

[TT-SEA]

Today is the 54th day this year at 80+ in North Bend.   And the 9th day at 90+ degrees.

As @Phil pointed out last week... its actually been colder than normal in my area this summer.   So our normal summer high temps out here must be well into the 80s at this point because a majority of the days since mid-May have been been in the 80s and that is apparently still colder than normal.   

 

[Snownerd3000]

Oregon peeps, can you confirm?

[Kolk1604]

25 minutes ago, ChristheElohim said:

99° Orting

98 here... 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Oregon peeps, can you confirm?

Absolutely true. If I wasn't from here there is no way in hell I would live here. 

[ShawniganLake]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Today is the 54th day this year at 80+ in North Bend.   And the 9th day at 90+ degrees.

As @Phil pointed out last week... its actually been colder than normal in my area this summer.   So our normal summer high temps out here must be well into the 80s at this point because a majority of the days since mid-May have been been in the 80s and that is apparently still colder than normal.   

 

What. When did Phil make that claim?     It’s been hot for months now. 

[AlTahoe]

bizarre to have such an extreme heat wave hitting the Pnw and not us. It is 59F with rain here currently. Mammoth had evaporative cooling snow showers today. 

Hopefully next week's tropical moisture makes it up into the pnw!

 

 

[YahRaEl]

8 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

98 here... 

[MossMan]

My work computer says it’s over. 

[T-Town]

95 here. 

[Cold Snap]

Definitely some smoke over the Cascades. Got a few pictures of Mount Rainier surrounded by a layer of smoke on the plane a little while ago.

[YahRaEl]

96° McChord (TCM) and 99° Spanaway so far made it 95° here at Eastside Tacoma 

[TT-SEA]

21 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

What. When did Phil make that claim?     It’s been hot for months now. 

He did... posted a map showing its been colder than normal east of Seattle this summer and sarcastically told me to write them a letter if I think its actually been a warm summer here because it has not been.  

High today up here on the very top of a very high mountain in North Bend was 98.    High temp in Brunswick GA was 96.    My flip flops should melt faster than his.   

[Skagit Weather]

At least two new fires emerged in the North Cascades today (one near Buckindy Peak and one near Washington Pass along Highway 20) in addition to the 3 already burning there. They've probably been smoldering since the last round of lightning and all kicked it into high gear in the last couple days because of the wind.

[TT-SEA]

Anxiously awaiting Friday.

18Z ECMWF shows wall-to-wall sun and upper 70s.