August 2023 Weather in the PNW

[BLI snowman]

Euro almost landfalls that sucker in CA, albeit probably as a depression by that point.

 

[TT-SEA]

Looks like it will run out of steam before making it to western WA... but might reach the Oregon Cascades.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Looks like it will run out of steam before making it to western WA... but might reach the Oregon Cascades.

wud bring dy litning?

[TT-SEA]

Could be huge for CA... would really help keep everything in check down there.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

58 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Do you have a HEPA filter or at least a box fan and some MERV 13 filters?

If not, too late to buy them for this year but something to put on the list before next year’s smoke season.

cnt affrd them n our hous is smal on brcks no one hirs me fr wrk n i appl lot plases

[TT-SEA]

Sprawling ridge at the end of the 12Z ECMWF. 

[TT-SEA]

SEA is +1 at noon compared to yesterday. 

[Cloud]

Wunderground temp maps showing quite a few places in W.Wa already hitting 90 at noon. Wouldn’t surprise me to see century mark today for some locations

[Rubus Leucodermis]

About even with yesterday IMBY.

[lowlandsnow]

2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

About even with yesterday IMBY.

Looking increasingly likely that your warmest temp this year won't occur in summer.

[GobBluth]

NWS obs page down?

[Tanis Leach]

3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Portland NWS rode with the NBM back in February and failed hard. 

The last 3 severe events (Ice/Sleet Dec. 2022, Snow 2023, Heat Aug. 2023) the NBM failed on all 3 times. I do remember hearing that the NWS Portland wanted to go away from it, but there's pressure from higher up (don't quote me on the last part since I'm not 100% sure on that)

[GobBluth]

Just now, Tanis Leach said:

The last 3 severe events (Ice/Sleet Dec. 2022, Snow 2023, Heat Aug. 2023) the NBM failed on all 3 times. I do remember hearing that the NWS Portland wanted to go away from it, but there's pressure from higher up (don't quote me on the last part since I'm not 100% sure on that)

Irony is now the Portland NWS overpromotes it in their AFD more than any neighboring office.

[lowlandsnow]

2 minutes ago, Tanis Leach said:

The last 3 severe events (Ice/Sleet Dec. 2022, Snow 2023, Heat Aug. 2023) the NBM failed on all 3 times. I do remember hearing that the NWS Portland wanted to go away from it, but there's pressure from higher up (don't quote me on the last part since I'm not 100% sure on that)

Didn't see what the NBM forecasted for Willamette Valley but was fairly accurate for Aug 2023 for Seattle, the Tri-Cities and Portland.

[Tyler Mode]

90 as of 1230, running -7 from yesterday.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 minutes ago, Tanis Leach said:

The last 3 severe events (Ice/Sleet Dec. 2022, Snow 2023, Heat Aug. 2023) the NBM failed on all 3 times. I do remember hearing that the NWS Portland wanted to go away from it, but there's pressure from higher up (don't quote me on the last part since I'm not 100% sure on that)

Wouldn’t surprise me. Most of us here (interested amateurs, not trained pros) just couldn’t understand why NWS Portland was ignoring how the Euro was shouting from on high that a big snowstorm was coming last February. I sort of chalked it up to bureaucratic pressure. Just about the only thing that could explain it.

[NWbyNW]

I asked earlier but no one answered. Why are site 'reactions' not working? When I try to click a reaction button it says "there was a problem reacting to this content." Does administration know? Will it be fixed? 

 

It has not worked since August 11th. 

[the_convergence_zone]

58 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

No other region in the US is seeing the sort of summer extremes that the PNW is seeing. So saying "it's the same everywhere" is simply not accurate. 

On short timescales, local climate fluctuations will always trump global climate warming. 

It's obviously not the same everywhere. That's why people run regional climate models. 

What do you mean by "fluctuations"? The ENSO cycle? Our summers do not seem to care much about ENSO or the PDO lately...

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Temperature round-up / 24hr Temp Change

8/15/23 12:45 PM

 

- 12 PM

[Oregon Coast]
Astoria: 76, -11
Tillamook: 79, -16
Newport: 70, -5
Florence: 70, -9
North Bend: 76, +9
Brookings: 82, +12

 

[PDX-Vancouver Metro, Southwest Washington, Northern Willamette Valley]
Portland: 91, -1
Troutdale: 93, -1
Vancouver: 90, -3
Kelso: 91, +3
Scappoose: 91, -6
Hillsboro: 92, -6
McMinnville: 88, -8
Aurora: 89, -5

 

[Central/Southern Willamette Valley, Southern Oregon]
Salem: 91, -- no change
Corvallis: 89, -2
Eugene: 94, +6
Roseburg: 95, +3
Grants Pass: Unable to retrieve data
Medford: 93, +1
Klamath Falls: Unable to retrieve data

[Dave]

The official sensor for Eugene/Springfield has us at 364 AQI. It's definitely in Turd Ferguson territory.

https://www.lrapa.org/

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, Dave said:

The official sensor for Eugene/Springfield has us at 364 AQI. It's definitely in Turd Ferguson territory.

https://www.lrapa.org/

[T-Town]

86 here. About 4 degrees ahead of yesterday. We lost our nice northerly breeze from the last couple days. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

[Gradient Keeper]

1:03 PM near West Gresham

Temp: 98.4, -2.4 the cooling has begun!

[Cold Snap]

Got my 2nd 90 burger of the year yesterday. Had a low of 61 this morning. Up to 89 IMBY.

[TacomaWx]

14 minutes ago, T-Town said:

86 here. About 4 degrees ahead of yesterday. We lost our nice northerly breeze from the last couple days. 

Yeah it should definitely hit 90 here. 86 as well on this side of town. We’ve hit 89 3 times this year so I guess we’re due. 

[TacomaWx]

Today is the 29th +80F high temp…and the 11th +85F temp. Hopefully we’re done with +85F weather after this round of warm temps. 

[icyasf]

Been a while since I’ve posted on here. Currently 93 with air quality getting worse pretty quickly in Corvallis.

[Tyler Mode]

8.15.23 1 PM

Onshore flow is slowly returning. The map depicts the temperature change compared to yesterday, with most areas from 5-10 degrees cooler in SW Washington/NW Oregon.

Some spots on the coast are 15-20 degrees cooler.

For western Washington it's more of a mixed bag of warmer/cooler.

In addition humidity has come up quite a bit, especially at the coast,

Cooler today, but a bit more moisture may make it feel more muggy.

[MossMan]

What is wrong with people…

https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/video-stargazers-trample-mt-rainier-meadows/9de90dc4-7ab4-4ea6-b540-7c059857bf41/ 

[Phishy Wx]

currently 96

[FroYoBro]

2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

currently 96

Beating me by one so far.

[T-Town]

90 now. Big difference without the breeze. 

[Gradient Keeper]

1:54 PM near West Gresham

Temp: 98.6, -4.9 !!!!

[Front Ranger]

51 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

It's obviously not the same everywhere. That's why people run regional climate models. 

What do you mean by "fluctuations"? The ENSO cycle? Our summers do not seem to care much about ENSO or the PDO lately...

Phil could get more into the drivers than me, but there are clearly local, short term climate trends that are not directly a result of more greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.

For example: the lackluster PNW winters 1998-2006. The run of cold/snowy late winters lately.

Here in Denver, 12 of the last 14 Februaries have run colder than the long term average. Meanwhile, prior to this summer we saw 7 consecutive well above normal Julys.

[Gradient Keeper]

34 minutes ago, MossMan said:

What is wrong with people…

https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/video-stargazers-trample-mt-rainier-meadows/9de90dc4-7ab4-4ea6-b540-7c059857bf41/ 

What a bunch of friggin dicks. People like that who are selfish and disrespectful to both the wild and people deserve a most terrible fate.

00z GFS in 6 hours 38 minutes

[Phishy Wx]

2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Phil could get more into the drivers than me, but there are clearly local, short term climate trends that are not directly a result of more greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.

For example: the lackluster PNW winters 1998-2006. The run of cold/snowy late winters lately.

Here in Denver, 12 of the last 14 Februaries have run colder than the long term average. Meanwhile, prior to this summer we saw 7 consecutive well above normal Julys.

or just more 'extremes' in either direction

[TacomaWx]

3 minutes ago, T-Town said:

90 now. Big difference without the breeze. 

Some places may end up slightly cooler than yesterday, but other places near the sound with less of a sea breeze today will be the hottest day. 89 so far and hiding in the AC room. 

[Gradient Keeper]

2:01 PM: 99.0 but struggling to warm much further. Light SW breeze

[Omegaraptor]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Sprawling ridge at the end of the 12Z ECMWF. 

YES!!!! More red over Oregon!!!