August 2023 Observations and Discussion

[chescowxman]

We picked up 0.53" of rain since last night here in East Nantmeal. More humid today with showers possible through tonight. Clearing for the weekend with lower humidity and back to below normal temperatures by Sunday. Much of the upcoming final week of August looks to be near to below normal. This will result in August finishing with below normal temperatures. In fact this will make 3 of the last 4 months with below normal temperatures. This is the 1st time we have experienced 3 of 4 consecutive months with below normal temps since the 1st 4 months of 2018.

Records for today: High 97 (1909) / Low 40 (1927) / Rain 2.45" (1957)

[Clinton]

The heat is going out with a bang today.  It's currently 104 with a heat index of 110.  EAX broke a record for 2nd consecutive day.

For the second consecutive day we have set a record high here at the office in Pleasant Hill. We are currently at 102 degrees breaking the old record of 101 set in 2000. Records at the the office date back 28 years to 1995 (and yes, 1995 was 28 years ago!!).
#LetTheDenialSetIn  
#KCHeat

[Andie]

Change  coming!
Sunday 104     20% chance rain

Monday 96.     30% chance of rain. 

Edit: We’re in the top 10 cities -wup.

 

[CentralNebWeather]

Going to be at least a 3 hour weather delay for our game here. Been pouring for 2 hours. Lots of lightning. 

[CentralNebWeather]

Well, we stayed until after 10 pm, but the rain and lightning kept coming back. Any lightning strike in a 10 mile radius is a 30 minute wait. We were ready to start at 9:40, but then storms came back. Our opponent is Sidney, over 3 hours away in the Panhandle. They chose to drive back home tonight, and drive back here tomorrow for a 5 pm game. Over 1.5” and still raining. Temp in the 60’s. Heat wave is over. 

[westMJim]

It was a cooler, much calmer day yesterday. The official H/L at Grand Rapids was 78/68 the sun was out just 11% of the time. A trace of rain fall was recorded at GRR. The state high yesterday was 85 at Iron Mountain and the state low was 54 at Ironwood both in the UP. For today the average H/L is 80/60 the record high of 95 was set in 1948 and 1973 the record low of 42 was set in 1945. The record rain fall amount of 2.07” fell in 1986. Last year the H/L was 78/63 and there was 0.03” of rain fall.

Note with a chance of temperatures falling below 50 this next week that the last time it fell below 50 was June 13 at Grand Rapids, 14th at Lansing, the 17th at Holland and the 18th at Muskegon.

[Clinton]

What a change coming today with high temps near 80 and maybe some rain.  Heat wave is over!!!!!

[Tom]

1 hour ago, westMJim said:

It was a cooler, much calmer day yesterday. The official H/L at Grand Rapids was 78/68 the sun was out just 11% of the time. A trace of rain fall was recorded at GRR. The state high yesterday was 85 at Iron Mountain and the state low was 54 at Ironwood both in the UP. For today the average H/L is 80/60 the record high of 95 was set in 1948 and 1973 the record low of 42 was set in 1945. The record rain fall amount of 2.07” fell in 1986. Last year the H/L was 78/63 and there was 0.03” of rain fall.

Note with a chance of temperatures falling below 50 this next week that the last time it fell below 50 was June 13 at Grand Rapids, 14th at Lansing, the 17th at Holland and the 18th at Muskegon.

I wonder where @jaster220is at?  He must have finally got hit in the western Detroit burbs.  Didn't he move around there?

[CentralNebWeather]

62 degrees with a dew in the 50’s and a north wind at 8:30 this morning. Wonderful Saturday. Make up football game at 5 pm this afternoon. College football on TV today. Life is good. 

[chescowxman]

Still humid today before a secondary cold front moves through later this evening. Cooler and much less humid tomorrow. After today temperatures should remain mostly below normal for the rest of the upcoming week.

Records for today: High 98 (1900) / Low 46 (1944) / Rain 2.91" (1908)

[Andie]

Monday begins 4 days in the high to mid 90’s.   Rain expected Monday.  
This is the reprieve we’ve all been praying for.  The land is showing the strain, browning out.  Wildlife has vanished to the lake.  This has been a summer without birds and very little other wildlife.  Everything is in survival mode until temps drop and a real rain arrives. 
Fall can’t arrive soon enough for the southern quarter of the forum.  
 

Oh, today is National Dog Day.  
Very apropos!  

[hawkstwelve]

We made it through the nasty heatwave!! Woohoo!

It is an incredibly refreshing 64 degrees with a DP of 60 and partly cloudy skies. Should top out in the upper 70s today. Late summer perfection!

[Tom]

I’m enjoying a stiff NNE wind off the lake with a temp of 74F, DP’s dropping all day into the 50’s tomorrow.   Glad to have turned off the A/C and let in some fresh air.  Have we turned the corner?  Still some heat can be possible for Labor Day weekend but I think prolonged heat waves are not likely in the foreseeable future.  

[Black Hole]

Still nasty here, 95/75 right now. But we've got a northerly wind blowing with temps in the 80s and dew points in the 60s not too far away. Tomorrow will be much better than its been. 

[Jayhawker85]

Forecast was a major bust for today. It was supposed to be sunny and 90 with 80% chance of storms tomorrow and 1 inch of rain. Instead it rained today and recorded .02 and expected to be sunny and cool tomorrow. Sigh!

[clintbeed1993]

Another heat wave looks likely for early September...really pissing me off

[Andie]

Ah now, …we haven’t even enjoyed this reprieve and now talk of more heat.  Texans are getting very short tempered.  

Edit:    Our official High - 110*   
Breaks our old record  

 

[Tom]

Gosh, the Yoopers up north must be thinking to themselves..."Where the heck is Summer?"  Looks like Autumn has come early up there...the 1st Frost Advisory's of the season...kinda early, ay?  Nature must be saying something.

 

 

 

Those are some chilly temps up there... @Madtownyou got the fireplace cooking??

 

[Andie]

Send them south to Texas, Tom. Summer is alive and well.  
 

Small mercy today.  
Currently  86 at 6 am.  
On our way to 97.

 

 

[westMJim]

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 76/61 there was no rain fall. The sun was out 51% of the time. The state high yesterday was 83 at Muskegon and the state low was 53 at Marquette. The coolest high was also at Marquette with a high of just 58. In the UP only Sault Ste Marie  with a high of 72 got above 70. For today the average H/L is 80/60 the record high of 95 was set in 1948 and 1953 the record low of 42 was set in 1915. The record rain fall amount of 2.08” fell in 1921. Last year the H/L was 80/57 and there was no rain fall.

You know summer is mostly over when there is a mention of lows maybe reaching the 30’s. The week ahead looks to be rather cool with highs in the low to mid 70’s for the most part. Lows should be in the upper 40’s to low 50’s to start then warming up to the 80’s for highs for the weekend with lows in the 60’s by then.

[westMJim]

32 minutes ago, Tom said:

Gosh, the Yoopers up north must be thinking to themselves..."Where the heck is Summer?"  Looks like Autumn has come early up there...the 1st Frost Advisory's of the season...kinda early, ay?

Summers are short in the UP. It has now dropped to 32 at Land of Lakes.

[jaster220]

1 hour ago, westMJim said:

Summers are short in the UP. It has now dropped to 32 at Land of Lakes.

When summer happens on a Sunday, they do a picnic! 

[Black Hole]

Made it down to 75/69 this morning. Not exactly feeling like fall but at least you could tell it felt a bit better. We've got a couple of ok days coming up but still looks like more summer weather for the first half of September. 

[OKwx2k4]

13 hours ago, clintbeed1993 said:

Another heat wave looks likely for early September...really pissing me off

Coming on to say the same thing. There will be some late-season heat records broken in the opening weeks of September. 

[jaster220]

What does it take to get me on the board(s) during the warm months??

How about the most active severe period in 12 years for mby. Extreme electrical storm and major flooding, followed in under 24 hrs by severe winds and minor tornado! 

DTX tardy with their promise of TOR tracks, but here's their write-up as of this morning:

August 24, 2023 Evening Tornadoes & Severe Weather Event

Local news reel coverage right here in Canton just a mile or so SW of me:

Five dead, hundreds of thousands without power in Michigan as storms spawn tornadoes (msn.com)

Worst flooding for me since the late winter of 2018 in SWMI as the K'zoo river went wildly over it's banks. Here at the complex we managed to keep power against all odds. Which was nice since it would've been our 3rd outage of 2023. Have to admit it's been a very active storm year at my new locale. Have a long history of that happening whenever I move somewhere new. 

@Tom - yes, we have already had some days that felt like late September. Pretty sure this will be a classic "strong Nino brings early autumn" year like 1981. I have plans to walk the Mighty Mac on Labor Day. Last LD up north was chilly jacket wx, and it may be even colder this year. 

Hope all are well. Not going to be hyped for much winter as strong Nino's almost always mean dry/warm/boring for the snow enthusiasts in SMI. 

My daughter was very scared as she found herself alone driving through the storm that was forming the EF2 twister that flipped vehicles on I-96 in Eaton Cnty. Thankfully it wasn't quite on the ground yet and she got home with minor car damage after running into downed trees. She told me she has dash cam footage and will show me some time when we get together. Stay Safe everyone! 

[Andie]

More than 30,000 acres have burned since local fire departments, volunteers and the National Guard started battling the fire, which started Tuesday morning. By Wednesday, the first mandatory evacuations went out for parts of Singer, Louisiana, with evacuation orders issued for other communities in the days that followed.

"It's burning very intensely," said Mike Strain, Louisiana Commissioner of Agriculture and Forestry. "It's moving pretty fast, and you can feel the air picking up. That's from the heat of the fire sucking air into the fire." 

https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/entire-louisiana-town-evacuated-wildfire

[Black Hole]

EPS ensemble mean in the extended matches with the GEFS mean overall. Looks like a big blocking ridge in the Aleutians with a downstream trough over the PNW. This helps to pump up the ridge over the rest of the CONUS leading to a very warm and dry pattern through at least mid September. 

Subtropical jet is pretty apparent riding the base of the trough and western side of the ridge. 

In theory, the changing of the seasonal wavelengths and the equatorward shift of the jet should shake this up at some point. 

[chescowxman]

Today should be near normal high temps for the day at near 80 degrees. Of note we have only reached the 80 degree mark 11 times through the first 26 days of August. Dry weather continues till towards Tuesday AM when shower chances ramp up. Sun returns on Wednesday but temperature look to remain below normal for the entire upcoming week.

Records for today: High 98 (1900) / Low 46 (1968) / Rain 5.25" (1971)

[OKwx2k4]

1 hour ago, Black Hole said:

EPS ensemble mean in the extended matches with the GEFS mean overall. Looks like a big blocking ridge in the Aleutians with a downstream trough over the PNW. This helps to pump up the ridge over the rest of the CONUS leading to a very warm and dry pattern through at least mid September. 

Subtropical jet is pretty apparent riding the base of the trough and western side of the ridge. 

In theory, the changing of the seasonal wavelengths and the equatorward shift of the jet should shake this up at some point. 

Yeah. Last place on the planet you want a ridge right now except for here is in the Bering Sea. I still say better now than in winter though. 

[Tom]

3 hours ago, jaster220 said:

What does it take to get me on the board(s) during the warm months??

How about the most active severe period in 12 years for mby. Extreme electrical storm and major flooding, followed in under 24 hrs by severe winds and minor tornado! 

DTX tardy with their promise of TOR tracks, but here's their write-up as of this morning:

August 24, 2023 Evening Tornadoes & Severe Weather Event

Local news reel coverage right here in Canton just a mile or so SW of me:

Five dead, hundreds of thousands without power in Michigan as storms spawn tornadoes (msn.com)

Worst flooding for me since the late winter of 2018 in SWMI as the K'zoo river went wildly over it's banks. Here at the complex we managed to keep power against all odds. Which was nice since it would've been our 3rd outage of 2023. Have to admit it's been a very active storm year at my new locale. Have a long history of that happening whenever I move somewhere new. 

@Tom - yes, we have already had some days that felt like late September. Pretty sure this will be a classic "strong Nino brings early autumn" year like 1981. I have plans to walk the Mighty Mac on Labor Day. Last LD up north was chilly jacket wx, and it may be even colder this year. 

Hope all are well. Not going to be hyped for much winter as strong Nino's almost always mean dry/warm/boring for the snow enthusiasts in SMI. 

My daughter was very scared as she found herself alone driving through the storm that was forming the EF2 twister that flipped vehicles on I-96 in Eaton Cnty. Thankfully it wasn't quite on the ground yet and she got home with minor car damage after running into downed trees. She told me she has dash cam footage and will show me some time when we get together. Stay Safe everyone! 

Glad to see you back on here…I knew you had to be enjoying the severe wx…with no injuries and damage of course.

[OKwx2k4]

If the latest 12z runs of the GFS are to be believed, in 10-11 days Andie will be the closest of us all who are under the heat dome to average temperatures.

In the meantime I'm going to enjoy the cooldowns. It feels great after oppressive heat to even go back to average, let alone below average for a few.

[hawkstwelve]

I think I just threw up in my mouth a little bit...

[Black Hole]

5 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

I think I just threw up in my mouth a little bit...

The good news is, you can throw this out the window because of the GFS warm bias. But that doesn't mean it won't be hot. Maybe 100F instead of 112F. 

 

[Tom]

23 hours ago, Tom said:

I’m enjoying a stiff NNE wind off the lake with a temp of 74F, DP’s dropping all day into the 50’s tomorrow.   Glad to have turned off the A/C and let in some fresh air.  Have we turned the corner?  Still some heat can be possible for Labor Day weekend but I think prolonged heat waves are not likely in the foreseeable future.  

Man, the ensembles are pure blow torch Labor Day weekend through mid month...it's a day like today that you have to sit back and just soak it in...75F, blue skies and a 51F DP...just beautiful!

[Andie]

Could someone please identify this aerial phenomenon?   I’m all confused!

[Clinton]

Sometimes the GFS does well in the long range. @Andieyour relief is showing up.

[Hoosier]

3 hours ago, Tom said:

Man, the ensembles are pure blow torch Labor Day weekend through mid month...it's a day like today that you have to sit back and just soak it in...75F, blue skies and a 51F DP...just beautiful!

Yeah, we haven't seen the last of the heat by any stretch.  Might not get to 100 again at ORD, but it's a warm look overall.

[Andie]

81 with that front.  Awesome. 
Smells like rain. Awesome. 
I’ll take that big Low crawling into Texas!   Let’s hope it makes into a Okla as well !

[OKwx2k4]

3 hours ago, Andie said:

81 with that front.  Awesome. 
Smells like rain. Awesome. 
I’ll take that big Low crawling into Texas!   Let’s hope it makes into a Okla as well !

I'd take it. Ground will be pretty dry by then.

[Andie]

Without irrigation we’re powder dry.  
But it was a nice change.  Temp didn’t change much.