January Weather In The PNW 2024 (Part III) - The Warming Shot

[Phishy Wx]

31 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

September and October are the best months along the central CA coast.

This, often the warmest.  its offshore wind season.  Dry and Hot.  high fire risk.

[MossMan]

Looked a bit threatening to the south as I was driving home just now. 

[Deweydog]

Lightening!

[Ken in Wood Village]

Just had a big thunderstorms come through with hail, heavy rain and lightning to the northeast of me

[Randyc321]

4 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

What is with these stupid temperatures today?  Some places are in the mid 50s with normal 850s.  Thankfully I have just a tiny bit of east wind here keeping the warm air to the west.  49/40 for the day s far.

I guess the only to say about the final average temps for the month is at least they will be lower than most recent Januaries.

I have frogs outside tonight.   Had a couple last night, but they’re singing tonight. 
47 here.  Wet all day.  .53 for the 5.71 for the month.  
 

 

[RentonHill]

Today in weather history 

[Ken in Wood Village]

Looks like the threat of thunderstorms are not over wonder if it could go through the night

[Roman-Dallas Snow-Zone]

Some of the heaviest rain I’ve seen in years just hit me. Felt tropical yet nice and chilly too

[Anti Marine Layer]

55 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Today in weather history 

Is that the Weather Guide Phenomenal Events Desktop Calendar?

[Ken in Wood Village]

Here comes another line of heavy showers and maybe a thunderstorm too. If you look closely, there is a little red with the green which means a little rotation south of Newberg 

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Lightening!

Misspelling

[Blizzard777]

Wow! Some fun stuff going on down south 

[Phil]

Both the extended range EPS and GEFS have a strong Alaska ridge signal starting mid-Feb. Interesting.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

15 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Misspelling

That was a really productive and necessary comment, the forum thanks you for that.

[Ken in Wood Village]

With these heavy showers, I have over an inch of rain today. I'll be adding a lot more with this heavy showers coming up soon. 

[MossMan]

PHIL’S ONBOARD!!! IT’S COMING! 

[Blizzard777]

12 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

With these heavy showers, I have over an inch of rain today. I'll be adding a lot more with this heavy showers coming up soon. 

Drain in front of my daughters garage in Tigard couldn’t keep up.  Glad it was short lived 

[Blizzard777]

It’s going to dark green on me!!!   Booooooo 

 

[Blizzard777]

15 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

With these heavy showers, I have over an inch of rain today. I'll be adding a lot more with this heavy showers coming up soon. 

Do you have a rain rate on your machine…curious what the reading is

[Ken in Wood Village]

1 minute ago, Blizzard777 said:

Do you have a rain rate on your machine…curious what the reading is

It shows 51.5dBZ. It's windy too.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Really interesting 00z runs…

[Cascadia_Wx]

Ended up with a 50/40 day here. Some pretty tremendous downpours at points this late afternoon and early evening. I guess I just missed a big one with some lightning right before I got home. Lots of localized street flooding on the drive.

Had another very heavy shower with gusty winds and some of the heaviest rain I’ve seen in months just about a half hour ago. Some surprisingly dynamic stuff for typical late January troughing. Just over an inch on the day so far, over 8” mtd.

[snow_wizard]

It would be amazing if we get it again so soon.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

I'm surprised people on this forum aren't going nuts right now. If this run had happened in December there'd be 10 comments a minute, but yall are just really burnt out aren't ya? Glad to see the end of the models are getting fun again!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

That GFS run was good and very close to great. 

[Doinko]

4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Ended up with a 50/40 day here. Some pretty tremendous downpours at points this late afternoon and early evening. I guess I just missed a big one with some lightning right before I got home. Lots of localized street flooding on the drive.

Had another very heavy shower with gusty winds and some of the heaviest rain I’ve seen in months just about a half hour ago. Some surprisingly dynamic stuff for typical late January troughing. Just over an inch on the day so far, over 8” mtd.

Pretty fun to see extreme downpours, lightning, and hail with some isolated snow piles still around.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That GFS run was good and very close to great. 

Yep. If it trended maybe 5 degrees colder, the pnw would be in for an awesome February.

[snow_wizard]

21 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Really interesting 00z runs…

Big time blocking back in the picture.  Almost anything becomes possible.  I'm intrigued that a pretty major cold event is at least looking possible with this.  Even the control on today's weeklies showed some good stuff.

[Cascadia_Wx]

5 hours ago, Omegaraptor said:

High of 57 in Corvallis with sunshine. Doesn’t feel like winter.

Yet very oddly, not a peep from you when we had our coldest daytime temps in years last week. That was VERY wintery. But I guess weather is only worth reporting on when it’s some sort of half baked complaint or dis on our climate  

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

I'm surprised people on this forum aren't going nuts right now. If this run had happened in December there'd be 10 comments a minute, but yall are just really burnt out aren't ya? Glad to see the end of the models are getting fun again!

We just need to get through this ugly 3 or 4 day torch coming up.  Monthly averages could have ended up pretty good for Jan if not for that.  As it is the final numbers will be a lot better than most recent Januaries.  Places like Whatcom County could still do pretty good.

[Cascadia_Wx]

6 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Pretty fun to see extreme downpours, lightning, and hail with some isolated snow piles still around.

I was thinking the same thing. It’s been a pretty fun ride the past few weeks.

[Slushy Inch]

9 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Pretty much always the case by February!    I think February is going to end up warm in the overall this year... all of spring actually.

February is winter! And I doubt it!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Big time blocking back in the picture.  Almost anything becomes possible.  I'm intrigued that a pretty major cold event is at least looking possible with this.  Even the control on today's weeklies showed some good stuff.

The pattern gets a little lost with energy cutting off to the west, but stays decent and then gets really good at the end. This run and the GEM have big time potential. California is going to get pounded too.

I am also watching that Thursday/Friday system for anafront potential. That’s a system with a huge moisture tap and a lot of cold air behind it, if it stalls out things could get interesting. 

[snow_wizard]

GEFS is colder tonight.  Mean 850s are below -5 on Feb 3.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Down to 30 now, high of 41 low of 26 today. This weather makes our current half of foot of snow remaining disgusting and messy. Decent day working up at mt bachelor, good conditions still holding on, but this upcoming torch is really gonna suck.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

11 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

I'm surprised people on this forum aren't going nuts right now. If this run had happened in December there'd be 10 comments a minute, but yall are just really burnt out aren't ya? Glad to see the end of the models are getting fun again!

Not really all that interesting here so...yeah.

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The pattern gets a little lost with energy cutting off to the west, but stays decent and then gets really good at the end. This run and the GEM have big time potential. California is going to get pounded too.

I am also watching that Thursday/Friday system for anafront potential. That’s a system with a huge moisture tap and a lot of cold air behind it, if it stalls out things could get interesting. 

Good point about that system next week.  I've seen it go from 60 degree pineapple juice to snow in less than 12 hour before in cases like that.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Down to 30 now, high of 41 low of 26 today. This weather makes our current half of foot of snow remaining disgusting and messy. Decent day working up at mt bachelor, good conditions still holding on, but this upcoming torch is really gonna suck.

Yeah....nobody is going to escape that torch.  Thankfully we don't get it as bad as some places east of here.

[BLI snowman]

Lost in the shuffle somewhat is how wet it's been across NW OR and SW WA. PDX's rainfall today puts them over 7.40" on the month, with a ton more on the way. Looking like a double digit month there. The only other 10"+ Januaries at PDX are 1950, 1953, 1956, 1970, and 2006.

Edited January 25 by BLI snowman

[Phishy Wx]

18 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

I'm surprised people on this forum aren't going nuts right now. If this run had happened in December there'd be 10 comments a minute, but yall are just really burnt out aren't ya? Glad to see the end of the models are getting fun again!

probably because its clown range GFS