March 2024 Weather in the PNW

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

It makes a big difference everywhere in the Pacific Northwest. I've always figured that each 100 feet in elevation gain makes about a 15% increase in average snowfall. That means each 500 feet pretty much exactly doubles expected snow in a given year.

The reason it makes such a huge differnece here compared to most of the rest of the country is the temperature is almost always right around freezing for our potential snow events. That's just as true in the Wilammete Valley as around Puget Sound. Only exception really is up the Fraser River Valley North of Bellingham and well East of Portland deeper into the Gorge where there is more contintentla influence during snow events and elevation often doesn't matter.

100%

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Wow

It’s coming. 

[DeepFriedEgg]

That AK block is beautiful. Just need kona low a scooch west

[DeepFriedEgg]

567 to Anchorage

[Front Ranger]

26 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

I heard they had a job opening for Technical Climate Change Skeptic.  Requires at least a Masters Degree in Bull Shiit.  figured you'd like to apply

AGW alarmism skeptic. 

Get over it.

[Slushy Inch]

Nice Druncle run 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yep.

Sigh.

[DeepFriedEgg]

3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Nice Druncle run 

Too bad it doesn't go to hr 500 

[DeepFriedEgg]

1 minute ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Sigh.

About as likely Nvidia passing Apple in market cap. Oh wait...

[RaleighHillsRunner]

31 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

The 12z EURO shows strong offshore flow at day 10. This weekend is looking wet but next weekend is starting to look nice and sunny. We will also be able to enjoy one extra hour of daylight now in the evenings since we turn ahead the clocks this weekend.  

 

 

I’m ready. Hoping for a great Spring Break week later on this month  

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, DeepFriedEgg said:

Too bad it doesn't go to hr 500 

Then we would be able to see the next historic heatwave

[DeepFriedEgg]

Only dropped below freezing for a glorious 30 mins with the first trough early last week. Hopefully that number increases tonight.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Unbelievable BLAST! 

[DeepFriedEgg]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Unbelievable BLAST! 

-10C 850s up and down the I5 corridor! Tiger finally gets his upper-level blast... in March!

[Phishy Wx]

Lol a Mid march Druncle ice blast?

Uh huh

sure thing

 

[Phishy Wx]

is this the result of the recent SSW?

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

is this the result of the recent SSW?

I mean... its the 18Z GFS at 300 hours.

Here is the EPS for the 10-15 day period.    We have a little way to go yet.  

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

I mean... its the 18Z GFS at 300 hours.

Here is the EPS for the 10-15 day period.    We have a little way to go yet.  

You can see an obvious retrogression that doesn’t get there, use 500 mb heights.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

You can see an obvious retrogression that doesn’t get there, use 500 mb heights.

For sure... but will the EPS cave to the 18Z GFS and evolve from that to an arctic blast?     Time will tell.  

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

For sure... but will the EPS cave to the 18Z GFS and evolve from that to an arctic blast?     Time will tell.  

We would never hear from @Phil again. 

[MossMan]

I believe the GFS was the first to catch on to our current a few weeks ago! 

[Snowlova]

March cold is surely possible, but lets just say you might as well flip a coin and have it land on its side for this to verify

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I believe the GFS was the first to catch on to our current a few weeks ago! 

Ohhh it can totally happen.    

[BLI snowman]

48 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

It makes a big difference everywhere in the Pacific Northwest. I've always figured that each 100 feet in elevation gain makes about a 15% increase in average snowfall. That means each 500 feet pretty much exactly doubles expected snow in a given year.

The reason it makes such a huge differnece here compared to most of the rest of the country is the temperature is almost always right around freezing for our potential snow events. That's just as true in the Willammete Valley as around Puget Sound. Only exception really is up the Fraser River Valley North of Bellingham and well East of Portland deeper into the Gorge where there is more contintental influence during snow events and elevation often doesn't matter.

Even in the gorge a few hundred feet makes a big difference. White Salmon and the main part of Hood River above the river tend to do quite a bit better than Bingen and the waterfront portion of Hood River. They see a lot more continental influence out that way but there's still a handful of borderline snow events each winter that come around 32-33 degrees.

[Omegaraptor]

From warm and sunny to cold and sunny!

Pacific Midwest!

[TT-SEA]

FWIW... the 18Z GEFS is also a long way from an arctic blast at 300 hours.   Guessing the 18Z operational run is a massive outlier.   But that doesn't mean its wrong.  

[Front Ranger]

Parent's house this morning. 

[Phishy Wx]

19 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

From warm and sunny to cold and sunny!

Pacific Midwest!

I'm personally waiting for Hot and Snowy followed by Cold and Smoky 

[the_convergence_zone]

19 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

From warm and sunny to cold and sunny!

Pacific Midwest!

Cold and sunny is awesome. Today was fantastic. 

[Slushy Inch]

34 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

FWIW... the 18Z GEFS is also a long way from an arctic blast at 300 hours.   Guessing the 18Z operational run is a massive outlier.   But that doesn't mean its wrong.  

It was a better run eventually. Still long way to go.

[Snowlova]

AKA a Marchtic blast

[SilverFallsAndrew]

46 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Parent's house this morning. 

So blessed 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Beautiful view of Mt Adams from Silverton this afternoon. 1st pic is Mt Angel, more of a hill by the town of the same name. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Silver Falls Hwy on the drive home. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

A photo of my kids first snow yesterday. I think he enjoyed it

[MossMan]

Another reason why I love my location! It retains the snow so well during these setups! I even have snow on my roof still. 
Currently 33.8 with a DP of 26. 

[Deweydog]

14 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

A photo of my kids first snow yesterday. I think he enjoyed it

What are his thoughts on next winter’s ENSO conditions?

[Phishy Wx]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

What are his thoughts on next winter’s ENSO conditions?

neutral

[MossMan]

20 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

What are his thoughts on next winter’s ENSO conditions?

Phil Jr.? 

[Cold Snap]

Had a low of 27 this morning. Will probably be a bit colder tonight.