Deweydog Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Just a few bolts off to the east so far... Had a very nice one (and only one) from one of the pulse storms over the county line. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 In other news, the 0z is a breath of fresh air for those longing for a bit of a warm up after a cool, moist work week/early weekend. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 WRF really took the balls out of anything over the next 24 hours, although tomorrow evening looks extremely wet. Hard to know if that should be taken seriously though... Almost every run has shown some seriously wet stuff congealing tomorrow night into early Wednesday. It may just be plain old heavy rain at that point, but someone is going to get drenched (1"+). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Almost every run has shown some seriously wet stuff congealing tomorrow night into early Wednesday. It may just be plain old heavy rain at that point, but someone is going to get drenched (1"+). It is impressive on satellite/water vapor imagery. Seems to have been injected with some tropical goodness. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 In other news, the 0z is a breath of fresh air for those longing for a bit of a warm up after a cool, moist work week/early weekend. Yeah, anything less than the warmest August on record would be downright unpleasant. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Yeah, anything less than the warmest August on record would be downright unpleasant. Don't make me break out the sarcasm video again... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Fun times! 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 HRRR shows an explosion of rain overnight across the entire area. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 HRRR shows an explosion of rain overnight across the entire area.So no Insomnia round 2 for tonight? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 So no Insomnia round 2 for tonight? Might just be rain... not sure. Watch the loop... http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet:&runTime=2014081202&plotName=1ref_t1sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Might just be rain... not sure. Watch the loop... http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet:&runTime=2014081202&plotName=1ref_t1sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t1That's tomorrow night, I thought you meant tonight. I guess Im not falling asleep until 3 or 4 again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 That's tomorrow night, I thought you meant tonight. I guess Im not falling asleep until 3 or 4 again. NOT tomorrow night. That loop only goes out to 9 a.m. tomorrow morning. That rain is late tonight and early tomorrow morning. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Never felt such a hot wind with a thunderstorm here. Temp must have jumped 10 degrees or more.Sounds like a heat burst...totally awesome. Had one near Charleston WV during the EML pattern years ago..feels like a hair dryer Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Sounds like a heat burst...totally awesome. Had one near Charleston WV during the EML pattern years ago..feels like a hair dryer The storm missed me to the south... did not get a drop of rain here. I wonder if being on the edge of the storm but just outside the rain area was the reason for burst of hot air? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 An amazing amount of lightning coming out of this storm in NW Oregon! Look at the difference in 12 minutes... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Give me our 4th coldest January in history this year and I won't complain too much.In recorded history or like, ever? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Looks like areas around the lower Columbia are getting hammered this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Something like 2000 strikes within one hour...that's pretty much unheard of here.Looks like areas around the lower Columbia are getting hammered this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Something like 2000 strikes within one hour...that's pretty much unheard of here. Jim is out at Ocean Shores right now and was saying just last night that he was hoping he'd see something. Wonder if the storm made it that far north. Edit: Upon inspection of the lightning map it looks like he might have gotten quite a display. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 In other news, as of today we have daylight hours/sun angle equivalent to the end of April. The wavelengths will be a-changin' soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 And the average high has started to slip down... I was just looking at the last 17 years of record. At my station, the highest August high occurs around the 15th. The highest low on the 12th And the lowest high and lowest low on the 21st of the month. 14 of the 17 years the lowest low occurred after the 15th. Expected of course, but something to look forward to In other news, as of today we have daylight hours/sun angle equivalent to the end of April. The wavelengths will be a-changin' soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 And the average high has started to slip down... I was just looking at the last 17 years of record. At my station, the highest August high occurs around the 15th. The highest low on the 12th And the lowest high and lowest low on the 21st of the month. Great stats! August 15th has always been my unofficial cutoff. Beyond that it seems the shorter daylight hours/lower sun angle starts to have at least a somewhat tangible effect on observed weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Mark's latest blog update is pretty bullish for thunderstorms today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 SPC has the slight risk extending almost to Portland. Definitely the best severe threat for most of the region in a few years, likely since 2009. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 SPC has the slight risk extending almost to Portland. Definitely the best severe threat for most of the region in a few years, likely since 2009. I kind of want to go "storm chasing" today. Where would be the best area in your opinion? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 12z GFS basically has us in the 80s this weekend through the end of the month. As long as lows can manage to cool off a little I would actually be ok with that. Just don't want to get stuck in a pattern like last year where we are trapped in a soupy airmass for days on end with lows in the 60s every morning. Some drier air behind the low on Thursday would be wonderful. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 The storm missed me to the south... did not get a drop of rain here. I wonder if being on the edge of the storm but just outside the rain area was the reason for burst of hot air?Yes, you were probably in the outflow. What direction was the storm from you? If it was over the higher terrain, then compressional heating (heat burst) seems to be the obvious answer, in my opinion Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 I know you didn't ask me...but...those storms keep riding up the coast range, and now a batch coming up the Cascades...I kind of want to go "storm chasing" today. Where would be the best area in your opinion? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 I kind of want to go "storm chasing" today. Where would be the best area in your opinion? Eh, the storms in our region tend to be so pulse like in nature that I find chasing them to be fairly pointless. Unless you just pick a spot and camp out then you're probably not going to get to the action in time. I'd just stay relatively put, or go to a nearby flat area like the Hood River Valley that offers some nice views of the mountains. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 70/64 at BLI right now. As hazy, humid, and gunky as I've ever seen it here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Eh, the storms in our region tend to be so pulse like in nature that I find chasing them to be fairly pointless. Unless you just pick a spot and camp out then you're probably not going to get to the action in time. I'd just stay relatively put, or go to a nearby flat area like the Hood River Valley that offers some nice views of the mountains. That's why I put it in quotes. Usually we will just go find a spot that we think will be good for viewing and hang out there (maybe get a nearby hike in too). Hood River valley is a good idea. That or somewhere on the far east side like Highway 197 south of The Dalles. Although I often notice that whenever I try to find better storms elsewhere the best ones usually end up hitting my house and I would have been better off just staying put. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 I know you didn't ask me...but...those storms keep riding up the coast range, and now a batch coming up the Cascades... Yeah tough call. The best action has definitely been in the northern Coast Range so far today. Didn't see that coming. I was figuring things would be more Cascades and east side-centric. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 That's why I put it in quotes. Usually we will just go find a spot that we think will be good for viewing and hang out there (maybe get a nearby hike in too). Hood River valley is a good idea. That or somewhere on the far east side like Highway 197 south of The Dalles. Although I often notice that whenever I try to find better storms elsewhere the best ones usually end up hitting my house and I would have been better off just staying put. Try to locate near old outflow boundaries as these will probably serve as a focus for lift once the cap is breached. 70/64 at BLI right now. As hazy, humid, and gunky as I've ever seen it here. @ PacNWers and "humidity" Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 The new 12Z ECMWF coming out now... here is precip from 4-7 p.m. today. I would expect much more in the lowlands... but the ECMWF is pretty reliable in these situations. It seems to focus the activity in the mountains. http://s27.postimg.org/gu2ymdz03/Untitled.jpg Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 @ PacNWers and "humidity" Stupid post. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Love the 12Z EURO. So much better than what the GFS has been spitting out. Plus unlike the GFS it's been fairly consistent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Try to locate near old outflow boundaries as these will probably serve as a focus for lift once the cap is breached. @ PacNWers and "humidity"Weren't you almost killed by moist air a few weeks ago? #totalvagina Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 That storm that moved through Woodland and north was very impressive with it's structure. Also it spit out a ton of lightning.Now seeing cells develop over the Columbia River and moving north into Vancouver. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Weren't you almost killed by moist air a few weeks ago? #totalvaginaLol, raped and beaten by dews in the upper 70s. Not exactly in the same ballpark Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 12, 2014 Report Share Posted August 12, 2014 Clark County still proving to be a safe haven for those with PTSD-related issues with loud, booming noises. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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