Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Day 5 Through 4 PM Friday not very wet just 0.3" for PDX thus far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 On 12/5/2020 at 3:04 PM, Weather1011 said: Come to Vancouver, You haven't seen driving until you been here and that's a fact. As someone who commutes to Vancouver monthly (or did, anyway, before the border closed), I can attest to this. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Get ready! Here comes the good stuff on the 0z! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Day 6 (Past 8 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 I really like this trough Day 6.5+ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 I like how the mountains flip back to snow after about 24 hours of warm heavy rain. Next Saturday could be very wet. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 7 minutes ago, weatherwonder said: Get ready! Here comes the good stuff on the 0z! This gif has already been used. Let's not continue to use it, that show was fictional, our reality is not. 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Day 7 Hmmm.... Almost a ridge bridge Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Nice shot of cold air into the East. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Day 7.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Day 8 Potent system offshore Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Day 9'er 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 9'er 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Bitter air gets quite close this run 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 I really like this run. If that cut-off sandwiched between the eastward moving high pressure cell were to shunt that energy southward, look out. Major cold would come south quickly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals (Welcome back, La Nina!) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Onto the ensembles. C'MON!!!! 00z ECMWF in 1 hour 4 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Crazy model riding ahead! I can't guarantee we'll turn into a version of Hoth or Oymyakon, but crazy nonetheless. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Northern AK is a complete reversal from the 18z. Plenty of cold air over this side of the pole. Progress! 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Nice model trends today. If we don't see an Arctic blast in the 12/20 - 1/31 time frame, I will get a "Climate Change Rules" tattoo. 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Gonna be a fun fukkin night shift! 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Nice model trends today. If we don't see an Arctic blast in the 12/20 - 1/31 time frame, I will get a "Climate Change Rules" tattoo. On your?... 1 1 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Here is a question for some of you old time climate experts. How many arctic blasts did the PNW have in January 1937? Just looking at the monthly data for SLE it looks like there were at least 3-4, maybe as many as 5?! 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Nice model trends today. If we don't see an Arctic blast in the 12/20 - 1/31 time frame, I will get a "Climate Change Rules" tattoo. First week of February! Set it and forget it!!! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 4 hours ago, snow_wizard said: I was just looking at the last 4 GFS runs for the strat warming event and the 18z was much more massive for both area and intensity of the warming. The difference was huge. We'll have to see how it plays out. 00z GFS steps it up a notch. Full blown SSW. 1 1 1 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, Phil said: 00z GFS steps it up a notch. Full blown SSW. Yep and it begins around Day 10 to 10.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Yep and it begins around Day 10 to 10.5 if that verified, how long would it take for it to head South? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: if that verified, how long would it take for it to head South? SSW's are not my area of any expertise. I would ask @Phil Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 7 minutes ago, Phil said: 00z GFS steps it up a notch. Full blown SSW. Meant to ask you, but replied to the wrong post. If that verified, how long would it take to head South? Assuming that it does. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Didn't really like this run. It's a disorganized pattern that isn't really close to anything good. 1 1 1 5 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 18 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Gonna be a fun fukkin night shift! Are you just up all night anyways? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Didn't really like this run. It's a disorganized pattern that isn't really close to anything good. 4 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 20 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: On your?... Yes. 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Just now, Front Ranger said: Yes. We won't ask for verification. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 I want happy/optimistic Andrew from the other day back. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Just now, MossMan said: I want happy/optimistic Andrew from the other day back. Give it a few days/one hormone cycle. 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Oh I am very optimistic guys. It will start coming together, just analyzing one model run. 1 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 21 minutes ago, Phil said: 00z GFS steps it up a notch. Full blown SSW. This! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 7, 2020 Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 GEM isn't bad at day 10. Much cleaner than the pattern the GFS shows. 1 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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