Phil Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 Holy frickers. 2 1 1 1 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 27 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: So... what's everyones plans for the early start of summer? Living life today! Out in your neck of the woods today for a little biking and weather watching. 30 mph mist in my face! Was a great time and enjoyed the waves breaking over the jetty near the tower. Also treated myself to some fish and chips at the Fish Shack 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 4 AM Christmas Eve Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: That’s about to change in a big, big way. Goodbye BB’s, hello spitballs. Sorry, nothing but rain and fifties from here on. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 00Z ECMWF for Monday into Tuesday morning... 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 6 minutes ago, Jesse said: Drove over Tombstone Pass east of Sweet Home earlier this evening. It was VERY snowy. Couldn’t bring yourself to drive through the burn scar? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: If "due" was a thing, I'd think it would apply more to large scale, not small scale anomalies like Jan 2017 in Portland. Absolutely... It has no solid basis in atmospheric anomalies or drivers, but there are observable rhythms to any regional climate. Just a little piece to the puzzle. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, Phil said: Holy frickers. Lol @ y’all hating on the 00z GFS. That run would go places, in due time. 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Holy frickers. Somebody wake up Abby!!! 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 8 minutes ago, wxmet said: This forum needs a Panic Room thread We had one at one point. Maybe 2007-08? Can't remember if anything good actually happened the year it was started. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catnip Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 Just now, Phil said: Lol @ y’all hating on the 00z GFS. That run would go places, in due time. Winter Un-Cancel! 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z ECMWF for Monday into Tuesday morning... I’m only a few miles from the light gray! 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Somebody wake up Abby!!! His bed time has passed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 minute ago, Phil said: Lol @ y’all hating on the 00z GFS. That run would go places, in due time. Just like the Euro weeklies, by Memorial Day weekend major troughing will commence. Just in time for Tim to make an escape to a little oasis known as Pasco, Kennewick, and Richland! 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Couldn’t bring yourself to drive through the burn scar? Drove up the McKenzie for the very purpose of seeing it, and catching a nice hike along the river east of McKenzie Bridge. Pretty devastating scene from Leaburg to just before the Blue Sky store in Rainbow. First time up that way since the fire. I was really glad to see the town of McKenzie Bridge wasn't lost. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 minute ago, BLI snowman said: We had one at one point. Maybe 2007-08? Can't remember if anything good actually happened the year it was started. It was. Profanity-laden goodness. That was a strong El Niño though. No chance that level of climate related vitriol will repeat itself this winter. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, Phil said: Holy frickers. The alien ultra sound will save us all. 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 8 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: If "due" was a thing, I'd think it would apply more to large scale, not small scale anomalies like Jan 2017 in Portland. On a wide scale though, 2016-17 and 2018-19 featured upper echelon cold stretches for most of the region. Just without the benefit of any genuinely major airmasses. We could easily see another 1998-99 scenario before we see another stretch like those, with a winter that is largely warm and devoid of anything too nice but still happens to deliver an outlierish big airmass. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: It was. Profanity-laden goodness. That was a strong El Niño though. No chance that level of climate related vitriol will repeat itself this winter. The last two strong El Ninos here both delivered snow! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 minute ago, BLI snowman said: On a wide scale though, 2016-17 and 2018-19 featured upper echelon cold stretches for most of the region. Just without the benefit of any genuinely major airmasses. We could easily see another 1998-99 scenario before we see another stretch like those, with a winter that is largely warm and devoid of anything too nice but still happens to deliver an outlierish big airmass. If the Feb 2019 pattern happened in January, the general perspective on what is possible still would certainly be different right now. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 Just now, Front Ranger said: If the Feb 2019 pattern happened in January, the general perspective on what is possible still would certainly be different right now. And if ifs and buts were candy and nuts we'd all have a very merry Christmas! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 Oops...did Canadian Christmas already happen? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 4 minutes ago, Jesse said: Drove up the McKenzie for the very purpose of seeing it, and catching a nice hike along the river east of McKenzie Bridge. Pretty devastating scene from Leaburg to just before the Blue Sky store in Rainbow. First time up that way since the fire. I was really glad to see the town of McKenzie Bridge wasn't lost. Ahhh I guess I assumed you were coming back from Central Oregon, though if you were you would have probably come back 26. Going to be tough to see. Really 4 of our most beautiful river canyons were horribly impacted by those fires. Have to say they took a little piece of me with them. Sometimes I wonder if it would not have been better to lose my home, then I would have nothing left to cling to, instead of holding onto the pieces of a world that is no more. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 Day 9'er Meh, Bleh, Poops Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: If the Feb 2019 pattern happened in January, the general perspective on what is possible still would certainly be different right now. February 2019 was pretty awesome. On 2/4 it was 23 degrees here in the middle of the afternoon with 40mph north winds and snow! Snow got to 20” deep on 2/13. Might be awhile before we see something like that again in February or any month. I’ve got hope for a decent event or two in January or February still. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: If the Feb 2019 pattern happened in January, the general perspective on what is possible still would certainly be different right now. Lots of rejoicing in Seattle and lots of moping in EUG, SLE, PDX, BLI, YVR. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: If the Feb 2019 pattern happened in January, the general perspective on what is possible still would certainly be different right now. If it had happened in January my house would have collapsed under the snow. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Ahhh I guess I assumed you were coming back from Central Oregon, though if you were you would have probably come back 26. Going to be tough to see. Really 4 of our most beautiful river canyons were horribly impacted by those fires. Have to say they took a little piece of me with them. Sometimes I wonder if it would not have been better to lose my home, then I would have nothing left to cling to, instead of holding onto the pieces of a world that is no more. Would have you stayed in the area if that happened or moved away? You don't need to answer that it if it is to personal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: If it had happened in January my house would have collapsed under the snow. Your last two posts bring to mind the great Robert Frost poem, "Fire and Ice" 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 5 minutes ago, Jesse said: And if ifs and buts were snow we'd all have a very merry Christmas! Very true. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Would have you stayed in the area if that happened or moved away? You don't need to answer that it if it is to personal. That is hard to say. At the time we said if it burned we would rebuild, but I am not sure if I could have. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 19 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: Living life today! Out in your neck of the woods today for a little biking and weather watching. 30 mph mist in my face! Was a great time and enjoyed the waves breaking over the jetty near the tower. Also treated myself to some fish and chips at the Fish Shack Where is that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 Just now, GHweatherChris said: Where is that? Beverly Hills 112020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 Just now, Jesse said: Beverly Hills 112020 Man that was a great show!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 9 minutes ago, Jesse said: Your last two posts bring to mind the great Robert Frost poem, "Fire and Ice" One of the schools in Silverton is named Robert Frost. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 12 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 9'er Meh, Bleh, Poops Give it time. In -ENSOs with W-1 stratwarms, the cold tends to lag the u-wind reversal. Or if it’s massive enough like 1988/89, it can be concurrent. Here we have mediocre tropical forcing for western cold until mid-Jan (since late Dec is still somewhat zonal), but it’s favorable for WAFz thru NPAC, so when things flip, that cold pool is probably unshackled. 3 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 18, 2020 Report Share Posted December 18, 2020 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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