snow_wizard Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GEFS Day 10-16. Strong zonal flow, then ridge builds just offshore as the jet dies and retracts. The ridge begins its retrogression phase. Amazing consistency with the weeklies. Classic retrogression pattern! This looks like it could be onto something. Seeing multiple models show the same progression is promising. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: This looks like it could be onto something. Seeing multiple models show the same progression is promising. I'm way past cautious optimism. It's coming and timing is going to speed up a tad too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 9 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: It resembles the weeklies as well. Big ridge pops up after the jet extension and then retrogrades. Takes a while to get to the good frames though... As in 30+ days. My old adage is if it happens it will probably be sooner than progged. As long as it's going good in the final third of January I will be happy. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 Extended range GEFS..dayumm that’s a block. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 What if it turns out all the artic air is locked behind either a microtransaction paying system or god forbid a Lootbox system? 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 One thing for sure is it's going to get stormy in the near future. Those are some really low heights being shown. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: One thing for sure is it's going to get stormy in the near future. Those are some really low heights being shown. Will the storms be free updates or will it be paid DLC's for our flight sim? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: My old adage is if it happens it will probably be sooner than progged. As long as it's going good in the final third of January I will be happy. I'll be exhausted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 That was a nice trough at the end of the GFS Operational. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 Looking at the past 8 GEFS runs at HR 240-360 the jet retraction was nearly identical, but the downstream response of the ridge development was absent. Tonight is the first run that seems to be modeling the downstream response correctly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 So now the SSW is NOT gonna f*ck with the models? That’s a relief... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 23 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: It resembles the weeklies as well. Big ridge pops up after the jet extension and then retrogrades. Takes a while to get to the good frames though... As in 30+ days. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 1 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 EURO with a Mega Nina run! 6z GFS in 2 hours 30 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: No. 39 looking good. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 A solidly nippy 30 degrees right now. At least we are getting more freezing nights lately. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 Columbia Basin cold pool deepening and expanding. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 12 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: EURO with a Mega Nina run! 6z GFS in 2 hours 30 minutes Day 10 is pretty impressive in it's own right. Gigantic trough with some serious suppression. Things are about to get real! 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 One really freakish thing being shown on most models is the NE getting torched with a huge -NAO. Really bizarre sheit. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 Looks PDX already improved upon its low by two degrees this evening. Meanwhile it is crystal clear and 10F here in Granite, Oregon, NW of Baker City. It’s so bright with the moon out and the snowcover we could practically drive without headlights on the road up here. 2 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 28.6 here while patiently waiting for the end of January. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 1 minute ago, Jesse said: Looks PDX already improved upon its low by two degrees this evening. Meanwhile it is crystal clear and 10F here in Granite, Oregon, NW of Baker City. It’s so bright with the moon out and the snowcover we could practically drive without headlights on the road up here. I had no idea you were over there. I haven't been in that area since I was a kid when we camped at Grand Ronde Lake and hiked around Anthony Lake. Such an amazing area. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 Next... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 8 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: That area is very seismically active. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 10 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 Got my daily hot dog!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 40 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: One really freakish thing being shown on most models is the NE getting torched with a huge -NAO. Really bizarre sheit. That can easily happen. See Dec 2012 and Feb 2018. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyperbolic Trendz Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 15 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Next... I rarely post anything to the forum because I realize I have nothing of real value to contribute, but then I see your comments and realize that substance and value are not necessarily mandatory prerequisites. 3 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 Anyone seen JB around lately? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Anyone seen JB around lately? He said he was leaving. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 9 minutes ago, Runtmc said: I rarely post anything to the forum because I realize I have nothing of real value to contribute, but then I see your comments and realize that substance and value are not necessarily mandatory prerequisites. And here we go... 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: He said he was leaving. No kidding? I must have missed it. I wonder why. Well that sucks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 12 minutes ago, Runtmc said: I rarely post anything to the forum because I realize I have nothing of real value to contribute, but then I see your comments and realize that substance and value are not necessarily mandatory prerequisites. You must be really new here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 Any improvements with the Day 10-15 EPS? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 10 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Any improvements with the Day 10-15 EPS? EC ensemble 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by Dave,
10 reactions
Go to this post
Posted by Christensen87,
2 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.