Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said: I'm guessing she wants a baby. I couldn’t in good conscience bring another life into this warming climate. 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: By the way. The extended GEFS that just came out is pretty incredible. Very strong signal for below normal heights over the west coast through 00z 2/14. Much stronger anomalies than the previous run. Incredible to see! Very encouraging! Oh yeah? How is amplification and heights over southern Alaska? Much improved? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Andrew is overboard! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, Deweydog said: Andrew is overboard! we need some kind of rescue dog for that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 24 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Not to further this runway OT conversation about snow, but my wife announced today that she really wants it to snow. She is at best ambivalent about it after Christmas. This is a first. I’m not sure what to make of it. I've noticed even people who don't like snow tend to get pretty reminiscent about it if there hasn't been much in a few years. By the 2nd or 3rd snow of the year they're usually tired of it though. I've had exes like that who'd excitedly stay up with me for the first snow of the year. They were much less patient with me in subsequent snows. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: By the way. The extended GEFS that just came out is pretty incredible. Very strong signal for below normal heights over the west coast through 00z 2/14. Much stronger anomalies than the previous run. Incredible to see! Very encouraging! care to share? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, Timmy said: we need some kind of rescue dog for that. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Front Ranger Took your advice and watched “The Vast Of Night”. Pretty cool flick and enjoyed 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, Timmy said: care to share? Day 10 through 35: 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 24 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: No. They both know you personally and live in far flung regions of the state from which they send you weather reports Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 00z GFS Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Day 10 through 35: I cant find this on their website myself, what am i missing? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: I've noticed even people who don't like snow tend to get pretty reminiscent about it if there hasn't been much in a few years. By the 2nd or 3rd snow of the year they're usually tired of it though. I've had exes like that who'd excitedly stay up with me for the first snow of the year. They were much less patient with me in subsequent snows. Yeah, she was tapped out by this point in 2017. It was the ridiculous amount of and BS criteria for school cancellations that fueled that fire. I still remember the first time she saw my full weenie on display (haha). We started dating early in the fall of 1994. Then came the early December mini-event and she was given a crash course in weather nerd ridiculousness. She should have wised up and ran for the hills. 4 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Yeah, she was tapped out by this point in 2017. It was the ridiculous amount of and BS criteria for school cancellations that fueled that fire. I still remember the first time she saw my full weenie on display (haha). We started dating early in the fall of 1994. Then came the early December mini-event and she was given a crash course in weather nerd ridiculousness. She should have wised up and ran for the hills. Did she get "1-3 inches"? 2 2 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 17 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: I've noticed even people who don't like snow tend to get pretty reminiscent about it if there hasn't been much in a few years. By the 2nd or 3rd snow of the year they're usually tired of it though. I've had exes like that who'd excitedly stay up with me for the first snow of the year. They were much less patient with me in subsequent snows. Explains why they're exes. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Sorry for not posting the GEFS extended. Thank you for posting Brian. Just tremendous potential coming up. They can also be viewed on Tidbits, you just have to go back to the 00z run for the previous day, so for instance these are the 1/10 00z. They are usually ready around 6-7pm I believe. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Day 3 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: Explains why they're exes. My wife will definitely NOT stay up with me to watch snow. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Explains why they're exes. Snows before hoes. 2 8 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 The week of the big April 2008 snow was date #1 for my now wife and I! We moved in together in late October 2008...She saw MASSIVE weenies from me starting a month later...The rest is history! She doesn’t get my obsession but she does like snow! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Day 6 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 15 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Sorry for not posting the GEFS extended. Thank you for posting Brian. Just tremendous potential coming up. They can also be viewed on Tidbits, you just have to go back to the 00z run for the previous day, so for instance these are the 1/10 00z. They are usually ready around 6-7pm I believe. I have never heard you this bullish before. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Next weekend has Tim's stamp of approval! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Day 7 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, DJ Droppin said: I have never heard you this bullish before. It's not a lock. It never is in this climate, but all the available tools we have seem to indicate a much cooler pattern takes hold between the 20-25th and sticks around for a while. Could still fall apart, I remember there was some potential in late January 2018 which totally fell apart, and we had to wait until the second half of February for our next opportunity. In a few days the models may flip and then you will hear me striking a more somber tone. I am not making a prediction, just analyzing the information we have available, which is mostly positive for that period. Let's hope we continue the trend. 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 GFS might be evolving similarly as previous GEM Op runs or 12z EURO Op today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weather_fan Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Not sure anyone follows cricket here but a fabulous test match going on between Australia and India. Its the 5th day and tea has been taken. 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Day 9.5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 15 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: It's not a lock. It never is in this climate, but all the available tools we have seem to indicate a much cooler pattern takes hold between the 20-25th and sticks around for a while. Could still fall apart, I remember there was some potential in late January 2018 which totally fell apart, and we had to wait until the second half of February for our next opportunity. In a few days the models may flip and then you will hear me striking a more somber tone. I am not making a prediction, just analyzing the information we have available, which is mostly positive for that period. Let's hope we continue the trend. I imagine you wearing a monocle while saying this Andrew 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Brief chilly trough at day 9/10 on the 00z. 850's in Seattle drop to -7 and thicknesses are around 520. 4 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 49 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Did she get "1-3 inches"? Warm tongue'd? 1 2 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Through day 13 this run is super boring. 1 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 GEM is continuing to show that trough around the 20th. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: GEM is continuing to show that trough around the 20th. Chilly. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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