Gradient Keeper Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Shouldn't model countdowns be in effect?[Model Countdown]00z GFS 1 hour 10 minutes00z GEM(CMC) 2 hours 30 minutes00z ECMWF 3 hours 40 minutes Hard to ignore the EURO's consistency with this cold shot. Ensembles look real good too. Pattern change begins upstream in 4-5 days. Done deal 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Ensemble madness? 18z looks improved. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 [Model Countdown]00z GFS 1 hour 10 minutes00z GEM(CMC) 2 hours 30 minutes00z ECMWF 3 hours 40 minutes Hard to ignore the EURO's consistency with this cold shot. Ensembles look real good too. Pattern change begins upstream in 4-5 days. Done dealScore! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parksvillewx Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Score! I wonder where Snow and Snow wiz went? Haven't heard from either of them in a while.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Score!I was summoned here by someone from my PDX Weather Facebook group Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Do my eyes deceive me or is December about to arrive? Been lurking in the models off and on for a while--and since there was nothing worth talking about, I continued to lurk. Unfortunately, due to the sun angle, most of us may receive nothing more than cold rain--although overnight, we may get lucky. But at least there's hope this ridging will end soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 00z is running!!!!! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 This is it, *******! It's now or never! Pull the goalie! It's four-down territory! You can Google the sports references, Jesse. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 25, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 This is it, *******! It's now or never! Pull the goalie! It's four-down territory! You can Google the sports references, Jesse. We're at the 1 yard line now. Lynch will bring it home for us. Too soon? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 We're at the 1 yard line now. Lynch will bring it home for us. Too soon?Tender meat. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Looks like the 00z is coming in a little chillier for the weekend. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 This is it, *******! It's now or never! Pull the goalie! It's four-down territory! You can Google the sports references, Jesse.If he dies, he dies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 00Z GFS holds steady with its previous runs. Nothing to see here. A little cold rain... some cooler northerly flow. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Looks like the 00z is coming in a little chillier for the weekend. Out to hour 135 it looks chillier and further West with the cold next week too. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Out to hour 135 it looks chillier and further West with the cold next week too.Going nowhere. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 If he dies, he dies.Huh? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Huh?Rocky 72. Kind of a sports cliche. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Going nowhere.It's still way better than the last several GFS runs. 18z:http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/20150224/18/gfs_namer_159_1000_500_thick_s.gif00z: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/20150225/00/gfs_namer_153_1000_500_thick_s.gif Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 It's still way better than the last several GFS runs. 18z:http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/20150224/18/gfs_namer_159_1000_500_thick_s.gif00z: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/20150225/00/gfs_namer_153_1000_500_thick_s.gifDon't think it matters either way. This will be a non-event. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 More Cascade snow! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 More Cascade snow! A little. This pattern is just not what we need. We need raging cold onshore flow. Not systems from north starved for moisture. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 We need solar and natural gas! Not more fracking continental air! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 A little. This pattern is just not what we need. We need raging cold onshore flow. Not systems from north starved for moisture. Improvement is improvement. Hard to say how it will all shake out at this point, but the models look a hell of a lot more promising than they have for awhile. Even if all it means is mountain snow and cool anomalies for the lowlands! A spring 1992 redux looking a bit less likely. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 We need solar and natural gas! Not more fracking continental air! Ha. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Canadian says ******* game on! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015022500/gem_T850_us_31.png 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Canadian says ******* game on! It's definitely cold, but not as far west as the 12z. At face value, would still deliver a little lowland snow. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 It's definitely cold, but not as far west as the 12z. At face value, would still deliver a little lowland snow. A March 1989 type event would redeem this winter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 A March 1989 type event would redeem this winter. That's asking a lot, considering that was one of the greatest all-time March events for snow/cold in the western lowlands. But hey! Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 Canadian says ******* game on! This is not really game on... and its actually bad because its so dry. That does not help the mountains. Sunny with highs in the 40s is not really exciting. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_180_0000.gif Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 It's definitely cold, but not as far west as the 12z. At face value, would still deliver a little lowland snow. lowland slop would be a better description. *yawn*. We really need to get in pattern for mountain snow. At this point I am sure it will be cool fairly dry event at best. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 This is not really game on... and its actually bad because its so dry. That does not help the mountains. Sunny with highs in the 40s is not really exciting. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_180_0000.gif OMG. It's something with potential that's interesting to track. And any particular reason you are showing hour 180 instead of say hour 156? 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 This is not really game on... and its actually bad because its so dry. That does not help the mountains. Sunny with highs in the 40s is not really exciting. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_180_0000.gif At least it is a step in the right direction. But yes I generally agree with you. Highs in the mid 40s and sunshine and some cold weather is boring. Still better than the GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 lowland slop would be a better description. *yawn* we really need to get in pattern for mountain snow. You should just change your avatar pic to a yawny face. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 With the mountains lacking snowpack, a pattern supporting mountain snow would sure be nice. Has this been considered? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 OMG. It's something with potential that's interesting to track. And any particular reason you are showing hour 180 instead of say hour 156? we always have something to track somewhere. Tracking a marginal, Coolish, fairly dry event that will most likely not deliver is not all that exciting for some so get over it... Why are you so concerned about our weather here and what people think? We need something meaningful like mountain snow. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 You should just change your avatar pic to a yawny face. wonderful suggestion. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 OMG. It's something with potential that's interesting to track. And any particular reason you are showing hour 180 instead of say hour 156? Andrew showed 180 hours. Just showing the corresponding 500mb pattern. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 With the mountains lacking snowpack, a pattern supporting mountain snow would sure be nice. Has this been considered? Obviously not! Seems like 48 degree sunshine with NE flow is where the true excitement lies. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 25, 2015 Report Share Posted February 25, 2015 we always have something to track somewhere. Tracking a marginal, Coolish, fairly dry event that will most likely not deliver is not all that exciting for some so get over it... Why are you so concerned about our weather here and what people think? We need something meaningful like mountain snow. So you see no difference between tracking the upcoming pattern and the patterns available to track since late December? None at all? Why does it bother you that I care about and track the weather in the PNW? Good lord...people are free to think what they want and care about what they want. If all you want is mountain snowfall, great! But your endless, regurgitated wet blanket remarks get old. Why do you care if other people are actually interested in this pattern? Why do you always feel the need to downplay others interest? 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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