February 2014 in the PNW

[snow maniac]

Its dust.

Almost.

[TT-SEA]

Ironically... today is first day of the year with a very spring-like sky here of blue sky and puffy cumulus clouds.    For most part its either been sunny or totally cloudy here this year.    Feels pleasant in the sun.   Any snow I got would have melted anyways since its 39 degrees. 

[Deweydog]

Ironically... today is first day of the year with a very spring-like sky here of blue sky and puffy cumulus clouds.    For most part its either been sunny or totally cloudy here this year.    Feels pleasant in the sun.   Any snow I got would have melted anyways since its 39 degrees. 

 

 

Nut ball.  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Ironically... today is first day of the year with a very spring-like sky here of blue sky and puffy cumulus clouds.    For most part its either been sunny or totally cloudy here this year.    Feels pleasant in the sun.   Any snow I got would have melted anyways since its 39 degrees. 

Dude, Work outside all day and tell me it feels like spring.  And you know with the low dew points the snow would of stayed. Oh Tim...

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

D**n the nam looks cold.

[MossMan]

Ironically... today is first day of the year with a very spring-like sky here of blue sky and puffy cumulus clouds.    For most part its either been sunny or totally cloudy here this year.    Feels pleasant in the sun.   Any snow I got would have melted anyways since its 39 degrees. 

With the lowering Dew Point's your would be snow would have stuck around in the shade!

[bainbridgekid]

High of 34 here so far with a DP of 3 and a 20 mph North wind.

 

Feels D**n cold.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

High of 34 here so far with a DP of 3 and a 20 mph North wind.

 

Feels D**n cold.

Yes it does!

[Gradient Keeper]

High of 34 here so far with a DP of 3 and a 20 mph North wind.

 

Feels D**n cold.

DP of 3 already? Real impressive consdering we're nowhere near the peak of this event.

[TT-SEA]

High of 34 here so far with a DP of 3 and a 20 mph North wind.

 

Feels D**n cold.

 

 

No wind here... big difference.    

[TT-SEA]

Seattle politeness on display last night after the game... thats why I love this city!

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qo4z77OvznU

 

Although some of you are really sensitive.    

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I think the 18z GFS may be ending up even colder than the 12z.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looking at the hills from Salem and the Silver Falls webcam showing a fresh dusting it looks like my place just picked up a little snow! 

 

Models show a bit of moisture increasing this evening down here...Would be nice to pick up a little more snow.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Heavy snow falling at John Day, OR at this hour, 

 

Light snow at Pendleton and The Dalles.

[Weather101]

Dude, Work outside all day and tell me it feels like spring. And you know with the low dew points the snow would of stayed. Oh Tim...

I'm

Outside all day and sometimes at night working and there's no way it's like spring.... You're hands get numb quick have too dress super warm this week

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I think the 18z GFS may be ending up even colder than the 12z.

It looks cold. And looks like the trend continues to back off on moisture and maybe further south.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Really starting to look like January 2004 to me. A period of snow followed by icing. I don't see a good mechanism to scour out low level cold with this solution.

 

Maybe at my elevation I'll be above the freezing rain, though I know in 2004 Silver Falls was devastated by the icing.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Really starting to look like January 2004 to me. A period of snow followed by icing. I don't see a good mechanism to scour out low level cold with this solution.

 

Maybe at my elevation I'll be above the freezing rain, though I know in 2004 Silver Falls was devastated by the icing.

And this is only Monday. Might look way different come Friday.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The other nice thing about the delay in the moisture arriving is now most areas will be able to have another morning with very cold temps (Saturday morning). PDX will smash their record of 25 for the day!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This has the potential to be a pretty serious icing event IMO.

[epiceast]

I think it's pretty unlikely that we'll get a significant ice storm, generally the boundary layer is better at mixing out in February than it is in January and December.

[Deweydog]

This has the potential to be a pretty serious icing event IMO.

 

Gotta long way to go.  If anything, I'd say a continuation of the trend to split/delay the system continues.  18z did move the timing up a bit, though...

[GobBluth]

This has the potential to be a pretty serious icing event IMO.

The 850s are quickly warming before the moisture gets here, and models keep delaying the precip. Could be a losing race.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The 850s are quickly warming before the moisture gets here. Could be a losing race.

True, but the air mass will be so dry that it wont matter much.

[Deweydog]

I think it's pretty unlikely that we'll get a significant ice storm, generally the boundary layer is better at mixing out in February than it is in January and December.

 

Well said.  

 

I was just about to chime in with this nugget of negativity.  Comparing this to 1-6-04 is a little broadbrushed.  It's emotionally crippling, yes, but the sun angle will play a fairly significant role in this event.  

[GobBluth]

Well said.  

 

I was just about to chime in with this nugget of negativity.  Comparing this to 1-6-04 is a little broadbrushed.  It's emotionally crippling, yes, but the sun angle will play a fairly significant role in this event.  

Shhh, don't be negative.

[FroYoBro]

The 850s are quickly warming before the moisture gets here, and models keep delaying the precip. Could be a losing race.

That would be evidence for an ice storm as long as the flow doesn't turn southerly at the surface.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Well said.  

 

I was just about to chime in with this nugget of negativity.  Comparing this to 1-6-04 is a little broadbrushed.  It's emotionally crippling, yes, but the sun angle will play a fairly significant role in this event.  

The sun might burn out by the time we get snow here again.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I will say there is not a lot of precedence for a major ice storm the 2nd week of February. Of course there isn't a lot of precedence for this type of airmass.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

In the long range it looks like zonal flow takes over.

[epiceast]

In the long range it looks like zonal flow takes over.

Yea I'm actually more excited about this then the current ridge surface high. At least our winter might finally get its act together.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Amazing how well the lower levels warm with a few sunbreaks in early February.

 

Currently 46 at Salem. 34 at Silver Falls 

[epiceast]

Well said.  

 

I was just about to chime in with this nugget of negativity.  Comparing this to 1-6-04 is a little broadbrushed.  It's emotionally crippling, yes, but the sun angle will play a fairly significant role in this event.  

The only thing that will be unusual about this setup is the snow loaded Oregon Columbia Basin, which could help keep the bottom 1000' pretty cool.

[TT-SEA]

Amazing how well the lower levels warm with a few sunbreaks in early February.

 

Currently 46 at Salem. 34 at Silver Falls 

 

You are such a jerk.   Facts have no place in this forum.    

[Deweydog]

Amazing how well the lower levels warm with a few sunbreaks in early February.

 

Currently 46 at Salem. 34 at Silver Falls 

 

-4 if it proves to be the high!

[Deweydog]

You are such a jerk.   Facts have no place in this forum.    

 

Exactly.  Because any time there are puffy clouds abound, it's springlike.  That's a fact.  

[Snow]

New 7 Day for PDX. Saturday High only 28 with snow arriving earlier now in the afternoon.

 

http://ftpcontent.worldnow.com/kptv/wce_assets/ibs_web_7-day.jpg

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Only36 here at work in port orchard. Blazing sun as well. Going to get cold if it's already this cold.

[TT-SEA]

Exactly.  Because any time there are puffy clouds abound, it's springlike.  That's a fact.  

 

 

The sky looks spring-like today here.    Convective cumulus clouds and sun.     I don't care if its -10 with a 90mph wind in Bellingham.    The sky looks different than it has so far this year here.   Ironic since its an arctic air mass moving in.

[Gradient Keeper]

18z is a touch colder

Portland 850mb -15c, 510 thickness. Pretty impressive.