February 2014 in the PNW

[FroYoBro]

PDX dew point is up to 2 from 1. Snowstorm incoming. 

[epiceast]

when portland gets a big rain storm so do we most of the time. Most..

This would be all day light rain if it was warmer by 20 degrees.

[TT-SEA]

when portland gets a big rain storm so do we most of the time. Most..

 

Not familiar with concept of 'rain'.     Seems like something that used to happen here.

[Snow]

Ummmm...There are winter storm watches and warnings.

 

Good point.

[BLI snowman]

Big time.

 

They won't even be able to get in and out of Salem or Eugene.   Literally.

 

Are there any historical examples of this type of extreme gradient from our weather history experts?

 

This is going to be an old school event, like many of the jet suppression induced ones from the past. December 1919 was incredible, 26 inches in the Portland area and nothing in Seattle.

[luminen]

Overcast here now.

[brody]

This Just In

 

High clouds off to the south, my gut tells me they DONT trend north

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Overcast here now.

Probably fog or smoke.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

This Just In

 

High clouds off to the south, my gut tells me they DONT trend north

Your worried.

[BLI snowman]

Gotta love the Meteostar garbage for Portland, showing a high of 18 tomorrow

 

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kpdx

[Weather101]

Probably fog or smoke.

LOL

[brody]

Your worried.

Does it show?

[Weather101]

Snow developing near Eugene

[Jesse]

Gotta love the Meteostar garbage for Portland, showing a high of 18 tomorrow

 

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kpdx

I think there's an outside chance they stay at or below 25.

[TT-SEA]

Canadian at 4 p.m. tomorrow:

 

http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/00_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_024.jpg

 

Friday 4 a.m.

http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/00_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_036.jpg

 

Friday 4 p.m.

http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/00_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_048.jpg

[FroYoBro]

Canadian at 4 p.m. tomorrow:

 

 

 

Friday 4 a.m.

 

 

Friday 4 p.m.

 

I think NAM is going to look pretty bad on this one.

[TT-SEA]

Saturday 4 p.m.

 

http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/00_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_072.jpg

 

 

Sunday 4 p.m.

 

http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/00_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_096.jpg

[TT-SEA]

I think NAM is going to look pretty bad on this one.

 

Try not to copy all the images... really gets confusing.

[HighlandExperience]

The precipitation looks to spread farther north on the Canadian for Friday. I guess that is a good thing.

[brody]

Ok I gotta be honest, right now I dont care if it snows or not, my tax refund just deposited in my acct and I am headed out to go play some poker.

 

At least thats more interesting than the models right now.

[BLI snowman]

 

I think there's an outside chance they stay at or below 25.

 

Pretty good chance, actually. 25-26 seems like a safe bet for them at this point.

[Deweydog]

I think there's an outside chance they stay at or below 25.

 

I'd go with 28 at this point.  That's assuming there isn't more precip than expected at this point.  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

It would be nice to get some snow but its nice to see such a rare pattern work out for some of us .

[SilverFallsAndrew]

New PDX AFD says they will likely upgrade to a warning for the Central valley if the EURO is consistent. Dang the Canadian looks good.

[snow_wizard]

Ok I gotta be honest, right now I dont care if it snows or not, my tax refund just deposited in my acct and I am headed out to go play some poker.

 

At least thats more interesting than the models right now.

 

 

You don't think this is interesting?  Geeze.

[Weather101]

Ok I gotta be honest, right now I dont care if it snows or not, my tax refund just deposited in my acct and I am headed out to go play some poker.

 

At least thats more interesting than the models right now.

Don't lose it all

[GHweatherChris]

You don't think this is interesting?  Geeze.

It would interesting if it was a region wide snow event being shown.

[brody]

You don't think this is interesting?  Geeze.

I do Jim but lets be realistic now

[BLI snowman]

The jet is just aimed squarely at western OR the next few days. Just like how late December 1996 was up here, finding themselves on the right side of an increasingly consolidated pattern.

[snow_wizard]

It would be nice to get some snow but its nice to see such a rare pattern work out for some of us .

 

 

Yeah...we just have to look at the big picture.  A pretty historic pattern for early Feb by recent standards.  A textbook pattern for significant lowland snowfall for some of us.  You would have to think WA will get something before it's over, but who knows.

 

The thing people in the Puget Sound region need to realize is historically SEA gets more snow than Portland  and Portland normally gets more than Eugene.  Things will balance out.

[brody]

 Things will balance out.

For W. Ore, Yes BIG time 

[snow_wizard]

It would interesting if it was a region wide snow event being shown.

 

 

You don't think it's possible for it to change?  In Nov 2010 the models showed no snow for this area the night before we had a 6 inch snowstorm.  Just an example.  Don't forget the 12z Euro had snow up here.  Regardless the cold is very impressive itself.

[snow_wizard]

For W. Ore, Yes BIG time 

 

The balance due is for us to get a lot.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

For W. Ore, Yes BIG time

 

These things never play out as advertised. There will be a surprise here and there.

[GHweatherChris]

You don't think it's possible for it to change?  In Nov 2010 the models showed no snow for this area the night before we had a 6 inch snowstorm.  Just an example.  Don't forget the 12z Euro had snow up here.  Regardless the cold is very impressive itself.

I didn't say I don't think it can change.  

 

My opinion right now is from what the models are showing and have been showing consistently that last 2 days, except the EURO, which hopefully gives us more hope tonight.

[Deweydog]

00z suite on Sunday should give us a much better idea of what happened.  

[brody]

The balance due is for us to get a lot.

I swear to god if I leave the poker room and walk outside and see 6+ inches on the ground I am going to s**t a block of ice and then give props to Jim 

[Snow]

OOZ GFS has 0.50" liquid precip for PDX. 5" of snow tomorrow for regular snowfall 10:1 ratio. I can see it higher because the temperature will be colder.

 

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KPDX

[Deweydog]

I swear to god if I leave the poker room and walk outside and see 6+ inches on the ground I am going to s**t a block of ice and then give props to Jim 

 

Don't overplay your middle pocket pairs!

[brody]

Don't overplay your middle pocket pairs!

I only play snowmen or better and always pass on buying the button so I think Ill be ok