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July 2021 PNW Weather Discussion


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10 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Model trends seem to be towards less 4CH influence as we move into week 2.

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-7581600.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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47 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

56/68°F for the day yesterday. 3 in a row below 70°F. Now 65°F.

Jeebus. I won't see something like that until October. lol

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (7)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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Now that I have my batteries for the Sony DSC charged. I'll keep an eye out for another A-bomb looking plume.

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (7)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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ECMWF definitely trending east with the mid-week trough as it lifts out.    Still does not show much in the way of clouds though.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Gorgeous, smoke-free sky today... deep blue with some puffy clouds and 73 degrees.   

20210717_125129.jpg

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2 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

56/68°F for the day yesterday. 3 in a row below 70°F. Now 65°F.

Yesterday May have been the benchmark of our cold summer 🥶.  Just 69F.  We should make it into the 70s easily today. 

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12Z EPS... not much in the way of troughing or ridging.   That should be effective at keeping the smoke moving east and keeping the heat away and making for perfect summer temps.  Goldilocks weather.   👍

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1626523200-1626523200-1627819200-10.gif

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Since I looked up the current solar cycle on Google... my facebook feed now includes solar news from NASA.   

I see that there was a major solar flare recently and the sun is getting active again.    You wouldn't know that here because the sun is only mentioned when its dead quiet.   👍

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Third day in a row of sub-70 weather.  Today topped out at 65F, now down to 64F.  Just wishing for some rain and moisture.  

 

I hope everyone has a wonderful weekend and enjoys this traditional PNW summer weather.  It's lovely.  

I hope our friends on the eastside of our respective states are able to enjoy cooler weather too and the smoke dissipates.  Wishing our firefighters the best as well.  

Screen Shot 2021-07-17 at 4.14.34 PM.png

Screen Shot 2021-07-17 at 4.14.25 PM.png

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8 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

Third day in a row of sub-70 weather.  Today topped out at 65F, now down to 64F.  Just wishing for some rain and moisture.  

 

I hope everyone has a wonderful weekend and enjoys this traditional PNW summer weather.  It's lovely.  

I hope our friends on the eastside of our respective states are able to enjoy cooler weather too and the smoke dissipates.  Wishing our firefighters the best as well.  

Screen Shot 2021-07-17 at 4.14.34 PM.png

Screen Shot 2021-07-17 at 4.14.25 PM.png

Where are you that topped out at 65 today?     Even SEA is at 75.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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It was a nice day to buy a boat in Renton and sit in traffic all the way back north! It’s time to move on from the 1980’s Bayliner and move on up to a 1990’s Sea Ray! Luckily it also has a cassette deck in it so I can continue to rock my MC Hammer cassette on the water! 

1204A7E8-A865-4545-A055-F192B68A354F.jpeg

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30 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Where are you that topped out at 65 today?     Even SEA is at 75.  

Currently in the north Puget Sound in an area with constantly cool sea breeze. 

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9 minutes ago, MossMan said:

It was a nice day to buy a boat in Renton and sit in traffic all the way back north! It’s time to move on from the 1980’s Bayliner and move on up to a 1990’s Sea Ray! Luckily it also has a cassette deck in it so I can continue to rock my MC Hammer cassette on the water! 

1204A7E8-A865-4545-A055-F192B68A354F.jpeg

Hey that is awesome!  Congrats on the 'new' boat! :D That will be a lot of fun! 

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36 minutes ago, MossMan said:

It was a nice day to buy a boat in Renton and sit in traffic all the way back north! It’s time to move on from the 1980’s Bayliner and move on up to a 1990’s Sea Ray! Luckily it also has a cassette deck in it so I can continue to rock my MC Hammer cassette on the water! 

1204A7E8-A865-4545-A055-F192B68A354F.jpeg

Awesome! 

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29 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

Currently in the north Puget Sound in an area with constantly cool sea breeze. 

That is so chilly... you could probably go a mile inland and it's 10 degrees warmer.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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49 minutes ago, MossMan said:

It was a nice day to buy a boat in Renton and sit in traffic all the way back north! It’s time to move on from the 1980’s Bayliner and move on up to a 1990’s Sea Ray! Luckily it also has a cassette deck in it so I can continue to rock my MC Hammer cassette on the water! 

1204A7E8-A865-4545-A055-F192B68A354F.jpeg

No Hammer pants!

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3 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Went out to Scenic Beach St Park on Hood Canal today. Nice day and not too crowded.  70 degrees out there according to the car thermometer. 

9463BF4A-1CA2-4A54-B6D2-BA434C5CFE88.jpeg

451979C3-0432-4A64-9BEA-89E87356D899.jpeg

097047C2-6FDF-4293-8A72-A036E952A885.jpeg

15E43178-94C9-4A8F-B451-99A4DF823777.jpeg

Looks like you were also out on the kitsap peninsula today. 

Monthly rainfall-0.00”

Warm season rainfall-5.26”

+80s-27

+85s-9

+90s-3

+100s-2

Highest temp-106

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14 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Looks like you were also out on the kitsap peninsula today. 

Yeah I saw your pics.  I haven’t done that one but it looks like a nice hike. Proximity to the Kitsap peninsula is one of the great things about Tacoma. 

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The 90's are back, oh how I've missed you. 😱😜

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms (7)
05/14, 06/22, 06/24, 07/27, 07/29
07/31, 08/01, 
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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2 hours ago, MossMan said:

It was a nice day to buy a boat in Renton and sit in traffic all the way back north! It’s time to move on from the 1980’s Bayliner and move on up to a 1990’s Sea Ray! Luckily it also has a cassette deck in it so I can continue to rock my MC Hammer cassette on the water! 

1204A7E8-A865-4545-A055-F192B68A354F.jpeg

Nice and congrats with the boat! Nothing better than to sit in a Puget Sound traffic. You see something new everyday around here with the traffic around here! Yesterday I was stuck in traffic on 405 at Renton/Newcastle  for about 10 minutes because a piglet decided its had enough with the owner and jumped out the window of a car and ran down the freeway in opposite direction. It was actually a cute black piglet! 

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Long time no talk everyone.

This has to be the lamest thunderstorm season over here in a while.  Nothing to talk about at all in June/July. August better deliver the goods.


That being said, my brother and I have had some heated discussions about what this winter will bring...analogs, trends, patterns, etc...

 

I think this may be the big one this coming winter.........I hope nobody here lives in an RV in Fairview this winter.  You may want to build a wall in front of it.

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

That is so chilly... you could probably go a mile inland and it's 10 degrees warmer.

I did a quick look (I don't know the temps earlier in the day) but I did check inland.  It is currently 60F at 8:24pm at my current location.  Ten miles eastward and inland from my current spot 62F.  Going much further inland to Monroe, Washington, it is 64F.  So yeah, it probably was in the 70s inland. 

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Let's check out some current temps just for fun.  All temps are from 8:30pm, give or take a few minutes.

Coldest / Warmest

WASHINGTON

Bellingham 65F

Everett 60F

Seattle 67F

Tacoma 67F

Olympia 68F

Longview 67F

Vancouver 73F

Ocean Shores 57F

Port Angeles 58F

Ellensburg 74F

Yakima 85F

Wenatchee 82F

Kennewick 87F

Walla Walla 86F

Moses Lake 82F

Spokane 81F

OREGON

Astoria 60F

Newport 57F

Coos Bay 59F

Portland 74F

Salem 73F

Eugene 74F

Medford 86F

The Dalles 83F

Bend 75F

Burns 78F

Ontario 91F

Lakeview 77F

CALIFORNIA

Crescent City 55F

Eureka 56F

San Francisco 56F

Yreka 85F

Redding 93F

ALASKA

Juneau 67F

Sitka 60F

Anchorage 78F

Fairbanks 78F

Nome 42F

Unalaska 54F

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28 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

I did a quick look (I don't know the temps earlier in the day) but I did check inland.  It is currently 60F at 8:24pm at my current location.  Ten miles eastward and inland from my current spot 62F.  Going much further inland to Monroe, Washington, it is 64F.  So yeah, it probably was in the 70s inland. 

Yeah... this is not a good time to check.   This afternoon it was 77 at WFO SEA and SEA.    Safe to say it was in the mid to upper 70s across most of Seattle.    You could probably walk away from the water and gain 4 or 5 degrees in a few minutes.   It was close to 80 on the east side of Seattle.

No such issues with lakes... it will be 80 tomorrow when we are on Lake Sammamish.  👍

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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53 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Final 9pm sunset of 2021! 

It’s already dark.

Our sunset was at 8:41 pm. We're at roughly the same latitude but farther east. The sun comes up earlier here, but it goes down earlier.

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Stayed in the mid 70s in Shoreline today. Cooling off quickly tonight. Good sleeping weather!

Above Richmond Beach, Shoreline. 475 feet

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam:
http://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnqqm2

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KWABOTHE144#history

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1 minute ago, Geos said:

Stayed in the mid 70s in Shoreline today. Cooling off quickly tonight. Good sleeping weather!

When did you move?

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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