MossMan Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Looks like Phil has the night shift!! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 The ECMWF meteograms show a 36/25 day for SEA. Pretty chilly. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 It’s November 26th we know nothing 5 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Very favorable changes on the EPS tonight. Very similar to the improvements on the operational. How can that be in torchageddon 2021-22???? 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: It’s November 26th we know nothing I'm sticking my observed weather analogs which say we get nailed. the years Phil has mentioned simply don't line up for the weather we have actually seen. Yes 1999 was a wet November, but the pattern that delivered it was quite different. I feel another new index coming on.... 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Scandi ridge/NW Pacific trough ideal for upward wave amplification/breaking. Instead we have the opposite. I don’t know, it just seems like nothing but red flags all over the place. 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 10 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: It’s November 26th we know nothing Yeah, time is on our side. Plenty left on the clock. If it were mid-January right now, I’d be officially “cancelling” winter. Or whatever the phrase is. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, Phil said: Scandi ridge/NW Pacific trough ideal for upward wave amplification/breaking. Instead we have the opposite. I don’t know, it just seems like nothing but red flags all over the place. If Bob Ross came back to life and did a one time only last painting of $hit wouldn't be any prettier than that. Yuck! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Just now, Phil said: Yeah, time is on our side. Plenty left on the clock. Yeah things aren’t interesting yet but I’m sure there’ll be plenty of pattern shake ups this winter…won’t be locked in this pattern all winter! 3 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Mossman is sure handing out a lot of weenies this evening. 1 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Just now, TacomaWaWx said: Mossman is sure handing out a lot of weenies this evening. They're vegan, it's all good. 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: Mossman is sure handing out a lot of weenies this evening. Yeah I’m hungry for one now. 1 1 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 47 minutes ago, Phil said: Scandi ridge/NW Pacific trough ideal for upward wave amplification/breaking. Instead we have the opposite. I don’t know, it just seems like nothing but red flags all over the place. Stockholm is getting dunked on in these runs. I need it to warm up there a bit before EOY, or else I'm gonna have to get a winter coat. SMH 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 What the fuckk? 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: What the fuckk? Excuse me sir, could you send a bit of that about 100 miles north? Just a few inches please. Thanks! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Lock it in! 1 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 8 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Lock it in! Gonna trend north or disappear on the next run. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 6z ICON looks noticeably better at Day 5 than 00z did. 6z 00z 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 6z GFS Day 5 (Past 4 runs) Not looking promising. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Day 6 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Day 7 (Past 4 runs) Manure is more fun to watch Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Onto 12z for probably no reason, but hey ya never know! C'MON!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 The 6z is trying so hard to go somewhere good. Fascinating progression. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Day 8.5 I stayed up for this? No more night shifts until models look interesting and promising. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The 6z is trying so hard to go somewhere good. Fascinating progression. Bruh we gotta take the L on this one and move on. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Onto 12z. Things can change quickly, but the trends are not our friend. It's even hard to be cautiously optimistic just as it were back in November 2008. Hmmm.... 12z GFS in 4 hours 56 minutes 12z ECMWF in 7 hours 6 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 27, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 15 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 8.5 I stayed up for this? No more night shifts until models look interesting and promising. tbf there is more higher latitude ridge amplification and Plenty (with a capital P) of cold air in Canada. focusing on the deetz at hr 200 just ain't gonna be fun. pieces are there... Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Welp! I guess Euro is back to being KING for a few hours at least. GFS relegated to clown car status again! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Some of you should ho and check on the ICON. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Thread asleep this morning Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 11 minutes ago, van city said: Some of you should ho and check on the ICON. Nice wind up. Loads of cold air ready to unload into conus 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 Low of 48 this morning pretty mild. No rain yet. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Low of 48 this morning pretty mild. No rain yet. Your low was warmer than ours, but your high will not be. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 I think GFS is bipolar. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 I waited all night looking out the window for the first magical raindrop to fall…And it happened a bit ago!! Up to .11” on the day, 13.48” for the month. 45 degrees. 2 2 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, van city said: I think GFS is bipolar. Get a psychiatrist fast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 I'm surprised all the Oregon and SW Washington people aren't on right now talking about the GFS. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: I'm surprised all the Oregon and SW Washington people aren't on right now talking about the GFS. Lol, night shifters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 27, 2021 Report Share Posted November 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 12z GFS tried... It has a crashy look again at day 10... pretty sure this run will show feet of snow in Seattle before the end of the run. 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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